Casper Ruud and Francisco Cerundolo will square off in the semifinal of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 9^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 4:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.83
Francisco Cerundolo -> 1.98

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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Francisco Cerundolo

This will be the 9^th time that Casper Ruud and Francisco Cerundolo clash against each other. The head to head is 5-3 for Cerundolo (see full H2H stats),but they are 2-2 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Cerundolo won 6-4 6-2 in the 4^th round in Miami back in March 2025.

Highlights Francisco Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud – Miami 25-March-2025

Casper Ruud

Ranked no. 15, Casper reached the semifinal after defeating Arthur Rinderknech 6-3 6-4, Sebastian Korda 6-3 6-3, Taylor Fritz 7-5 6-4 and Daniil Medvedev 6-3 7-5.

In the quarter, The Norwegian had a good straight sets win against Medvedev (6-3 7-5). During the match, Ruud scored 76 points vs Medvedev’s 64. Ruud was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about the service games, Ruud struck 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Casper Ruud was quite efficient on serve to win 76% (31/41) of his 1st serve and 67% (14/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Casper broke Medvedev twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Casper hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Ruud has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (410-217). 7-2 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ruud has a compiled 237-102 match record in the last years on clay.

The Norwegian’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Dallas.

Ruud has an overall 19-6 win-loss record in 2025, 7-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Francisco Cerundolo

Ranked no. 21, Francisco got to the semifinal after beating Harold Mayot 6-3 6-4, Francisco Comesana 6-4 6-4, Alexander Zverev 7-5 6-3 and Jakub Mensik 3-6 7-6(5) 6-2.

In the quarter against Mensik, Francisco recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-6⁵ 6-2). During the match Cerundolo scored 94 points vs Mensik’s 91. Francisco was quite aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Talking about serving, Cerundolo made 7 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Francisco Cerundolo was very effective on serve to win 74% (42/57) of his 1st serve and 64% (21/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Argentine broke Mensik twice after converting 20% of his break points (2/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Francisco has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

The Argentine’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Buenos Aires.

The Argentine has a compiled 24-9 win-loss record in 2025, 16-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Ruud	Cerundolo
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	8	9
Tot Games	80	90
Pts	265-221	297-265
Total Points	486	562
Winners	121	137
%Winners	46%	46%

Both Ruud and Cerundolo played 4 matches. At the moment, Francisco Cerundolo conceded 1 set while Casper Ruud hasn’t conceded a set so far. Ruud has played 1 set(s) less than Cerundolo (8 vs 9). Therefore, Ruud played 10 games less than Cerundolo. Ruud scored 121 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Cerundolo made 137 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Ruud	Cerundolo
Aces	10	15
Avg per match	2.5	3.8
1st in	163/246	189/289
%1st in	66%	65%
1st pts	121/163	137/189
%1st pts	74%	72%
2nd pts	50/83	66/100
%2nd pts	60%	66%

Ruud recorded 10 aces (2.5 per match). Cerundolo recorded 15 aces (3.8 per match). Ruud won 74% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Cerundolo won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 66% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Ruud	Cerundolo
Won	12	9
Converted	12/26	9/27
% Converted	46%	33%
Conceded	12	16
Saved	9	14
% Saved	75%	88%
Times Broken	3	2

Ruud broke his opponents 12 times with a 46% conversion rate. Casper dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. The Argentine broke his opponents 9 times with a 33% conversion rate. Francisco conceded his serve twice and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.

Ruud
	R2 Rinderknech	R3 Korda	R4 Fritz	1/4 Medvedev	Total
Score	6-3 6-4	6-3 6-3	7-5 6-4	6-3 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	19	18	22	21	80
pts	56-46	62-48	71-63	76-64	265-221
Total points	102	110	134	140	486
Winners	28	29	33	31	121
%Winners	50%	47%	46%	41%	46%
SERVE
Aces	2	3	3	2	10
Double Faults	2	1	2	2	7
1st in	37/54	40/58	45/72	41/62	163/246
% 1st in	69%	69%	63%	66%	66%
1st pts	28/37	29/40	33/45	31/41	121/163
% 1st pts	76%	73%	73%	76%	74%
2nd pts	11/17	10/18	15/27	14/21	50/83
% 2nd pts	65%	56%	56%	67%	60%
Breaks
Won	3	4	3	2	12
Converted	3/3	4/8	3/7	2/8	12/26
Converted %	100%	50%	43%	25%	46%
Conceded	2	5	3	2	12
Saved	1/2	4/5	2/3	2/2	9
Saved %	50%	80%	67%	100%	74%
Times Broken	1	1	1	0	3

Cerundolo
	R2 Mayot	R3 Comesana	R4 Zverev	1/4 Mensik	Total
Score	6-3 6-4	6-4 6-4	7-5 6-3	3-6 7-65 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	9
Tot Games	19	20	21	30	90
pts	69-56	72-63	62-55	94-91	297-265
Total points	125	135	117	185	562
Winners	23	38	34	42	137
%Winners	33%	53%	55%	45%	46%
SERVE
Aces	3	4	1	7	15
Double Faults	1	3	2	5	11
1st in	35/58	55/71	42/70	57/90	189/289
% 1st in	60%	77%	60%	63%	65%
1st pts	23/35	38/55	34/42	42/57	137/189
% 1st pts	66%	69%	81%	74%	72%
2nd pts	18/23	11/16	16/28	21/33	66/100
% 2nd pts	78%	69%	57%	64%	66%
Breaks
Won	3	2	2	2	9
Converted	3/9	2/5	2/3	2/10	9/27
Converted %	33%	40%	67%	20%	33%
Conceded	3	4	1	8	16
Saved	2/3	4/4	1/1	7/8	14
Saved %	67%	100%	100%	88%	89%
Times Broken	1	0	0	1	2

Tennis Scores in Madrid

• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Jakub MensikMensik (3-6 7-6⁵ 6-2) – See score progression
• Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic – Nikola Mektic/Michael VenusMektic/Michael Venus (6-7⁵ 6-4 10-5) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz – Sander Gille/Jan ZielinskiGille/Jan Zielinski (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (6-0 6-4) – See score progression
• Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Harri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry Patten (7-6³ 6-3) – See score progression
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Jakub MensikMensik (3-6 7-6(5) 6-2) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (6-0 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Casper RuudRuud (5-3) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Gabriel DialloDiallo (1-1) – H2H and prediction