Jack Draper is 3 wins away to conquer the title in Madrid. The Brit has defeated Tallon Griekspoor 6-3 6-4, Matteo Berrettini 7-62 ret. and Tommy Paul 6-2 6-2 to reach the quarter where he will face Matteo Arnaldi.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Jack Draper’s projected draw together withhisprojected opposition in Mutua Madrid Open. Draper has a winning record (3-1) with the projected opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Tallon Griekspoor (34) – 6-3 6-4
R3 – Matteo Berrettini (31) – 7-62 ret.
R4 – Tommy Paul (12) – 6-2 6-2
1/4 – Matteo Arnaldi (44) – H2H 0-0
1/2 – Lorenzo Musetti (11) – H2H 3-0
or Gabriel Diallo (78) – H2H 0-0
Fin – Daniil Medvedev (10) – H2H 0-1
or Casper Ruud (15) – H2H 0-0
Latest Updated
Draw

1/4 – Matteo Arnaldi’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

23 - 26win/loss in 2025

Rank
62
High
30
LLWWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 23-26 11-14 7-6 5-4 0-2 0-0
2024 29-26 17-13 10-9 1-2 1-2 0-0
2023 51-26 21-15 23-7 4-3 3-1 0-0
2022 50-35 9-3 37-20 4-11 0-1 0-0
2021 56-24 2-1 51-18 3-5 0-0 0-0
2020 17-9 16-4 0-1 1-3 0-0 0-1
2019 6-12 2-3 4-9 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 7-2 7-2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Matteo Arnaldi has a 12-9 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on clay. In the course of the previous 8 years, Arnaldi has a 129-66 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Matteo won 6 of his last 10 matches.

The Italian’s most significant result of this season was reaching the semifinal Delray Beach.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Arnaldi was defeated by Daniil Medvedev in the 2nd round 2-6 6-4 6-4.

H2H Jack Draper vs. Matteo Arnaldi

There is no head to head record between Jack Draper and Matteo Arnaldi since this would be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

1/2 – Lorenzo Musetti’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-0 for Jack Draper

45 - 22win/loss in 2025

Rank
8
High
6
LWLLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 45-22 18-11 19-4 8-6 0-1 0-0
2024 46-30 13-12 18-10 3-5 12-3 0-0
2023 32-29 10-10 16-11 0-5 6-3 0-0
2022 44-30 11-10 21-7 12-10 0-3 0-0
2021 36-31 9-8 17-12 10-10 0-1 0-0
2020 30-15 6-4 20-6 4-5 0-0 0-0
2019 32-25 1-2 27-19 4-4 0-0 0-0
2018 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0

Lorenzo Musetti has a 15-5 record in 2025, 9-1 on clay. In the course of the last 8 years, the Italian has a 128-67 record on clay (Click here

to see full career record). The Italian won 8 of his last 10 matches.

Musetti’s most significant achievement of this current year was reaching the final Carlo.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Lorenzo lost to Thiago Seyboth Wild in the 2nd

round 6-4 6-4.

H2H Jack Draper vs. Lorenzo Musetti

This match would represent the 4th time that Jack Draper and Lorenzo Musetti face off. The head to head is 3-0 for Draper (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay in major tournaments.

However, Jack Draper could face Gabriel Diallo. Their head to head record is 0-0.

Final – Daniil Medvedev’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Daniil Medvedev

41 - 23win/loss in 2025

Rank
13
High
1
LWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 41-23 20-12 6-4 10-4 5-3 0-0
2024 46-21 28-9 11-5 1-5 6-2 0-0
2023 66-18 38-8 10-3 11-4 7-3 0-0
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0
2020 28-10 14-4 0-2 14-4 0-0 0-0
2019 59-21 34-8 8-5 12-5 5-3 0-0
2018 53-25 27-9 1-5 21-7 4-4 0-0

Daniil Medvedev has a 16-8 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on clay. During the previous 13 years, Medvedev has a 92-49 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Medvedev won 7 of his last 10 matches.

Daniil’s most significant result of this season was reaching the semifinal Marseille and Indian Wells.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open the Russian reached the quarter in 2024 in Madrid before retiring against Jiri Lehecka when he was 6-4 ret..

H2H Jack Draper vs. Daniil Medvedev

This would be the 2nd time that Jack Draper and Daniil Medvedev fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay in major tournaments.

Alternatively, Jack Draper may fight against Casper Ruud. Their head to head is 0-0.