Ekaterina Alexandrova is 5 wins away to conquer the title in Madrid. Ekaterina has defeated Olga Danilovic 6-3 6-4 to reach the 3rd round where she will face Daria Kasatkina.
Draw prediction with head to head records
This is Ekaterina Alexandrova’s projected draw withherprojected opponents in Mutua Madrid Open. Ekaterina has a positive record (13-12) against the likely opponents.
R3 – Daria Kasatkina’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 3-2 for Daria Kasatkina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-11 | 9-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-23 | 24-16 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 7-8 | 5-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 13-21 | 8-13 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 42-24 | 15-13 | 12-7 | 8-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Daria Kasatkina has a 11-9 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on clay. During the previous 13 years, Darya has a 133-56 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). The Australian won 5 of her last 10 matches.
Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Kasatkina was defeated by Yulia Putintseva in the 4th round 3-6 6-2 6-2.
H2H Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Daria Kasatkina
This match would represent the 6th time that Ekaterina Alexandrova and Daria Kasatkina square off. The head to head is 3-2 for Kasatkina (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay in major tournaments.
R4 – Jessica Pegula’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 3-2 for Ekaterina Alexandrova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 28-9 | 20-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 25-19 | 14-10 | 4-5 | 4-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 50-22 | 21-9 | 22-10 | 7-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Jessica Pegula has a 27-7 record in 2025, 7-1 on clay. In the course of the last 17 years, Pegula has a 124-75 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Pegula won 8 of her last 10 matches.
Her most significant result of the current season was winning the title in Austin where she defeated Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2, and in Charleston where she overcame Sofia Kenin in the final 6-3 7-5.
Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Pegula didn’t take part in the competition.
H2H Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Jessica Pegula
This would be the 6th time that Ekaterina Alexandrova and Jessica Pegula fight against each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Alexandrova (see full H2H stats), but Pegula has a winning record of 2-1 on clay in major tournaments.
Yet, Ekaterina Alexandrova could play Moyuka Uchijima. Their head to head is 0-0.
1/4 – Jasmine Paolini’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 2-0 for Ekaterina Alexandrova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-8 | 12-6 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-21 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 3-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-15 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 48-29 | 12-8 | 32-14 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 28-33 | 9-9 | 18-18 | 1-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
Jasmine Paolini has a 16-7 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on clay. In the course of the last 13 years, Paolini has a 207-115 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). The Italian won 8 of her last 10 matches.
The Italian’s most significant achievement of this current year was reaching the semifinal Miami and Stuttgart.
Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Paolini lost to Mirra Andreeva in the 4th round 7-6(2) 6-4.
H2H Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Jasmine Paolini
This would be the 3rd time that Ekaterina Alexandrova and Jasmine Paolini play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Alexandrova (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay in major tournaments.
Yet, Ekaterina Alexandrova could face Elena Rybakina. Their head to head is 3-1 for Ekaterina Alexandrova.
1/2 – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.
Head to head record 4-4
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33-5 | 23-4 | 10-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 39-22 | 28-12 | 5-5 | 4-1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 51-25 | 34-13 | 7-6 | 3-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
Aryna Sabalenka has a 26-5 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on clay. Talking about the previous 10 years, the Belarussian has a 80-40 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). The Belarussian won 9 of her last 10 matches.
Her most significant achievement of this current season was conquering the title in Brisbane where she overcame Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2, and in Miami where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2.
Last year in Mutua Madrid Open the Belarussian surrendered to Iga Swiatek in the final 7-5 4-6 7-6(7).
H2H Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Aryna Sabalenka
This contest would be 9th time that Ekaterina Alexandrova and Aryna Sabalenka square off. The head to head is 4-4 for Alexandrova and Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay in major tournaments.
Nonetheless, Ekaterina Alexandrova may face Elise Mertens. Their head to head record is 3-1 for Ekaterina Alexandrova.
Final – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 3-2 for Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27-9 | 21-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-5 | 6-4 | 7-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 34-17 | 17-8 | 10-3 | 4-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 43-6 | 8-1 | 34-5 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Iga Swiatek has a 24-7 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on clay. Regarding the last 10 years, Iga has a 140-19 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Iga won 7 of her last 10 matches.
Iga’s best result of the season was getting to the final Australia.
Last year in Mutua Madrid Open the Pole conquered the competition after ousting Aryna Sabalenka 7-5 4-6 7-6(7).
H2H Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Iga Swiatek
This would be the 6th time that Ekaterina Alexandrova and Iga Swiatek square off. The head to head is 3-2 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay in major tournaments.
However, Ekaterina Alexandrova could compete against Cori Gauff. Their head to head is 3-1 for Cori Gauff.
