Jack Draper and Matteo Berrettini will play each other in the 3^rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 3:00 pm on STADIUM 3. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jack Draper who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jack Draper is the pick to win this match.
Jack Draper -> 1.533
Matteo Berrettini -> 2.49

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Prediction and head to head Jack Draper vs. Matteo Berrettini

This will be the 3^rd time that Jack Draper and Matteo Berrettini face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Draper (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Draper won 4-6 6-4 6-3 in the quarter in Doha back in February 2025.

Highlights Jack Draper vs Matteo Berrettini – Doha 20-February-2025

Jack Draper

Ranked no. 6 (career-high), Draper got to the 3^rd round after defeating Tallon Griekspoor 6-3 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Draper had a good straight sets win against Griekspoor (6-3 6-4). During the match, Draper scored 58 points vs Griekspoor’s 45. Jack was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Talking about the service games, Draper made 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jack Draper was quite efficient on serve to win 85% (23/27) of his 1st serve and 69% (18/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Draper broke Griekspoor twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

Draper has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 69% of his matches (241-108). 2-1 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Draper has an overall26-20 win-loss record in the last 8 years on clay.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Indian Wells where he overcame Holger Rune in the final 6-2 6-2.

The Brit has a composed 15-4 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Matteo Berrettini

Ranked no. 31, the Italian got to the 3^rd round after defeating Marcos Giron 6-7(3) 7-6(6) 6-1.

In the 2^nd round against Giron, Matteo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7³ 7-6⁶ 6-1). During the match Berrettini scored 109 points vs Giron’s 93. Berrettini was very aggressive to blast 58 winners.

About the serving games, Berrettini fired 12 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Matteo Berrettini was very effective on serve to win 77% (58/75) of his 1st serve and 64% (14/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Giron twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).

Berrettini has a compiled 12-8 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2021. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Draper	Berrettini
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	3
Tot Games	19	33
Pts	58-45	109-93
Total Points	103	202
Winners	23	58
%Winners	40%	53%

Both Draper and Berrettini played 1 match. At the moment, Matteo Berrettini dropped 1 set while Jack Draper hasn’t lost a set so far. Draper has played 1 set(s) less than Berrettini (2 vs 3). Therefore, Draper played 14 games less than Berrettini. Jack scored 23 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian made 58 winners (53%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Draper	Berrettini
Aces	5	12
Avg per match	5	12
1st in	27/53	75/97
%1st in	51%	77%
1st pts	23/27	58/75
%1st pts	85%	77%
2nd pts	18/26	14/22
%2nd pts	69%	64%

Draper made 5 aces . Berrettini bagged 12 aces . Draper won 85% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Berrettini won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Draper	Berrettini
Won	2	2
Converted	2/4	2/7
% Converted	50%	29%
Conceded	1	0
Saved	1	0
% Saved	100%	0%
Times Broken	0	0

Jack broke his opponent twice with a 50% conversion rate. Draper was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points. Matteo broke his opponent twice with a 29% conversion rate. The Italian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.

Draper
	R2 Griekspoor	Total
Score	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	19	19
pts	58-45	58-45
Total points	103	103
Winners	23	23
%Winners	40%	40%
SERVE
Aces	5	5
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	27/53	27/53
% 1st in	51%	51%
1st pts	23/27	23/27
% 1st pts	85%	85%
2nd pts	18/26	18/26
% 2nd pts	69%	69%
Breaks
Won	2	2
Converted	2/4	2/4
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	1	1
Saved	1/1	1
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Berrettini
	R2 Giron	Total
Score	6-73 7-66 6-1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	33	33
pts	109-93	109-93
Total points	202	202
Winners	58	58
%Winners	53%	53%
SERVE
Aces	12	12
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	75/97	75/97
% 1st in	77%	77%
1st pts	58/75	58/75
% 1st pts	77%	77%
2nd pts	14/22	14/22
% 2nd pts	64%	64%
Breaks
Won	2	2
Converted	2/7	2/7
Converted %	29%	29%
Conceded	0	0
Saved	0/0	0
Saved %	–	0%
Times Broken	0	0

Tennis Scores in Madrid

• Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alexander BublikBublik – Andrey RublevRublev (6-4 0-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Flavio CobolliCobolli (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jakub MensikMensik – Ben SheltonShelton (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Casper RuudRuud – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Francisco ComesanaComesana (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (2-6 7-6³ 7-6⁰) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Taylor FritzFritz – Benjamin BonziBonzi (4-6 7-5 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Tommy PaulPaul (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Gabriel DialloDiallo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Casper RuudRuud (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alexandre MullerMuller (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (5-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (4-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jack DraperDraper – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (2-0) – H2H and prediction