Cori Gauff and Mirra Andreeva will square off in the quarter of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 3:00 pm on ARANTXA SANCHEZ STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mirra Andreeva who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mirra Andreeva is the pick to win this match.
Mirra Andreeva -> 1.75
Cori Gauff -> 2.08

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Prediction and head to head Cori Gauff vs. Mirra Andreeva

This will be the 3^rd time that Cori Gauff and Mirra Andreeva fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Gauff (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Gauff won 6-3 6-2 in the 2^nd round in at the U.S. Open back in 2023.

Highlights Cori Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva – U.S. Open 30-August-2023

Cori Gauff

Ranked no. 4, Cori reached the quarter after beating Dayana Yastremska 0-6 6-2 7-5, Ann Li 6-2 6-3 and Belinda Bencic 6-4 6-2.

In the 4^th round, The American had a good straight sets win against Bencic (6-4 6-2). During the match, Gauff scored 67 points vs Bencic’s 46. Gauff was exceptionally aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Regarding the service games, Gauff managed to score 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Cori Gauff was pretty efficient on serve to win 85% (22/26) of her 1st serve and 65% (13/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Gauff broke Bencic 4 times after converting 29% of her break points (4/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Gauff has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 70% of her matches (246-106). 4-1 on clay in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Gauff has a compiled65-27 match record in the last 9 years on clay.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Australia where she defeated Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 6-4.

The American has a compiled 17-6 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Mirra Andreeva

Ranked no. 7, the Russian reached the quarter after defeating Marie Bouzkova 6-3 6-4, Magdalena Frech 7-5 6-3 and Yuliia Starodubtseva 6-1 6-4.

In the 4^th round, Mirra had a good straight sets win against Starodubtseva (6-1 6-4). During the match Andreeva scored 71 points vs Starodubtseva’s 50. Mirra was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about serving, Andreeva was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 5 double faults. Mirra Andreeva conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 9 break points. Furthermore, Andreeva put 63% of her first serves in, winning 65% (31/48) of the points behind her 1st serve and 64% (18/28) on the 2nd serve. Andreeva broke Starodubtseva 3 times after converting 75% of her break points (3/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Mirra hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Dubai where she beat Clara Tauson in the final 7-6(1) 6-1 and in Indian Wells where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 2-6 6-4 6-3.

The Russian has a composed 24-5 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS)

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Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2024. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Gauff	Andreeva
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	6
Tot Games	61	57
Pts	222-174	216-170
Total Points	396	386
Winners	70	92
%Winners	32%	43%

Both Gauff and Andreeva played 3 matches. At the moment, Cori Gauff surrendered 1 set while Mirra Andreeva hasn’t dropped a set so far. Gauff has played 1 set more than Andreeva (7 vs 6). Therefore, Gauff played 4 games more than Andreeva. The American scored 70 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian bagged 92 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Gauff	Andreeva
Aces	6	4
Avg per match	2	1.3
1st in	95/177	131/217
%1st in	54%	60%
1st pts	70/95	92/131
%1st pts	74%	70%
2nd pts	39/82	49/86
%2nd pts	48%	57%

Gauff bagged 6 aces (2 per match). Andreeva made 4 aces (1.3 per match). Gauff won 74% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Andreeva won 70% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Gauff	Andreeva
Won	16	10
Converted	16/37	10/19
% Converted	43%	53%
Conceded	18	18
Saved	8	16
% Saved	44%	89%
Times Broken	10	2

Cori broke her opponents 16 times with a 43% conversion rate. Cori surrendered her serve 10 times and she saved 44% of the break points that she conceded. Andreeva broke her opponents 10 times with a 53% conversion rate. Andreeva conceded her serve twice and she saved 89% of the break points that she conceded.

Gauff
	R2 Yastremska	R3 Li	R4 Bencic	Total
Score	0-6 6-2 7-5	6-2 6-3	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	3	2	2	7
Tot Games	26	17	18	61
pts	94-86	61-42	67-46	222-174
Total points	180	103	113	396
Winners	26	22	22	70
%Winners	28%	36%	33%	32%
SERVE
Aces	3	1	2	6
Double Faults	8	4	1	13
1st in	39/81	30/50	26/46	95/177
% 1st in	48%	60%	57%	54%
1st pts	26/39	22/30	22/26	70/95
% 1st pts	67%	73%	85%	74%
2nd pts	16/42	10/20	13/20	39/82
% 2nd pts	38%	50%	65%	48%
Breaks
Won	7	5	4	16
Converted	7/14	5/9	4/14	16/37
Converted %	50%	56%	29%	43%
Conceded	14	3	1	18
Saved	7/14	1/3	0/1	8
Saved %	50%	33%	0%	28%
Times Broken	7	2	1	10

Andreeva
	R2 Bouzkova	R3 Frech	R4 Starodubtseva	Total
Score	6-3 6-4	7-5 6-3	6-1 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	19	21	17	57
pts	74-60	71-60	71-50	216-170
Total points	134	131	121	386
Winners	29	32	31	92
%Winners	39%	45%	44%	43%
SERVE
Aces	3	1	0	4
Double Faults	7	4	5	16
1st in	38/75	45/66	48/76	131/217
% 1st in	51%	68%	63%	60%
1st pts	29/38	32/45	31/48	92/131
% 1st pts	76%	71%	65%	70%
2nd pts	19/37	12/21	18/28	49/86
% 2nd pts	51%	57%	64%	57%
Breaks
Won	3	4	3	10
Converted	3/9	4/6	3/4	10/19
Converted %	33%	67%	75%	53%
Conceded	4	5	9	18
Saved	3/4	4/5	9/9	16
Saved %	75%	80%	100%	85%
Times Broken	1	1	0	2

Tennis Scores in Madrid

• Zihao XiaXia – Wei Qiang ZhengQiang Zheng (6-7⁰ 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jie CuiCui – Fajing SunSun (6-4 1-0 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Yecong HeHe – Xin GaoGao (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Yan BaiBai – Cheng-Yu YuYu (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Peyton StearnsStearns (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Marta KostyukKostyuk – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (1-4) – H2H and prediction
• Moyuka UchijimaUchijima – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Madison KeysKeys – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (2-4) – H2H and prediction