Aryna Sabalenka is 2 wins away to conquer the title in Madrid. Aryna has defeated Anna Blinkova 6-3 6-4, Elise Mertens 3-6 6-2 6-1, Peyton Stearns 6-2 6-4 and Marta Kostyuk 7-64 7-67 to reach the semifinal where she will face Elina Svitolina.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Aryna Sabalenka’s projected draw alongsideherplausible opposition in Mutua Madrid Open. The Belarussian has a negative record (8-9) with the presumable opposition.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Anna Blinkova (76) – 6-3 6-4
R3 – Elise Mertens (26) – 3-6 6-2 6-1
R4 – Peyton Stearns (44) – 6-2 6-4
1/4 – Marta Kostyuk (36) – 7-64 7-67
1/2 – Elina Svitolina (17) – H2H 4-1
Fin – Iga Swiatek (2) – H2H 4-8
or Cori Gauff (4) – H2H 4-5
Latest Updated
Draw

1/2 – Elina Svitolina’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-1 for Aryna Sabalenka

36 - 15win/loss in 2025

Rank
14
High
3
LWLLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 36-15 14-8 18-3 1-2 3-2 0-0
2024 30-18 16-9 10-7 0-0 4-2 0-0
2023 21-12 4-3 12-7 0-0 5-2 0-0
2022 5-8 5-8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 41-20 31-13 8-4 0-0 2-3 0-0
2020 21-9 9-5 10-2 2-2 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 29-14 1-3 4-2 5-3 0-0
2018 44-15 28-10 9-3 5-0 2-2 0-0

Elina Svitolina has a 22-6 record in 2025, 11-0 on clay. As for the last 3 years, the Ukrainian has a 33-14 record on clay. Elina will try to keep a positive momentum since she is on a 10 matches winning streak.

Her most significant achievement of the current year was winning the competition in Rouen where she beat Olga Danilovic in the final 6-4 7-6(8).

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open the Ukrainian was defeated by Sara Sorribes Tormo in the 2nd round 6-3 7-5.

H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elina Svitolina

This match would represent the 6th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Elina Svitolina play each other. The head to head is 4-1

for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on clay in major tournaments.

Final – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 8-4 for Iga Swiatek

64 - 17win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
WWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 64-17 40-10 11-4 3-2 10-1 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
2019 34-17 17-8 10-3 4-3 3-3 0-0
2018 43-6 8-1 34-5 1-0 0-0 0-0

Iga Swiatek has a 26-7 record in 2025, 5-1 on clay. During the previous 10 years, Iga has a 142-19 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). The Pole won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Iga’s best result of the season was reaching the final Australia.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open the Pole conquered the competition after besting Aryna Sabalenka 7-5 4-6 7-6(7).

H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Iga Swiatek

This match would represent the 13th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Iga Swiatek square off. The head to head is 8-4 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 5-1 on clay in major tournaments.

Alternatively, Aryna Sabalenka may face Cori Gauff. Their head to head is 5-4 for Cori Gauff.