[UPDATED SF]. Prediction, H2H of Cori Gauff’s draw vs Swiatek, Sabalenka to win the Madrid

Madrid draw preview with H2H - Cori Gauff may need to defeat Iga Swiatek, Aryna Sabalenka to conquer the competition in the Mutua Madrid Open.

Cori Gauff Stats info

Cori Gauff is 2 wins away to conquer the title in Madrid. Cori has defeated Dayana Yastremska 0-6 6-2 7-5, Ann Li 6-2 6-3, Belinda Bencic 6-4 6-2 and Mirra Andreeva 7-5 6-1 to reach the semifinal where she will face Iga Swiatek.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Cori Gauff’s projected draw together withherlikely opposition in Mutua Madrid Open. The American has a weak record (8-15) with the projected opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Dayana Yastremska (46) – 0-6 6-2 7-5
R3 – Ann Li (62) – 6-2 6-3
R4 – Belinda Bencic (42) – 6-4 6-2
1/4 – Mirra Andreeva (7) – 7-5 6-1
1/2 – Iga Swiatek (2) – H2H 3-11
Fin – Aryna Sabalenka (1) – H2H 5-4
or Elina Svitolina (17) – H2H 2-1
Gauff
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Draw

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1/2 – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 11-3 for Iga Swiatek

64 - 17win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
WWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 64-17 40-10 11-4 3-2 10-1 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
2019 34-17 17-8 10-3 4-3 3-3 0-0
2018 43-6 8-1 34-5 1-0 0-0 0-0

Iga Swiatek has a 26-7 record in 2025, 5-1 on clay. In the last 10 years, Iga has a 142-19 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). The Pole won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Swiatek’s best achievement of the season was reaching the final Australia.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open the Pole won the competition after beating Aryna Sabalenka 7-5 4-6 7-6(7).

H2H Cori Gauff vs. Iga Swiatek

This match would represent the 15th time that Cori Gauff and Iga Swiatek clash against each other. The head to head is 11-3 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 5-0 on clay in major tournaments.

Final – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 5-4 for Cori Gauff

63 - 12win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 63-12 35-6 17-3 4-1 7-2 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0

Aryna Sabalenka has a 29-5 record in 2025, 6-1 on clay. Regarding the previous 10 years, Sabalenka has a 83-40 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Sabalenka won 9 of her last 10 matches.

Her best result of this current year was winning the competition in Brisbane where she defeated Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2, and in Miami where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open the Belarussian surrendered to Iga Swiatek in the final 7-5 4-6 7-6(7).

H2H Cori Gauff vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This contest would be 10th time that Cori Gauff and Aryna Sabalenka square off. The head to head is 5-4 for Gauff (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay in major tournaments.

However, Cori Gauff may come up against Elina Svitolina. Their head to head is 2-1 for Cori Gauff.