Nicolas Jarry and Gastao Elias will clash against each other in the 2^nd round of the Estoril Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 12:00 pm on ESTADIO MILLENNIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolas Jarry who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Nicolas Jarry is the pick to win this match.
Nicolas Jarry -> 1.22
Gastao Elias -> 3.92

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Prediction and head to head Nicolas Jarry vs. Gastao Elias

This will be the 2^nd time that Nicolas Jarry and Gastao Elias clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Jarry (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they played, Jarry won 6-3 7-6(4) in the 1^st round in the Aix En Provence Challenger back in 2022.

Nicolas Jarry

Ranked no. 57, Jarry reached the 2^nd round after beating Henrique Rocha 6-7(13) 6-3 6-4.

In the 1^st round against Rocha, Jarry recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7¹³ 6-3 6-4). During the match, Jarry scored 115 points vs Rocha’s 102. Jarry was exceptionally aggressive to blast 53 winners.

Talking about the service games, Jarry managed to score 8 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Nicolas Jarry was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 75% (53/71) of his 1st serve and 55% (22/40) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Jarry broke Rocha 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Jarry has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (311-214). 3-7 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Jarry has a composed 215-117 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Jarry has a composed 5-9 win-loss record in 2025, 3-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Estoril Challenger

Jarry has never competed in this tournament before.

Gastao Elias

Ranked no. 339, Elias reached the 2^nd round after beating Learner Tien 5-7 7-5 6-4.

In the 1^st round against Tien, Gastao recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 7-5 6-4). During the match Elias scored 104 points vs Tien’s 100. The Portuguese was very aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about serving, Elias recorded 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Gastao Elias lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Elias put 54% of his first serves in, winning 75% (38/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (21/44) on the 2nd serve. Elias broke Tien 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

Gastao’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio.

The Portuguese has an aggregate 18-10 win-loss record in 2025, 4-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Jarry	Elias
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	32	34
Pts	115-102	104-100
Total Points	217	204
Winners	53	38
%Winners	46%	37%

Both Jarry and Elias played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Nicolas Jarry surrendered 1 set, while Gastao Elias surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Jarry and Elias have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Jarry played 2 games less than Elias. Jarry scored 53 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The Portuguese recorded 38 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Jarry	Elias
Aces	8	4
Avg per match	8	4
1st in	71/111	51/95
%1st in	64%	54%
1st pts	53/71	38/51
%1st pts	75%	75%
2nd pts	22/40	21/44
%2nd pts	55%	48%

Jarry struck 8 aces . Elias recorded 4 aces . Jarry won 75% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Elias won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Jarry	Elias
Won	3	5
Converted	3/8	5/8
% Converted	38%	63%
Conceded	4	8
Saved	3	4
% Saved	75%	50%
Times Broken	1	4

Nicolas broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Chilean conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. The Portuguese broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Elias conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Jarry
	R1 Rocha	Total
Score	6-713 6-3 6-4
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	32	32
pts	115-102	115-102
Total points	217	217
Winners	53	53
%Winners	46%	46%
SERVE
Aces	8	8
Double Faults	4	4
1st in	71/111	71/111
% 1st in	64%	64%
1st pts	53/71	53/71
% 1st pts	75%	75%
2nd pts	22/40	22/40
% 2nd pts	55%	55%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/8	3/8
Converted %	38%	38%
Conceded	4	4
Saved	3/4	3
Saved %	75%	75%
Times Broken	1	1

Elias
	R1 Tien	Total
Score	5-7 7-5 6-4
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	34	34
pts	104-100	104-100
Total points	204	204
Winners	38	38
%Winners	37%	37%
SERVE
Aces	4	4
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	51/95	51/95
% 1st in	54%	54%
1st pts	38/51	38/51
% 1st pts	75%	75%
2nd pts	21/44	21/44
% 2nd pts	48%	48%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/8	5/8
Converted %	63%	63%
Conceded	8	8
Saved	4/8	4
Saved %	50%	50%
Times Broken	4	4

Tennis Scores in Estoril Challenger

• Giovanni FonioFonio – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Nicolas JarryJarry – Henrique RochaRocha (6-7¹³ 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino – Dusan LajovicLajovic (7-5 6-7² 6-3) – See score progression
• Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (2-6 7-6³ 6-1) – See score progression
• Denis YevseyevYevseyev – Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles – Jaime FariaFaria (6-3 7-6²) – See score progression
• Alexey VatutinVatutin – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Aleksandar VukicVukic – Nicolas Moreno De AlboranMoreno De Alboran (6-3 2-6 6-0) – See score progression
• Luca NardiNardi – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Gastao EliasElias – Learner TienTien (5-7 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino – Dusan LajovicLajovic (7-5 6-7(2) 6-3) – See score progression
• Nicolas JarryJarry – Henrique RochaRocha (6-7(13) 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles – Jaime FariaFaria (6-3 7-6(2)) – See score progression
• Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Denis YevseyevYevseyev – Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (2-6 7-6(3) 6-1) – See score progression
• Alexey VatutinVatutin – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Giovanni FonioFonio – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (6-3 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Gastao EliasElias – Nicolas JarryJarry (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Nuno BorgesBorges (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexey VatutinVatutin – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Marcos GironGiron – Aleksandar VukicVukic (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Denis YevseyevYevseyev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Giovanni FonioFonio – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jesper De JongDe Jong – (0-0) – H2H and prediction