Adam Walton and Alibek Kachmazov will play each other in the 2nd round of the Guangzhou Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 12:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Adam Walton who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Adam Walton is the pick to win this match.
Adam Walton -> 1.57
Alibek Kachmazov -> 2.28
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Prediction and head to head Adam Walton vs. Alibek Kachmazov
This will be the 3rd time that Adam Walton and Alibek Kachmazov square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Kachmazov (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Kachmazov won 6-3 1-6 6-2 in the quarter in the Wuxi Challenger back in 2024.
Adam Walton
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-16 | 24-14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-37 | 46-27 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-30 | 53-26 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-12 | 41-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 86, Adam got to the 2nd round after defeating Andre Ilagan 6-3 7-6(3).
In the 1st round, Adam had a good straight sets win against Ilagan (6-3 7-63). During the match, Walton scored 71 points vs Ilagan’s 60. Adam was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Walton blasted 11 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Adam Walton was extremely effective on serve to win 88% (29/33) of his 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Australian broke Ilagan twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Walton has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 65% of his matches (187-101). 24-12 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Walton has an overall173-81 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Brisbane 2 Challenger where he beat Jason Murray Kubler in the final 7-6(6) 7-6(4).
Walton has a compiled 25-13 win-loss record in 2025, 24-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Guangzhou Challenger
Alibek Kachmazov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-14 | 9-6 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-28 | 17-13 | 6-6 | 14-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-31 | 24-14 | 9-6 | 14-10 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2022 | 49-21 | 18-11 | 9-5 | 22-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-20 | 6-8 | 3-6 | 27-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 185, Kachmazov got to the 2nd round after defeating Fajing Sun 6-4 7-6(5).
In the 1st round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Sun (6-4 7-65). During the match Kachmazov scored 87 points vs Sun’s 76. Kachmazov was exceptionally aggressive to blast 34 winners.
About the serving games, Kachmazov managed to score 9 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Alibek Kachmazov lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kachmazov put 49% of his first serves in, winning 87% (34/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (20/41) on the 2nd serve. Alibek broke Sun twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
Alibek’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Gwangju Challenger.
Alibek has a compiled 12-11 win-loss record in 2025, 6-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Guangzhou Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Walton | Kachmazov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 23 |
| Pts | 71-60 | 87-76 |
| Total Points | 131 | 163 |
| Winners | 29 | 34 |
| %Winners | 41% | 39% |
Both Walton and Kachmazov played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Walton and Kachmazov have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Walton played 1 game less than Kachmazov. Walton scored 29 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian recorded 34 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Walton | Kachmazov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 11 | 9 |
| 1st in | 33/61 | 39/80 |
| %1st in | 54% | 49% |
| 1st pts | 29/33 | 34/39 |
| %1st pts | 88% | 87% |
| 2nd pts | 15/28 | 20/41 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 49% |
Walton managed to score 11 aces . Kachmazov managed to score 9 aces . Walton won 88% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Kachmazov won 87% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Walton | Kachmazov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 2 |
| Converted | 2/6 | 2/8 |
| % Converted | 33% | 25% |
| Conceded | 1 | 3 |
| Saved | 0 | 2 |
| % Saved | 0% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Walton broke his opponent twice with a 33% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Kachmazov broke his opponent twice with a 25% conversion rate. Kachmazov conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Walton | |||
| R1 Ilagan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 71-60 | 71-60 | |
| Total points | 131 | 131 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 33/61 | 33/61 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 29/33 | 29/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/28 | 15/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 2/6 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Kachmazov | |||
| R1 Sun |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 87-76 | 87-76 | |
| Total points | 163 | 163 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 39/80 | 39/80 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 49% | |
| 1st pts | 34/39 | 34/39 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 87% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/41 | 20/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 2/8 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLWLWLWW
LLWLWWWLWW Tennis Scores in Guangzhou Challenger
- Brandon HoltHolt – Jie CuiCui (7-67 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ilia SimakinSimakin – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (6-4 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu – Antoine EscoffierEscoffier (6-3 3-6 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Omar JasikaJasika – (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu – Brandon HoltHolt (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Adam WaltonWalton – (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Moerani BouzigeBouzige – Hugo GrenierGrenier (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro (1-1) – H2H and prediction
