James McCabe and Alibek Kachmazov will clash against each other in the quarter of the Guangzhou Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 12:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alibek Kachmazov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alibek Kachmazov is the pick to win this match.
Alibek Kachmazov -> 1.6
James McCabe -> 2.22
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Prediction and head to head James McCabe vs. Alibek Kachmazov
This will be the 2nd time that James McCabe and Alibek Kachmazov face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Kachmazov (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Kachmazov won 6-3 6-4 in the 2nd round in the Shenzhen 1 Challenger back in 2024.
James McCabe
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-16 | 14-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 55-35 | 47-28 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-27 | 24-14 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 30-19 | 9-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 17-5 | 17-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 176 (career-high), James reached the quarter after defeating Kasidit Samrej 6-3 6-7(3) 6-3 and Omar Jasika 6-4 1-6 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Australian defeated Jasika (6-4 1-6 6-2). During the match, McCabe scored 96 points vs Jasika’s 92. McCabe was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about the service games, McCabe bagged 12 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. James McCabe lost the serve 3 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, McCabe put 51% of his first serves in, winning 77% (37/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (20/46) on the 2nd serve. James broke Jasika 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Australian has conceded 2 set in this tournament to conquer 52% of the points he played.
McCabe has a winning record in the last 6 years having won 59% of his matches (154-106). 14-12 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, McCabe has a compiled132-78 record in the last 6 years on hard.
McCabe’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Bengaluru Challenger.
James has a compiled 14-12 win-loss record in 2025, 14-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Guangzhou Challenger
James has never competed in this tournament before.
Alibek Kachmazov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-14 | 9-6 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-28 | 17-13 | 6-6 | 14-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-31 | 24-14 | 9-6 | 14-10 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2022 | 49-21 | 18-11 | 9-5 | 22-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-20 | 6-8 | 3-6 | 27-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 185, the Russian got to the quarter after defeating Fajing Sun 6-4 7-6(5) and Adam Walton 4-6 7-6(2) 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Walton, The Russian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-62 6-2). During the match Kachmazov scored 113 points vs Walton’s 101. Alibek was extremely aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Talking about serving, Kachmazov scored 13 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Alibek Kachmazov lost the serve 3 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Kachmazov put 51% of his first serves in, winning 77% (46/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (28/58) on the 2nd serve. Alibek broke Walton 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kachmazov has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Kachmazov’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Gwangju Challenger.
Kachmazov has an overall 13-11 win-loss record in 2025, 7-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Guangzhou Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | McCabe | Kachmazov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 56 | 54 |
| Pts | 199-181 | 200-177 |
| Total Points | 380 | 377 |
| Winners | 75 | 80 |
| %Winners | 38% | 40% |
Both McCabe and Kachmazov played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. James McCabe dropped 2 sets, while Alibek Kachmazov dropped 1 set. McCabe has played 1 set more than Kachmazov (6 vs 5). Therefore, McCabe played 2 games more than Kachmazov. The Australian scored 75 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian struck 80 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | McCabe | Kachmazov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 32 | 22 |
| Avg per match | 16 | 11 |
| 1st in | 97/193 | 99/198 |
| %1st in | 50% | 50% |
| 1st pts | 75/97 | 80/99 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 51/96 | 48/99 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 48% |
McCabe managed to score 32 aces (16 per match). Kachmazov blasted 22 aces (11 per match). McCabe won 77% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Kachmazov won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | McCabe | Kachmazov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 6 |
| Converted | 6/21 | 6/19 |
| % Converted | 29% | 32% |
| Conceded | 15 | 15 |
| Saved | 11 | 11 |
| % Saved | 73% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 |
The Australian broke his opponents 6 times with a 29% conversion rate. McCabe dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. Kachmazov broke his opponents 6 times with a 32% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| McCabe | ||||
| R1 Samrej |
R2 Jasika |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-73 6-3 | 6-4 1-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 25 | 56 | |
| pts | 103-89 | 96-92 | 199-181 | |
| Total points | 192 | 188 | 380 | |
| Winners | 38 | 37 | 75 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 39% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 20 | 12 | 32 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 8 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 49/99 | 48/94 | 97/193 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 51% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 38/49 | 37/48 | 75/97 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 31/50 | 20/46 | 51/96 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 43% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 3/11 | 6/21 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 27% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 12 | 15 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 9/12 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 75% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Kachmazov | ||||
| R1 Sun |
R2 Walton |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-65 | 4-6 7-62 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 31 | 54 | |
| pts | 87-76 | 113-101 | 200-177 | |
| Total points | 163 | 214 | 377 | |
| Winners | 34 | 46 | 80 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 41% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 13 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 7 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 39/80 | 60/118 | 99/198 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 51% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 34/39 | 46/60 | 80/99 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 77% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/41 | 28/58 | 48/99 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 4/11 | 6/19 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 36% | 32% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 12 | 15 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 9/12 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 75% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
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