Frances Tiafoe and Alexandre Muller will clash against each other in the 3^rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 11:00 am on COURT 4. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexandre Muller who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexandre Muller is the pick to win this match.
Alexandre Muller -> 1.9
Frances Tiafoe -> 1.9

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Prediction and head to head Frances Tiafoe vs. Alexandre Muller

This will be the 2^nd time that Frances Tiafoe and Alexandre Muller fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Tiafoe (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they fought against each other, Tiafoe won 6-4 6-2 in the 1^st round in Acapulco back in February 2025.

Highlights Frances Tiafoe vs Alexandre Muller – Acapulco 25-February-2025

Frances Tiafoe

Ranked no. 17, Tiafoe reached the 3^rd round after beating Luciano Darderi 7-5 3-1 ret..

In the 2^nd round against Darderi, Tiafoe had a free pass after Darderi retired on a 7-5 3-1 . scoreline.

Tiafoe has positive match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (313-233). 5-3 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Tiafoe has an aggregate 67-50 record in the last years on clay.

Tiafoe’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Houston.

Tiafoe has an aggregate 11-9 win-loss record in 2025, 5-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Alexandre Muller

Ranked no. 39 (career-high), Alexandre reached the 3^rd round after defeating David Goffin 6-3 3-6 1-0 ret. and Ugo Humbert 6-2 6-7(3) 7-6(5).

In the 2^nd round, Muller defeated Humbert (6-2 6-7³ 7-6⁵). During the match Muller scored 112 points vs Humbert’s 105. Muller was pretty aggressive to blast 55 winners.

About the serving games, Muller bagged 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alexandre Muller lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Muller put 75% of his first serves in, winning 66% (55/83) of the points behind his 1st serve and 63% (17/27) on the 2nd serve. Muller broke Humbert 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

His best result of the year was conquering the title in Hong Kong where he beat Kei Nishikori in the final 2-6 6-1 6-3.

The French player has a composed 16-11 win-loss record in 2025, 8-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023 and 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Tiafoe	Muller
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	3	7
Tot Games	16	53
Pts	57-42	175-165
Total Points	99	340
Winners	25	83
%Winners	44%	47%

Tiafoe played 1 match while Muller competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Alexandre Muller conceded 2 sets while Frances Tiafoe hasn’t dropped a set so far. Tiafoe has played 4 set(s) less than Muller (3 vs 7). Therefore, Tiafoe played 37 games less than Muller. The American scored 25 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Muller struck 83 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Tiafoe	Muller
Aces	4	7
Avg per match	4	3.5
1st in	28/38	132/183
%1st in	74%	72%
1st pts	25/28	83/132
%1st pts	89%	63%
2nd pts	7/10	28/51
%2nd pts	70%	55%

Tiafoe made 4 aces . Muller managed to score 7 aces (3.5 per match). Tiafoe won 89% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 70% of the points. On the other side, Muller won 63% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Tiafoe	Muller
Won	2	8
Converted	2/5	8/14
% Converted	40%	57%
Conceded	0	13
Saved	0	7
% Saved	0%	54%
Times Broken	0	6

The American broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. The American had a solid display on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. Muller broke his opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. Alexandre conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 54% of the break points that he conceded.

Tiafoe
	R2 Darderi	Total
Score	7-5 3-1 ret.
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	16	16
pts	57-42	57-42
Total points	99	99
Winners	25	25
%Winners	44%	44%
SERVE
Aces	4	4
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	28/38	28/38
% 1st in	74%	74%
1st pts	25/28	25/28
% 1st pts	89%	89%
2nd pts	7/10	7/10
% 2nd pts	70%	70%
Breaks
Won	2	2
Converted	2/5	2/5
Converted %	40%	40%
Conceded	0	0
Saved	0/0	0
Saved %	–	0%
Times Broken	0	0

Muller
	R1 Goffin	R2 Humbert	Total
Score	6-3 3-6 1-0 ret.	6-2 6-73 7-65
Tot Set	3	3	6
Tot Games	19	34	53
pts	63-60	112-105	175-165
Total points	123	217	340
Winners	28	55	83
%Winners	44%	49%	47%
SERVE
Aces	2	5	7
Double Faults	3	2	5
1st in	49/73	83/110	132/183
% 1st in	67%	75%	72%
1st pts	28/49	55/83	83/132
% 1st pts	57%	66%	63%
2nd pts	11/24	17/27	28/51
% 2nd pts	46%	63%	55%
Breaks
Won	4	4	8
Converted	4/7	4/7	8/14
Converted %	57%	57%	57%
Conceded	6	7	13
Saved	2/6	5/7	7
Saved %	33%	71%	104%
Times Broken	4	2	6

Tennis Scores in Madrid

• Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alexander BublikBublik – Andrey RublevRublev (6-4 0-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Flavio CobolliCobolli (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jakub MensikMensik – Ben SheltonShelton (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Casper RuudRuud – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Francisco ComesanaComesana (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (2-6 7-6³ 7-6⁰) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Taylor FritzFritz – Benjamin BonziBonzi (4-6 7-5 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Tommy PaulPaul (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Gabriel DialloDiallo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Casper RuudRuud (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alexandre MullerMuller (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (5-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (4-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jack DraperDraper – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (2-0) – H2H and prediction