Taylor Fritz and Casper Ruud will square off in the 4^th round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 10:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.73
Taylor Fritz -> 2.11

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Prediction and head to head Taylor Fritz vs. Casper Ruud

This will be the 4^th time that Taylor Fritz and Casper Ruud face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Ruud (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Fritz won 3-6 6-4 6-3 6-2 in the 4^th round in at the U.S. Open back in 2024.

Highlights Taylor Fritz vs Casper Ruud – U.S. Open 01-September-2024

Taylor Fritz

Ranked no. 4 (career-high), Taylor reached the 4^th round after beating Christopher O Connell 6-1 6-4 and Benjamin Bonzi 4-6 7-5 ret..

In the 3^rd round against Bonzi, Fritz had a free pass after Bonzi retired on a 4-6 7-5 . scoreline.

Fritz has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (378-225). 2-0 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Fritz has a compiled 58-41 match record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Australia where he beat Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-4 5-7 7-6(4).

Taylor has an overall 16-6 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Casper Ruud

Ranked no. 15, the Norwegian got to the 4^th round after defeating Arthur Rinderknech 6-3 6-4 and Sebastian Korda 6-3 6-3.

In the 3^rd round, Casper had a good straight sets win against Korda (6-3 6-3). During the match Ruud scored 62 points vs Korda’s 48. The Norwegian was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about serving, Ruud fired 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Casper Ruud was quite efficient on serve to win 73% (29/40) of his 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Norwegian broke Korda 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Casper hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Casper’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Dallas.

Ruud has an overall 17-6 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2021. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Fritz	Ruud
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	4
Tot Games	39	37
Pts	125-114	118-94
Total Points	239	212
Winners	61	57
%Winners	49%	48%

Both Fritz and Ruud played 2 matches. At the moment, Taylor Fritz conceded 1 set while Casper Ruud hasn’t lost a set so far. Fritz has played 1 set more than Ruud (5 vs 4). Therefore, Fritz played 2 games more than Ruud. Taylor scored 61 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Casper bagged 57 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Fritz	Ruud
Aces	11	5
Avg per match	5.5	2.5
1st in	76/123	77/112
%1st in	62%	69%
1st pts	61/76	57/77
%1st pts	80%	74%
2nd pts	21/47	21/35
%2nd pts	45%	60%

Fritz made 11 aces (5.5 per match). Ruud scored 5 aces (2.5 per match). Fritz won 80% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Ruud won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Fritz	Ruud
Won	5	7
Converted	5/13	7/11
% Converted	38%	64%
Conceded	6	7
Saved	4	5
% Saved	67%	71%
Times Broken	2	2

Fritz broke his opponents 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. Fritz dropped his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Norwegian broke his opponents 7 times with a 64% conversion rate. Ruud conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Fritz
	R2 O	R3 Bonzi	Total
Score	6-1 6-4	4-6 7-5 ret.
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	17	22	39
pts	60-44	65-70	125-114
Total points	104	135	239
Winners	27	34	61
%Winners	45%	52%	49%
SERVE
Aces	5	6	11
Double Faults	0	1	1
1st in	31/54	45/69	76/123
% 1st in	57%	65%	62%
1st pts	27/31	34/45	61/76
% 1st pts	87%	76%	80%
2nd pts	9/23	12/24	21/47
% 2nd pts	39%	50%	45%
Breaks
Won	4	1	5
Converted	4/8	1/5	5/13
Converted %	50%	20%	38%
Conceded	4	2	6
Saved	3/4	1/2	4
Saved %	75%	50%	63%
Times Broken	1	1	2

Ruud
	R2 Rinderknech	R3 Korda	Total
Score	6-3 6-4	6-3 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	19	18	37
pts	56-46	62-48	118-94
Total points	102	110	212
Winners	28	29	57
%Winners	50%	47%	48%
SERVE
Aces	2	3	5
Double Faults	2	1	3
1st in	37/54	40/58	77/112
% 1st in	69%	69%	69%
1st pts	28/37	29/40	57/77
% 1st pts	76%	73%	74%
2nd pts	11/17	10/18	21/35
% 2nd pts	65%	56%	60%
Breaks
Won	3	4	7
Converted	3/3	4/8	7/11
Converted %	100%	50%	64%
Conceded	2	5	7
Saved	1/2	4/5	5
Saved %	50%	80%	65%
Times Broken	1	1	2

Tennis Scores in Madrid

• Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Jakub MensikMensik – Ben SheltonShelton (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Francisco ComesanaComesana (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (2-6 7-6³ 7-6⁰) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Benjamin BonziBonzi (4-6 7-5 ret.) – See score progression
• Alexander BublikBublik – Andrey RublevRublev (6-4 0-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Flavio CobolliCobolli (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (6-3 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Tommy PaulPaul (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Gabriel DialloDiallo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Casper RuudRuud (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alexandre MullerMuller (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (5-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (4-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jack DraperDraper – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (2-0) – H2H and prediction