Grigor Dimitrov and Jacob Fearnley will face off in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 1:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Grigor Dimitrov who should win in 2 sets.
Grigor Dimitrov -> 1.32
Jacob Fearnley -> 3.38
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Prediction and head to head Grigor Dimitrov vs. Jacob Fearnley
There is no head to head record between Grigor Dimitrov and Jacob Fearnley since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Grigor Dimitrov
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 14-9 | 9-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 46-18 | 21-7 | 8-4 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 43-21 | 16-10 | 10-5 | 10-4 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 26-22 | 10-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
2021 | 24-18 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16, Grigor reached the 3rd round after beating Nicolas Jarry 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Dimitrov had a good straight sets win against Jarry (6-3 6-4). During the match, Dimitrov scored 72 points vs Jarry’s 60. The Bulgarian was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Regarding the service games, Dimitrov bagged 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Grigor Dimitrov was exceptionally effective on serve to win 74% (23/31) of his 1st serve and 67% (22/33) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Bulgarian broke Jarry twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Dimitrov has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (307-182). 4-1 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Dimitrov has an overall 63-43 record in the last years on clay.
The Bulgarian’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Brisbane and Miami.
Dimitrov has a compiled 13-7 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Jacob Fearnley
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 20-12 | 9-5 | 8-5 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 45-9 | 10-2 | 0-0 | 26-4 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
2023 | 17-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 68 (career-high), the Brit reached the 3rd round after beating Pavel Kotov 4-6 6-4 6-1, Hugo Dellien 7-5 6-1, Bu Yunchaokete 6-3 7-6(2) and Tomas Machac 1-6 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Machac, Jacob recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-3 6-2). During the match Fearnley scored 84 points vs Machac’s 80. The Brit was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.
About the serving games, Fearnley bagged 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Jacob Fearnley lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Fearnley put 59% of his first serves in, winning 78% (36/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (14/32) on the 2nd serve. Fearnley broke Machac 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Fearnley started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Fearnley’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Canberra Challenger.
Fearnley has an overall 18-9 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on clay (See FULL STATS)
.Previously in Madrid
Fearnley has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Dimitrov | Fearnley |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 4 |
Tot Set | 2 | 10 |
Tot Games | 19 | 92 |
Pts | 72-60 | 319-275 |
Total Points | 132 | 594 |
Winners | 23 | 128 |
%Winners | 32% | 40% |
Dimitrov played 1 match while Fearnley competed in 4 matches. Fearnley started his run from the qualifications while Dimitrov had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Jacob Fearnley conceded 2 sets while Grigor Dimitrov hasn’t lost a set so far. Dimitrov has played 8 set(s) less than Fearnley (2 vs 10). Therefore, Dimitrov played 73 games less than Fearnley. The Bulgarian scored 23 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit managed to score 128 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Dimitrov | Fearnley |
---|---|---|
Aces | 4 | 23 |
Avg per match | 4 | 5.8 |
1st in | 31/64 | 171/291 |
%1st in | 48% | 59% |
1st pts | 23/31 | 128/171 |
%1st pts | 74% | 75% |
2nd pts | 22/33 | 62/120 |
%2nd pts | 67% | 52% |
Dimitrov fired 4 aces . Fearnley bagged 23 aces (5.8 per match). Dimitrov won 74% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Fearnley won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Dimitrov | Fearnley |
---|---|---|
Won | 2 | 16 |
Converted | 2/5 | 16/32 |
% Converted | 40% | 50% |
Conceded | 5 | 16 |
Saved | 5 | 10 |
% Saved | 100% | 63% |
Times Broken | 0 | 6 |
The Bulgarian broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. The Bulgarian extremely effective on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 5 break points. Fearnley broke his opponents 16 times with a 50% conversion rate. Jacob conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.
Dimitrov | |||
R2 Jarry | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
pts | 72-60 | 72-60 | |
Total points | 132 | 132 | |
Winners | 23 | 23 | |
%Winners | 32% | 32% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 4 | 4 | |
Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
1st in | 31/64 | 31/64 | |
% 1st in | 48% | 48% | |
1st pts | 23/31 | 23/31 | |
% 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
2nd pts | 22/33 | 22/33 | |
% 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 2 | 2 | |
Converted | 2/5 | 2/5 | |
Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
Saved | 5/5 | 5 | |
Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Fearnley | ||||||
Q1 Kotov | Q3 Dellien | R1 Yunchaokete | R2 Machac | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 4-6 6-4 6-1 | 7-5 6-1 | 6-3 7-62 | 1-6 6-3 6-2 | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
Tot Games | 27 | 19 | 22 | 24 | 92 | |
pts | 87-79 | 72-57 | 76-59 | 84-80 | 319-275 | |
Total points | 166 | 129 | 135 | 164 | 594 | |
Winners | 33 | 30 | 29 | 36 | 128 | |
%Winners | 38% | 42% | 38% | 43% | 40% | |
SERVE | ||||||
Aces | 3 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
1st in | 47/82 | 43/71 | 35/60 | 46/78 | 171/291 | |
% 1st in | 57% | 61% | 58% | 59% | 59% | |
1st pts | 33/47 | 30/43 | 29/35 | 36/46 | 128/171 | |
% 1st pts | 70% | 70% | 83% | 78% | 75% | |
2nd pts | 20/35 | 13/28 | 15/25 | 14/32 | 62/120 | |
% 2nd pts | 57% | 46% | 60% | 44% | 52% | |
Breaks | ||||||
Won | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | |
Converted | 5/8 | 5/10 | 3/7 | 3/7 | 16/32 | |
Converted % | 63% | 50% | 43% | 43% | 50% | |
Conceded | 3 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | |
Saved | 1/3 | 4/5 | 2/3 | 3/5 | 10 | |
Saved % | 33% | 80% | 67% | 60% | 240% | |
Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (2-6 7-63 7-60) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander BublikBublik – Andrey RublevRublev (6-4 0-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jakub MensikMensik – Ben SheltonShelton (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Flavio CobolliCobolli (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Taylor FritzFritz – Benjamin BonziBonzi (4-6 7-5 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Casper RuudRuud – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Francisco ComesanaComesana (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Tommy PaulPaul (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Gabriel DialloDiallo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Casper RuudRuud (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alexandre MullerMuller (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (5-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (2-0) – H2H and prediction