[UPDATED R3]. Prediction, H2H of Elina Svitolina’s draw vs Rybakina, Paolini, Pegula, Sabalenka, Swiatek to win the Madrid

Madrid draw preview with H2H - Elina Svitolina may need to oust Elena Rybakina, Jasmine Paolini, Jessica Pegula, Aryna Sabalenka, Iga Swiatek to conquer the tournament in the Mutua Madrid Open.

Elina Svitolina Stats info

Elina Svitolina is 5 wins away to conquer the title in Madrid. Elina has defeated Sonay Kartal 6-3 6-1 to reach the 3rd round where she will face Elena Rybakina.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Elina Svitolina’s projected draw andherplausible opposition in Mutua Madrid Open. Svitolina has a losing record (8-15) against the likely opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Sonay Kartal (60) – 6-3 6-1
R3 – Elena Rybakina (11) – H2H 2-3
R4 – Jasmine Paolini (6) – H2H 1-0
or Maria Sakkari (82) – H2H 2-2
1/4 – Jessica Pegula (3) – H2H 3-5
or Daria Kasatkina (14) – H2H 8-0
1/2 – Aryna Sabalenka (1) – H2H 1-4
or Elise Mertens (26) – H2H 4-3
Fin – Iga Swiatek (2) – H2H 1-3
or Cori Gauff (4) – H2H 1-2
Svitolina
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

R3 – Elena Rybakina’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-2 for Elena Rybakina

19 - 9win/loss in 2025

Rank
12
High
3
LWLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 19-9 15-7 2-2 2-0 0-0 0-0
2024 43-11 23-5 12-2 2-2 6-2 0-0
2023 47-15 31-11 11-2 0-0 5-2 0-0
2022 40-21 18-12 9-5 5-2 8-2 0-0
2021 33-23 18-14 6-4 2-2 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 18-5 7-3 4-2 0-0 0-0
2019 57-21 19-9 15-6 16-4 7-2 0-0
2018 32-22 11-8 7-9 13-4 0-0 1-1

Elena Rybakina has a 18-7 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on clay. In the last 11 years, Rybakina has a 88-36 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Elena won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Rybakina’s most significant achievement of this season was reaching the semifinal Australia, Abu Dhabi and Dubai.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Elena surrendered to Aryna Sabalenka in the semifinal 1-6 7-5 7-6(5).

H2H Elina Svitolina vs. Elena Rybakina

This would be the 6th time that Elina Svitolina and Elena Rybakina face off. The head to head is 3-2 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats), but they are 1-1 on clay in major tournaments.

R4 – Jasmine Paolini’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Elina Svitolina

20 - 8win/loss in 2025

Rank
5
High
4
WWWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 20-8 12-6 8-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 42-21 19-10 12-5 3-4 8-2 0-0
2023 43-30 20-16 16-8 5-3 2-3 0-0
2022 30-25 14-11 10-10 6-3 0-1 0-0
2021 34-24 17-13 12-7 5-3 0-1 0-0
2020 7-15 1-8 4-5 2-2 0-0 0-0
2019 48-29 12-8 32-14 4-6 0-1 0-0
2018 28-33 9-9 18-18 1-3 0-3 0-0

Jasmine Paolini has a 16-7 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on clay. In connection to the previous 13 years, Paolini has a 207-115 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Jasmine won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Paolini’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal Miami and Stuttgart.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open the Italian lost to Mirra Andreeva in the 4th round 7-6(2) 6-4.

H2H Elina Svitolina vs. Jasmine Paolini

This would be the 2nd time that Elina Svitolina and Jasmine Paolini fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Svitolina (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay in major tournaments.

However, Elina Svitolina may take on Maria Sakkari. Their H2H record is 2-2.

1/4 – Jessica Pegula’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 5-3 for Jessica Pegula

28 - 9win/loss in 2025

Rank
4
High
3
LWLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 28-9 20-6 8-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2020 17-9 16-7 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0
2019 25-19 14-10 4-5 4-1 3-3 0-0
2018 50-22 21-9 22-10 7-2 0-1 0-0

Jessica Pegula has a 27-7 record in 2025, 7-1 on clay. As for the last 17 years, Pegula has a 124-75 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Pegula won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant result of this current season was winning the competition in Austin where she overcame Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2, and in Charleston where she beat Sofia Kenin in the final 6-3 7-5.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open the American didn’t play in this tournament.

H2H Elina Svitolina vs. Jessica Pegula

This match would represent the 9th time that Elina Svitolina and Jessica Pegula face off. The head to head is 5-3 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), but Svitolina leads 1-0 on clay in major tournaments.

On the other hand, Elina Svitolina may square off with Daria Kasatkina. Their head to head is 8-0 for Elina Svitolina.

1/2 – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-1 for Aryna Sabalenka

34 - 5win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
WWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 34-5 23-4 11-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0

Aryna Sabalenka has a 26-5 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on clay. Regarding the last 10 years, Sabalenka has a 80-40 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Sabalenka won 9 of her last 10 matches.

Her best result of this season was winning the title in Brisbane where she overcame Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2, and in Miami where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Aryna surrendered to Iga Swiatek in the final 7-5 4-6 7-6(7).

H2H Elina Svitolina vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This match would represent the 6th time that Elina Svitolina and Aryna Sabalenka face off. The head to head is 4-1 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on clay in major tournaments.

Nonetheless, Elina Svitolina could square off with Elise Mertens. Their H2H record is 4-3 for Elina Svitolina.

Final – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-1 for Iga Swiatek

27 - 9win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
LWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 27-9 21-6 6-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
2019 34-17 17-8 10-3 4-3 3-3 0-0
2018 43-6 8-1 34-5 1-0 0-0 0-0

Iga Swiatek has a 24-7 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on clay. As for the previous 10 years, Swiatek has a 140-19 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Iga won 7 of her last 10 matches.

The Pole’s best result of this year was getting to the final Australia.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open the Pole won the title after beating Aryna Sabalenka 7-5 4-6 7-6(7).

H2H Elina Svitolina vs. Iga Swiatek

This contest would be 5th time that Elina Svitolina and Iga Swiatek fight against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay in major tournaments.

Possibly, Elina Svitolina may fight against Cori Gauff. Their head to head is 2-1 for Cori Gauff.