Jasmine Paolini is 5 wins away to conquer the title in Madrid. Paolini has defeated Katie Boulter 6-1 6-2 to reach the 3rd round where she will face Maria Sakkari.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Jasmine Paolini’s projected draw together withherlikely opposition in Mutua Madrid Open. The Italian has a unfavourable record (6-17) against the projected opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Katie Boulter (40) – 6-1 6-2
R3 – Maria Sakkari (82) – H2H 1-1
R4 – Elena Rybakina (11) – H2H 3-2
or Elina Svitolina (17) – H2H 0-1
1/4 – Jessica Pegula (3) – H2H 0-5
or Daria Kasatkina (14) – H2H 3-3
1/2 – Aryna Sabalenka (1) – H2H 2-5
or Elise Mertens (26) – H2H 2-4
Fin – Iga Swiatek (2) – H2H 0-4
or Cori Gauff (4) – H2H 1-2
Latest Updated
Draw

R3 – Maria Sakkari’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 1-1

25 - 29win/loss in 2025

Rank
52
High
3
LWWLLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 25-29 14-19 7-5 1-1 3-4 0-0
2024 25-17 12-8 11-6 0-0 2-3 0-0
2023 38-25 26-17 5-4 3-1 4-3 0-0
2022 40-23 21-12 8-5 4-2 7-4 0-0
2021 38-20 23-13 9-4 5-2 1-1 0-0
2020 20-11 12-7 2-2 6-2 0-0 0-0
2019 33-23 11-11 15-5 2-3 5-4 0-0
2018 24-26 17-17 7-4 0-2 0-3 0-0

Maria Sakkari has a 9-13 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on clay. In the course of the last 14 years, the Greek has a 177-102 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). The Greek won 5 of her last 10 matches.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open the Greek lost to Beatriz Haddad Maia in the 4th round 6-4 6-4.

H2H Jasmine Paolini vs. Maria Sakkari

This contest would be 3rd time that Jasmine Paolini and Maria Sakkari fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1

(see full H2H stats), 1-0 for Sakkari on clay in major tournaments.

R4 – Elena Rybakina’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-2 for Jasmine Paolini

59 - 19win/loss in 2025

Rank
5
High
3
WWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 59-19 37-13 9-3 8-0 5-3 0-0
2024 43-11 23-5 12-2 2-2 6-2 0-0
2023 47-15 31-11 11-2 0-0 5-2 0-0
2022 40-21 18-12 9-5 5-2 8-2 0-0
2021 33-23 18-14 6-4 2-2 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 18-5 7-3 4-2 0-0 0-0
2019 57-21 19-9 15-6 16-4 7-2 0-0
2018 32-22 11-8 7-9 13-4 0-0 1-1

Elena Rybakina has a 18-7 record in 2025, 1-0 on clay. As for the last 11 years, Rybakina has a 88-36 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Elena won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Elena’s most significant result of this season was reaching the semifinal Australia, Abu Dhabi and Dubai.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Rybakina surrendered to Aryna Sabalenka in the semifinal 1-6 7-5 7-6(5).

H2H Jasmine Paolini vs. Elena Rybakina

This match would represent the 6th time that Jasmine Paolini and Elena Rybakina square off. The head to head is 3-2 for Paolini (see full H2H stats), but Rybakina has a winning record of 2-1 on clay in major tournaments.

Nevertheless, Jasmine Paolini may take on Elina Svitolina. Their head to head record is 1-0 for Elina Svitolina.

1/4 – Jessica Pegula’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 5-0 for Jessica Pegula

53 - 23win/loss in 2025

Rank
6
High
3
LWLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 53-23 35-12 11-5 3-4 4-2 0-0
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2020 17-9 16-7 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0
2019 25-19 14-10 4-5 4-1 3-3 0-0
2018 50-22 21-9 22-10 7-2 0-1 0-0

Jessica Pegula has a 27-7 record in 2025, 7-1 on clay. As for the last 17 years, the American has a 124-75 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). The American won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant achievement of this season was winning the competition in Austin where she overcame Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2, and in Charleston where she beat Sofia Kenin in the final 6-3 7-5.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Jessica didn’t play in this event.

H2H Jasmine Paolini vs. Jessica Pegula

This contest would be 6th time that Jasmine Paolini and Jessica Pegula fight against each other. The head to head is 5-0 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay in major tournaments.

Possibly, Jasmine Paolini could fight against Daria Kasatkina. Their head to head record is 3-3.

1/2 – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 5-2 for Aryna Sabalenka

63 - 12win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 63-12 35-6 17-3 4-1 7-2 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0

Aryna Sabalenka has a 26-5 record in 2025, 3-1 on clay. In connection to the previous 10 years, the Belarussian has a 80-40 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Aryna won 9 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant achievement of the year was conquering the title in Brisbane where she beat Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2, and in Miami where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Aryna lost to Iga Swiatek in the final 7-5 4-6 7-6(7).

H2H Jasmine Paolini vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This contest would be 8th time that Jasmine Paolini and Aryna Sabalenka clash against each other. The head to head is 5-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay in major tournaments.

Notwithstanding, Jasmine Paolini could square off with Elise Mertens. Their head to head is 4-2 for Elise Mertens.

Final – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-0 for Iga Swiatek

64 - 17win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
WWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 64-17 40-10 11-4 3-2 10-1 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
2019 34-17 17-8 10-3 4-3 3-3 0-0
2018 43-6 8-1 34-5 1-0 0-0 0-0

Iga Swiatek has a 24-7 record in 2025, 3-1 on clay. Regarding the last 10 years, Iga has a 140-19 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). The Pole won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Swiatek’s most significant achievement of this current year was reaching the final Australia.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open the Pole won the event after defeating Aryna Sabalenka 7-5 4-6 7-6(7).

H2H Jasmine Paolini vs. Iga Swiatek

This contest would be 5th time that Jasmine Paolini and Iga Swiatek clash against each other. The head to head is 4-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay in major tournaments.

On the other hand, Jasmine Paolini could compete against Cori Gauff. Their H2H is 2-1 for Cori Gauff.