Alexander Zverev and Francisco Cerundolo will clash against each other in the 4^th round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 3:30 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Zverev who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexander Zverev is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Zverev -> 1.5
Francisco Cerundolo -> 2.59

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Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Francisco Cerundolo

This will be the 3^rd time that Alexander Zverev and Francisco Cerundolo square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Cerundolo (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Cerundolo won 3-6 6-3 6-2 in the quarter in Buenos aires back in February 2025.

Highlights Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Zverev – Buenos aires 14-February-2025

Alexander Zverev

Ranked no. 2 (career-high), the German reached the 4^th round after defeating Roberto Bautista Agut 6-2 6-2 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 2-6 7-6(3) 7-6(0).

In the 3^rd round against Davidovich Fokina, Zverev recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-6³ 7-6⁰).During the match, Zverev scored less points (2) than Davidovich Fokina. In fact, the world no. 2 won 98 points vs Davidovich Fokina’s. That means that Zverev was more focused during the important points. The German was very aggressive to blast 46 winners.

Regarding the service games, Zverev made 11 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Alexander Zverev was quite efficient on serve to win 72% (46/64) of his 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 4 times. Zverev broke Davidovich Fokina twice after converting 18% of his break points (2/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Zverev has lost 1 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Zverev has a superlative match record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (466-181). 10-3 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Zverev has an overall 153-49 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Munich where he beat Ben Shelton in the final 6-2 6-4.

The German has a composed 21-7 win-loss record in 2025, 10-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Francisco Cerundolo

Ranked no. 21, the Argentine got to the 4^th round after beating Harold Mayot 6-3 6-4 and Francisco Comesana 6-4 6-4.

In the 3^rd round, Francisco had a good straight sets win against Comesana (6-4 6-4). During the match Cerundolo scored 72 points vs Comesana’s 63. Cerundolo was exceptionally aggressive to blast 38 winners.

About the serving games, Cerundolo fired 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Francisco Cerundolo conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 4 break points. Furthermore, Cerundolo put 77% of his first serves in, winning 69% (38/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 69% (11/16) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Comesana twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Cerundolo hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Cerundolo’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Buenos Aires.

Cerundolo has an overall 22-9 win-loss record in 2025, 14-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Zverev	Cerundolo
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	4
Tot Games	50	39
Pts	155-136	141-119
Total Points	291	260
Winners	67	61
%Winners	43%	43%

Both Zverev and Cerundolo played 2 matches. At the moment, Alexander Zverev conceded 1 set while Francisco Cerundolo hasn’t lost a set so far. Zverev has played 1 set more than Cerundolo (5 vs 4). Therefore, Zverev played 11 games more than Cerundolo. Alexander scored 67 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Francisco scored 61 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Zverev	Cerundolo
Aces	21	7
Avg per match	10.5	3.5
1st in	90/134	90/129
%1st in	67%	70%
1st pts	67/90	61/90
%1st pts	74%	68%
2nd pts	27/44	29/39
%2nd pts	61%	74%

Zverev recorded 21 aces (10.5 per match). Cerundolo made 7 aces (3.5 per match). Zverev won 74% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Cerundolo won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 74% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Zverev	Cerundolo
Won	6	5
Converted	6/20	5/14
% Converted	30%	36%
Conceded	7	7
Saved	3	6
% Saved	43%	86%
Times Broken	4	1

Alexander broke his opponents 6 times with a 30% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded. Cerundolo broke his opponents 5 times with a 36% conversion rate. Cerundolo conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.

Zverev
	R2 Bautista-Agut	R3 Davidovich Fokina	Total
Score	6-2 6-2	2-6 7-63 7-60
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	16	34	50
pts	57-36	98-100	155-136
Total points	93	198	291
Winners	21	46	67
%Winners	37%	47%	43%
SERVE
Aces	10	11	21
Double Faults	1	6	7
1st in	26/42	64/92	90/134
% 1st in	62%	70%	67%
1st pts	21/26	46/64	67/90
% 1st pts	81%	72%	74%
2nd pts	11/16	16/28	27/44
% 2nd pts	69%	57%	61%
Breaks
Won	4	2	6
Converted	4/9	2/11	6/20
Converted %	44%	18%	30%
Conceded	0	7	7
Saved	0/0	3/7	3
Saved %	–	43%	22%
Times Broken	0	4	4

Cerundolo
	R2 Mayot	R3 Comesana	Total
Score	6-3 6-4	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	19	20	39
pts	69-56	72-63	141-119
Total points	125	135	260
Winners	23	38	61
%Winners	33%	53%	43%
SERVE
Aces	3	4	7
Double Faults	1	3	4
1st in	35/58	55/71	90/129
% 1st in	60%	77%	70%
1st pts	23/35	38/55	61/90
% 1st pts	66%	69%	68%
2nd pts	18/23	11/16	29/39
% 2nd pts	78%	69%	74%
Breaks
Won	3	2	5
Converted	3/9	2/5	5/14
Converted %	33%	40%	36%
Conceded	3	4	7
Saved	2/3	4/4	6
Saved %	67%	100%	84%
Times Broken	1	0	1

Tennis Scores in Madrid

• Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Benjamin BonziBonzi (4-6 7-5 ret.) – See score progression
• Alexander BublikBublik – Andrey RublevRublev (6-4 0-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Flavio CobolliCobolli (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Jakub MensikMensik – Ben SheltonShelton (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Francisco ComesanaComesana (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (2-6 7-6³ 7-6⁰) – See score progression
• Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (6-3 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Tommy PaulPaul (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Gabriel DialloDiallo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Casper RuudRuud (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alexandre MullerMuller (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (5-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (4-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jack DraperDraper – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (2-0) – H2H and prediction