Matteo Arnaldi is 3 wins away to conquer the title in Madrid. The Italian has defeated Borna Coric 4-6 6-4 7-5, Novak Djokovic 6-3 6-4, Damir Dzumhur 6-3 6-4 and Frances Tiafoe 6-3 7-5 to reach the quarter where he will face Jack Draper.
Draw prediction with head to head records
This is Matteo Arnaldi’s projected draw together withhisprojected opponents in Mutua Madrid Open. The Italian has a negative record (0-8) against the plausible opponents.
1/4 – Jack Draper’s rankings and performance.
Head to head record 0-0
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-9 | 14-3 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-22 | 19-10 | 5-7 | 7-3 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-15 | 15-8 | 3-3 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-19 | 12-6 | 2-2 | 26-7 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-16 | 6-6 | 7-5 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 17-6 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2019 | 41-17 | 30-10 | 0-0 | 10-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 31-9 | 21-2 | 7-2 | 3-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Jack Draper has a 17-4 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on clay. In the previous 8 years, Jack has a 28-20 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). The Brit won 8 of his last 10 matches.
His best result of this current year was winning the title in Indian Wells where he overcame Holger Rune in the final 6-2 6-2.
Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Draper lost to Hubert Hurkacz in the 2nd round 6-1 7-5.
H2H Matteo Arnaldi vs. Jack Draper
There is no head to head record between Matteo Arnaldi and Jack Draper since this would be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
1/2 – Lorenzo Musetti’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 4-0 for Lorenzo Musetti
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 45-22 | 18-11 | 19-4 | 8-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-30 | 13-12 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 30-15 | 6-4 | 20-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 32-25 | 1-2 | 27-19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Lorenzo Musetti has a 15-5 win-loss record in 2025, 9-1 on clay. Regarding the previous 8 years, the Italian has a 128-67 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Lorenzo won 8 of his last 10 matches.
The Italian’s most significant result of this year was getting to the final Carlo.
Last year in Mutua Madrid Open the Italian capitulated to Thiago Seyboth Wild in the 2nd round 6-4 6-4.
H2H Matteo Arnaldi vs. Lorenzo Musetti
This would be the 5th time that Matteo Arnaldi and Lorenzo Musetti play each other. The head to head is 4-0 for Musetti (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on clay in major tournaments.
Notwithstanding, Matteo Arnaldi may fight against Gabriel Diallo. Their head to head record is 0-0.
Final – Daniil Medvedev’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 4-0 for Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-23 | 20-12 | 6-4 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-10 | 14-4 | 0-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 59-21 | 34-8 | 8-5 | 12-5 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 53-25 | 27-9 | 1-5 | 21-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
Daniil Medvedev has a 16-8 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on clay. Regarding the previous 13 years, the Russian has a 92-49 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Medvedev won 7 of his last 10 matches.
The Russian’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal Marseille and Indian Wells.
Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Medvedev got to the quarter in 2024 in Madrid before retiring against Jiri Lehecka when he was 6-4 ret..
H2H Matteo Arnaldi vs. Daniil Medvedev
This match would represent the 5th time that Matteo Arnaldi and Daniil Medvedev square off. The head to head is 4-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay in major tournaments.
Alternatively, Matteo Arnaldi could square off with Casper Ruud. Their H2H is 1-1.