Elina Svitolina and Moyuka Uchijima will face off in the quarter of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 5:30 pm on ARANTXA SANCHEZ STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elina Svitolina who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Elina Svitolina is the pick to win this match.
Elina Svitolina -> 1.363
Moyuka Uchijima -> 3.125

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Prediction and head to head Elina Svitolina vs. Moyuka Uchijima

This will be the 2^nd time that Elina Svitolina and Moyuka Uchijima clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Svitolina (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Svitolina won 6-2 6-1 in the 1^st round in Paris back in 2024.

Elina Svitolina

Ranked no. 17, Elina reached the quarter after beating Sonay Kartal 6-3 6-1, Elena Rybakina 6-3 6-4 and Maria Sakkari 6-3 6-4.

In the 4^th round, Svitolina had a good straight sets win against Sakkari (6-3 6-4). During the match, Svitolina scored 72 points vs Sakkari’s 62. Svitolina was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about the service games, Svitolina struck 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Elina Svitolina lost the serve twice and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Svitolina put 73% of her first serves in, winning 61% (31/51) of the points behind her 1st serve and 53% (10/19) on the 2nd serve. The Ukrainian broke Sakkari 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Svitolina hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to conquer 57% of the points she played.

Svitolina has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 68% of her matches (316-146). 10-0 on clay in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Svitolina has a compiled 79-33 match record in the last years on clay.

Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Rouen where she defeated Olga Danilovic in the final 6-4 7-6(8).

Elina has a composed 21-6 win-loss record in 2025, 10-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Moyuka Uchijima

Ranked no. 56, Moyuka got to the quarter after beating Robin Montgomery 1-6 6-4 6-3, Ons Jabeur 4-6 6-3 6-4, Jessica Pegula 6-3 6-2 and Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-4 7-6(5).

In the 4^th round, Uchijima had a good straight sets win against Alexandrova (6-4 7-6⁵). During the match Uchijima scored 75 points vs Alexandrova’s 72. Uchijima was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about serving, Uchijima couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 4 double faults. Moyuka Uchijima lost the serve 4 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Uchijima put 55% of her first serves in, winning 57% (24/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 57% (20/35) on the 2nd serve. Uchijima broke Alexandrova 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Japanese has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.

Moyuka has a composed 17-12 win-loss record in 2025, 6-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See her history

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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Svitolina	Uchijima
Match played	3	4
Tot Set	6	10
Tot Games	54	95
Pts	196-150	323-291
Total Points	346	614
Winners	83	122
%Winners	42%	38%

Svitolina played 3 matches while Uchijima competed in 4 matches. At the moment, Moyuka Uchijima surrendered 2 sets while Elina Svitolina hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Svitolina has played 4 set(s) less than Uchijima (6 vs 10). Therefore, Svitolina played 41 games less than Uchijima. Svitolina scored 83 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese bagged 122 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Svitolina	Uchijima
Aces	4	9
Avg per match	1.3	2.3
1st in	123/181	189/308
%1st in	68%	61%
1st pts	83/123	122/189
%1st pts	67%	65%
2nd pts	35/58	66/119
%2nd pts	60%	55%

Svitolina bagged 4 aces (1.3 per match). Uchijima managed to score 9 aces (2.3 per match). Svitolina won 67% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Uchijima won 65% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Svitolina	Uchijima
Won	12	17
Converted	12/18	17/39
% Converted	67%	44%
Conceded	10	31
Saved	7	19
% Saved	70%	61%
Times Broken	3	12

Elina broke her opponents 12 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Ukrainian conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded. The Japanese broke her opponents 17 times with a 44% conversion rate. Uchijima conceded her serve 12 times and she saved 61% of the break points that she conceded.

Svitolina
	R2 Kartal	R3 Rybakina	R4 Sakkari	Total
Score	6-3 6-1	6-3 6-4	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	16	19	19	54
pts	53-31	71-57	72-62	196-150
Total points	84	128	134	346
Winners	18	34	31	83
%Winners	34%	48%	43%	42%
SERVE
Aces	0	2	2	4
Double Faults	1	0	1	2
1st in	27/42	45/69	51/70	123/181
% 1st in	64%	65%	73%	68%
1st pts	18/27	34/45	31/51	83/123
% 1st pts	67%	76%	61%	67%
2nd pts	11/15	14/24	10/19	35/58
% 2nd pts	73%	58%	53%	60%
Breaks
Won	5	2	5	12
Converted	5/6	2/4	5/8	12/18
Converted %	83%	50%	63%	67%
Conceded	1	2	7	10
Saved	0/1	2/2	5/7	7
Saved %	0%	100%	71%	57%
Times Broken	1	0	2	3

Uchijima
	R1 Montgomery	R2 Jabeur	R3 Pegula	R4 Alexandrova	Total
Score	1-6 6-4 6-3	4-6 6-3 6-4	6-3 6-2	6-4 7-65
Tot Set	3	3	2	2	10
Tot Games	26	29	17	23	95
pts	78-74	98-89	72-56	75-72	323-291
Total points	152	187	128	147	614
Winners	28	44	26	24	122
%Winners	36%	45%	36%	32%	38%
SERVE
Aces	2	3	4	0	9
Double Faults	5	5	4	4	18
1st in	43/71	62/96	42/64	42/77	189/308
% 1st in	61%	65%	66%	55%	61%
1st pts	28/43	44/62	26/42	24/42	122/189
% 1st pts	65%	71%	62%	57%	65%
2nd pts	18/28	17/34	11/22	20/35	66/119
% 2nd pts	64%	50%	50%	57%	55%
Breaks
Won	3	4	5	5	17
Converted	3/6	4/13	5/10	5/10	17/39
Converted %	50%	31%	50%	50%	44%
Conceded	7	6	7	11	31
Saved	4/7	3/6	5/7	7/11	19
Saved %	57%	50%	71%	64%	81%
Times Broken	3	3	2	4	12

Tennis Scores in Madrid

• Zihao XiaXia – Wei Qiang ZhengQiang Zheng (6-7⁰ 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jie CuiCui – Fajing SunSun (6-4 1-0 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Yecong HeHe – Xin GaoGao (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Yan BaiBai – Cheng-Yu YuYu (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Peyton StearnsStearns (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Marta KostyukKostyuk – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (1-4) – H2H and prediction
• Moyuka UchijimaUchijima – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Madison KeysKeys – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (2-4) – H2H and prediction