[UPDATED R3]. Prediction, H2H of Moyuka Uchijima’s draw vs Pegula, Kasatkina, Paolini, Sabalenka, Swiatek to win the Madrid

Madrid draw preview with H2H - Moyuka Uchijima may need to oust Jessica Pegula, Daria Kasatkina, Jasmine Paolini, Aryna Sabalenka, Iga Swiatek to conquer the tournament in the Mutua Madrid Open.

Moyuka Uchijima Stats info

Moyuka Uchijima is 5 wins away to conquer the title in Madrid. Moyuka has defeated Robin Montgomery 1-6 6-4 6-3 and Ons Jabeur 4-6 6-3 6-4 to reach the 3rd round where she will face Jessica Pegula.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Moyuka Uchijima’s projected draw alongsideherprojected opponents in Mutua Madrid Open. Moyuka has a losing record (0-3) with the likely opposition.

R1 – Robin Montgomery (100) – 1-6 6-4 6-3
R2 – Ons Jabeur (28) – 4-6 6-3 6-4
R3 – Jessica Pegula (3) – H2H 0-0
R4 – Daria Kasatkina (14) – H2H 0-0
or Ekaterina Alexandrova (22) – H2H 0-0
1/4 – Jasmine Paolini (6) – H2H 0-2
or Elena Rybakina (11) – H2H 0-1
1/2 – Aryna Sabalenka (1) – H2H 0-1
or Elise Mertens (26) – H2H 0-1
Fin – Iga Swiatek (2) – H2H 0-0
or Cori Gauff (4) – H2H 0-1
Uchijima
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Draw

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R3 – Jessica Pegula’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

28 - 9win/loss in 2025

Rank
4
High
3
LWLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 28-9 20-6 8-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2020 17-9 16-7 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0
2019 25-19 14-10 4-5 4-1 3-3 0-0
2018 50-22 21-9 22-10 7-2 0-1 0-0

Jessica Pegula has a 27-7 record in 2025, 7-1 on clay. In connection to the last 17 years, Pegula has a 124-75 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). The American won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant achievement of this current year was winning the competition in Austin where she beat Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2, and in Charleston where she overcame Sofia Kenin in the final 6-3 7-5.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Pegula didn’t compete in this tournament.

H2H Moyuka Uchijima vs. Jessica Pegula

There is no head to head record between Moyuka Uchijima and Jessica Pegula since this would be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

R4 – Daria Kasatkina’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

11 - 11win/loss in 2025

Rank
15
High
8
LLWLWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 11-11 9-8 2-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 40-23 24-16 8-4 0-1 8-2 0-0
2023 39-25 19-15 12-6 2-1 6-3 0-0
2022 41-22 24-14 12-5 1-1 4-2 0-0
2021 38-19 19-10 5-5 7-1 7-3 0-0
2020 18-14 7-8 5-3 6-3 0-0 0-0
2019 13-21 8-13 4-4 1-2 0-2 0-0
2018 42-24 15-13 12-7 8-1 7-3 0-0

Daria Kasatkina has a 11-9 record in 2025, 2-1 on clay. Regarding the previous 13 years, the Australian has a 133-56 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). The Australian won 5 of her last 10 matches.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Darya surrendered to Yulia Putintseva in the 4th round 3-6 6-2 6-2.

H2H Moyuka Uchijima vs. Daria Kasatkina

There is no head to head record between Moyuka Uchijima and Daria Kasatkina since this would be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

However, Moyuka Uchijima may play Ekaterina Alexandrova. Their H2H record is 0-0.

1/4 – Jasmine Paolini’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-0 for Jasmine Paolini

20 - 8win/loss in 2025

Rank
5
High
4
WWWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 20-8 12-6 8-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 42-21 19-10 12-5 3-4 8-2 0-0
2023 43-30 20-16 16-8 5-3 2-3 0-0
2022 30-25 14-11 10-10 6-3 0-1 0-0
2021 34-24 17-13 12-7 5-3 0-1 0-0
2020 7-15 1-8 4-5 2-2 0-0 0-0
2019 48-29 12-8 32-14 4-6 0-1 0-0
2018 28-33 9-9 18-18 1-3 0-3 0-0

Jasmine Paolini has a 16-7 record in 2025, 4-1 on clay. During the last 13 years, Paolini has a 207-115 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Paolini won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Jasmine’s most significant result of this current year was reaching the semifinal Miami and Stuttgart.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Paolini lost to Mirra Andreeva in the 4th round 7-6(2) 6-4.

H2H Moyuka Uchijima vs. Jasmine Paolini

This contest would be 3rd time that Moyuka Uchijima and Jasmine Paolini square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Paolini (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay in major tournaments.

Possibly, Moyuka Uchijima may play Elena Rybakina. Their head to head is 1-0 for Elena Rybakina.

1/2 – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Aryna Sabalenka

34 - 5win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
WWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 34-5 23-4 11-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0

Aryna Sabalenka has a 26-5 record in 2025, 3-1 on clay. In connection to the previous 10 years, the Belarussian has a 80-40 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Aryna won 9 of her last 10 matches.

Her best achievement of the year was conquering the competition in Brisbane where she overcame Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2, and in Miami where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Aryna was defeated by Iga Swiatek in the final 7-5 4-6 7-6(7).

H2H Moyuka Uchijima vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This match would represent the 2nd time that Moyuka Uchijima and Aryna Sabalenka clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay in major tournaments.

Notwithstanding, Moyuka Uchijima could compete against Elise Mertens. Their head to head record is 1-0 for Elise Mertens.

Final – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

27 - 9win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
LWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 27-9 21-6 6-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
2019 34-17 17-8 10-3 4-3 3-3 0-0
2018 43-6 8-1 34-5 1-0 0-0 0-0

Iga Swiatek has a 24-7 record in 2025, 3-1 on clay. In the previous 10 years, the Pole has a 140-19 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Iga won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Iga’s best result of the year was getting to the final Australia.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open the Pole conquered the event after ousting Aryna Sabalenka 7-5 4-6 7-6(7).

H2H Moyuka Uchijima vs. Iga Swiatek

There is no head to head record between Moyuka Uchijima and Iga Swiatek since this would be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Alternatively, Moyuka Uchijima may come up against Cori Gauff. Their H2H record is 1-0 for Cori Gauff.