Daria Kasatkina is 5 wins away to conquer the title in Madrid. Darya has defeated Alycia Parks 6-2 7-5 to reach the 3^rd round where she will face Ekaterina Alexandrova.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Daria Kasatkina’s projected draw includingherlikely opposition in Mutua Madrid Open. Darya has a losing record (10-21) with the likely opposition.

R3 – Ekaterina Alexandrova’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-2 for Daria Kasatkina

Ekaterina Alexandrova has a 16-9 record in 2025, 7-2 on clay. In the course of the previous 11 years, Ekaterina has a 94-71 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). The Russian won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant result of this season was winning the title in Linz where she overcame Dayana Yastremska in the final 6-2 3-6 7-5.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Alexandrova lost to Ashlyn Krueger in the 2^nd round 6-3 6-3.

H2H Daria Kasatkina vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova

This would be the 6^th time that Daria Kasatkina and Ekaterina Alexandrova clash against each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Kasatkina (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay in major tournaments.

R4 – Jessica Pegula’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-1 for Jessica Pegula

Jessica Pegula has a 27-7 record in 2025, 7-1 on clay. In the previous 17 years, Pegula has a 124-75 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). The American won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Her best achievement of the current season was conquering the competition in Austin where she beat Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2, and in Charleston where she beat Sofia Kenin in the final 6-3 7-5.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Jessica didn’t compete in this tournament.

H2H Daria Kasatkina vs. Jessica Pegula

This match would represent the 5^th time that Daria Kasatkina and Jessica Pegula face off. The head to head is 3-1 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), but they are 1-1 on clay in major tournaments.

Yet, Daria Kasatkina could face Moyuka Uchijima. Their H2H is 0-0.

1/4 – Jasmine Paolini’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 3-3

Jasmine Paolini has a 16-7 record in 2025, 4-1 on clay. In the previous 13 years, Paolini has a 207-115 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). The Italian won 8 of her last 10 matches.

The Italian’s most significant achievement of the current year was getting to the semifinal Miami and Stuttgart.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Paolini was defeated by Mirra Andreeva in the 4^th round 7-6(2) 6-4.

H2H Daria Kasatkina vs. Jasmine Paolini

This match would represent the 7^th time that Daria Kasatkina and Jasmine Paolini square off. The head to head is 3-3

(see full H2H stats), 3-2 for Paolini on clay in major tournaments.

However, Daria Kasatkina could compete against Elena Rybakina. Their H2H is 3-2 for Elena Rybakina.

1/2 – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 7-2 for Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka has a 26-5 record in 2025, 3-1 on clay. In the course of the last 10 years, Sabalenka has a 80-40 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Sabalenka won 9 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant result of this season was winning the title in Brisbane where she defeated Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2, and in Miami where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Sabalenka lost to Iga Swiatek in the final 7-5 4-6 7-6(7).

H2H Daria Kasatkina vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This would be the 10^th time that Daria Kasatkina and Aryna Sabalenka fight against each other. The head to head is 7-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay in major tournaments.

Anyhow, Daria Kasatkina could play Elise Mertens. Their H2H is 6-2 for Daria Kasatkina.

Final – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 6-1 for Iga Swiatek

Iga Swiatek has a 24-7 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on clay. During the last 10 years, Iga has a 140-19 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Swiatek won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Swiatek’s most significant achievement of this current season was getting to the final Australia.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open the Pole conquered the event after defeating Aryna Sabalenka 7-5 4-6 7-6(7).

H2H Daria Kasatkina vs. Iga Swiatek

This would be the 8^th time that Daria Kasatkina and Iga Swiatek square off. The head to head is 6-1 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay in major tournaments.

On the other hand, Daria Kasatkina may play Cori Gauff. Their H2H record is 3-0 for Daria Kasatkina.