Maria Sakkari is 5 wins away to conquer the title in Madrid. Sakkari has defeated Xinyu Wang 6-4 7-6⁷ and Magda Linette 7-6⁵ 6-3 to reach the 3^rd round where she will face Jasmine Paolini.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Maria Sakkari’s projected draw andherpresumable opponents in Mutua Madrid Open. Sakkari has a unfavourable record (13-22) against the presumable opposition.

R3 – Jasmine Paolini’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 1-1

Jasmine Paolini has a 16-7 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on clay. In the last 13 years, Paolini has a 207-115 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). The Italian won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Jasmine’s most significant result of this year was getting to the semifinal Miami and Stuttgart.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open the Italian lost to Mirra Andreeva in the 4^th round 7-6(2) 6-4.

H2H Maria Sakkari vs. Jasmine Paolini

This contest would be 3^rd time that Maria Sakkari and Jasmine Paolini fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 for Sakkari on clay in major tournaments.

R4 – Elena Rybakina’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-1 for Elena Rybakina

Elena Rybakina has a 18-7 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on clay. In the course of the last 11 years, Rybakina has a 88-36 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Elena won 7 of her last 10 matches.

The Kazakhstani’s best achievement of the year was reaching the semifinal Australia, Abu Dhabi and Dubai.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Rybakina capitulated to Aryna Sabalenka in the semifinal 1-6 7-5 7-6(5).

H2H Maria Sakkari vs. Elena Rybakina

This would be the 6^th time that Maria Sakkari and Elena Rybakina play each other. The head to head is 4-1 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay in major tournaments.

Possibly, Maria Sakkari may take on Elina Svitolina. Their head to head is 2-2.

1/4 – Jessica Pegula’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 6-5 for Jessica Pegula

Jessica Pegula has a 27-7 win-loss record in 2025, 7-1 on clay. In the course of the previous 17 years, Jessica has a 124-75 record on clay (Click here

to see full career record). Pegula won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant result of this season was conquering the title in Austin where she overcame Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2, and in Charleston where she beat Sofia Kenin in the final 6-3 7-5.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Jessica didn’t compete in this tournament.

H2H Maria Sakkari vs. Jessica Pegula

This contest would be 12^th time that Maria Sakkari and Jessica Pegula square off. The head to head is 6-5 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay in major tournaments.

However, Maria Sakkari could compete against Daria Kasatkina. Their head to head record is 4-1 for Daria Kasatkina.

1/2 – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 7-3 for Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka has a 26-5 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on clay. In the last 10 years, the Belarussian has a 80-40 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Aryna won 9 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant achievement of this year was winning the tournament in Brisbane where she defeated Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2, and in Miami where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open the Belarussian lost to Iga Swiatek in the final 7-5 4-6 7-6(7).

H2H Maria Sakkari vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This would be the 11^th time that Maria Sakkari and Aryna Sabalenka fight against each other. The head to head is 7-3 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay in major tournaments.

Nonetheless, Maria Sakkari may play Elise Mertens. Their H2H is 6-4 for Maria Sakkari.

Final – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-3 for Iga Swiatek

Iga Swiatek has a 24-7 record in 2025, 3-1 on clay. During the previous 10 years, Swiatek has a 140-19 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Swiatek won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Swiatek’s most significant achievement of this current year was reaching the final Australia.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Swiatek won the title after downing Aryna Sabalenka 7-5 4-6 7-6(7).

H2H Maria Sakkari vs. Iga Swiatek

This match would represent the 8^th time that Maria Sakkari and Iga Swiatek face off. The head to head is 4-3 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but Sakkari has a winning record of 1-0 on clay in major tournaments.

Alternatively, Maria Sakkari could face Cori Gauff. Their H2H record is 5-5.