Cori Gauff and Mirra Andreeva will square off in the quarter of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 3:00 pm on ARANTXA SANCHEZ STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mirra Andreeva who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mirra Andreeva is the pick to win this match.
Mirra Andreeva -> 1.75
Cori Gauff -> 2.08
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Prediction and head to head Cori Gauff vs. Mirra Andreeva
This will be the 3rd time that Cori Gauff and Mirra Andreeva fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Gauff (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Gauff won 6-3 6-2 in the 2nd round in at the U.S. Open back in 2023.
Highlights Cori Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva – U.S. Open 30-August-2023
Cori Gauff
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27-8 | 13-5 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-18 | 31-10 | 14-5 | 4-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-16 | 40-9 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 23-16 | 10-4 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-16 | 16-10 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, Cori reached the quarter after beating Dayana Yastremska 0-6 6-2 7-5, Ann Li 6-2 6-3 and Belinda Bencic 6-4 6-2.
In the 4th round, The American had a good straight sets win against Bencic (6-4 6-2). During the match, Gauff scored 67 points vs Bencic’s 46. Gauff was exceptionally aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Gauff managed to score 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Cori Gauff was pretty efficient on serve to win 85% (22/26) of her 1st serve and 65% (13/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Gauff broke Bencic 4 times after converting 29% of her break points (4/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Gauff has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 70% of her matches (246-106). 4-1 on clay in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Gauff has a compiled65-27 match record in the last 9 years on clay.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Australia where she defeated Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 6-4.
The American has a compiled 17-6 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Mirra Andreeva
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-7 | 20-4 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 34-16 | 18-9 | 16-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-9 | 7-4 | 23-4 | 0-0 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-9 | 21-5 | 18-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, the Russian reached the quarter after defeating Marie Bouzkova 6-3 6-4, Magdalena Frech 7-5 6-3 and Yuliia Starodubtseva 6-1 6-4.
In the 4th round, Mirra had a good straight sets win against Starodubtseva (6-1 6-4). During the match Andreeva scored 71 points vs Starodubtseva’s 50. Mirra was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about serving, Andreeva was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 5 double faults. Mirra Andreeva conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 9 break points. Furthermore, Andreeva put 63% of her first serves in, winning 65% (31/48) of the points behind her 1st serve and 64% (18/28) on the 2nd serve. Andreeva broke Starodubtseva 3 times after converting 75% of her break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mirra hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Dubai where she beat Clara Tauson in the final 7-6(1) 6-1 and in Indian Wells where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 2-6 6-4 6-3.
The Russian has a composed 24-5 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gauff | Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 61 | 57 |
| Pts | 222-174 | 216-170 |
| Total Points | 396 | 386 |
| Winners | 70 | 92 |
| %Winners | 32% | 43% |
Both Gauff and Andreeva played 3 matches. At the moment, Cori Gauff surrendered 1 set while Mirra Andreeva hasn’t dropped a set so far. Gauff has played 1 set more than Andreeva (7 vs 6). Therefore, Gauff played 4 games more than Andreeva. The American scored 70 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian bagged 92 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gauff | Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 1.3 |
| 1st in | 95/177 | 131/217 |
| %1st in | 54% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 70/95 | 92/131 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 39/82 | 49/86 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 57% |
Gauff bagged 6 aces (2 per match). Andreeva made 4 aces (1.3 per match). Gauff won 74% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Andreeva won 70% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gauff | Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 10 |
| Converted | 16/37 | 10/19 |
| % Converted | 43% | 53% |
| Conceded | 18 | 18 |
| Saved | 8 | 16 |
| % Saved | 44% | 89% |
| Times Broken | 10 | 2 |
Cori broke her opponents 16 times with a 43% conversion rate. Cori surrendered her serve 10 times and she saved 44% of the break points that she conceded. Andreeva broke her opponents 10 times with a 53% conversion rate. Andreeva conceded her serve twice and she saved 89% of the break points that she conceded.
| Gauff | |||||
| R2 Yastremska |
R3 Li |
R4 Bencic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 0-6 6-2 7-5 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 17 | 18 | 61 | |
| pts | 94-86 | 61-42 | 67-46 | 222-174 | |
| Total points | 180 | 103 | 113 | 396 | |
| Winners | 26 | 22 | 22 | 70 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 36% | 33% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 4 | 1 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 39/81 | 30/50 | 26/46 | 95/177 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 60% | 57% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 26/39 | 22/30 | 22/26 | 70/95 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 73% | 85% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/42 | 10/20 | 13/20 | 39/82 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 50% | 65% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 7 | 5 | 4 | 16 | |
| Converted | 7/14 | 5/9 | 4/14 | 16/37 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 56% | 29% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 3 | 1 | 18 | |
| Saved | 7/14 | 1/3 | 0/1 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 33% | 0% | 28% | |
| Times Broken | 7 | 2 | 1 | 10 | |
| Andreeva | |||||
| R2 Bouzkova |
R3 Frech |
R4 Starodubtseva |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 7-5 6-3 | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 21 | 17 | 57 | |
| pts | 74-60 | 71-60 | 71-50 | 216-170 | |
| Total points | 134 | 131 | 121 | 386 | |
| Winners | 29 | 32 | 31 | 92 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 45% | 44% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 4 | 5 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 38/75 | 45/66 | 48/76 | 131/217 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 68% | 63% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 29/38 | 32/45 | 31/48 | 92/131 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 71% | 65% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/37 | 12/21 | 18/28 | 49/86 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 57% | 64% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 4/6 | 3/4 | 10/19 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 67% | 75% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 4/5 | 9/9 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 80% | 100% | 85% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWLWWWWWL
WWWLWWWLWW Tennis Scores in Madrid
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- Yecong HeHe – Xin GaoGao (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yan BaiBai – Cheng-Yu YuYu (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Peyton StearnsStearns (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Moyuka UchijimaUchijima – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (2-4) – H2H and prediction
