Jessica Pegula is 5 wins away to conquer the title in Madrid. The American has defeated Eva Lys 6-2 6-2 to reach the 3rd round where she will face Moyuka Uchijima.
Draw prediction with head to head records
This is Jessica Pegula’s projected draw andherplausible opposition in Mutua Madrid Open. Pegula has a neutral record (14-14) against the projected opponents.
R3 – Moyuka Uchijima’s rankings and performance.
Head to head record 0-0
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24-32 | 15-21 | 7-7 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-26 | 25-14 | 22-5 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-34 | 23-21 | 7-9 | 4-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 54-28 | 24-15 | 19-5 | 11-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-9 | 19-5 | 8-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-6 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 28-27 | 20-19 | 6-5 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 2018 | 15-15 | 13-11 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Moyuka Uchijima has a 15-12 record in 2025, 4-1 on clay. Talking about the last 9 years, the Japanese has a 75-32 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Uchijima won 7 of her last 10 matches.
Last year in Mutua Madrid Open the Japanese didn’t take part in this event.
H2H Jessica Pegula vs. Moyuka Uchijima
There is no head to head record between Jessica Pegula and Moyuka Uchijima since this would be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
R4 – Daria Kasatkina’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 3-1 for Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-22 | 12-13 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-23 | 24-16 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 7-8 | 5-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 13-21 | 8-13 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 42-24 | 15-13 | 12-7 | 8-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Daria Kasatkina has a 11-9 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on clay. Regarding the last 13 years, Darya has a 133-56 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). The Australian won 5 of her last 10 matches.
Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Kasatkina lost to Yulia Putintseva in the 4th round 3-6 6-2 6-2.
H2H Jessica Pegula vs. Daria Kasatkina
This contest would be 5th time that Jessica Pegula and Daria Kasatkina play each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), but they are 1-1 on clay in major tournaments.
However, Jessica Pegula may take on Ekaterina Alexandrova. Their head to head record is 3-2 for Ekaterina Alexandrova.
1/4 – Jasmine Paolini’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 5-0 for Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 46-21 | 27-12 | 13-3 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-21 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 3-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-15 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 48-29 | 12-8 | 32-14 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 28-33 | 9-9 | 18-18 | 1-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
Jasmine Paolini has a 16-7 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on clay. As for the last 13 years, the Italian has a 207-115 record on clay (Click here
to see full career record). Jasmine won 8 of her last 10 matches.Paolini’s most significant result of the year was getting to the semifinal Miami and Stuttgart.
Last year in Mutua Madrid Open the Italian lost to Mirra Andreeva in the 4th round 7-6(2) 6-4.
H2H Jessica Pegula vs. Jasmine Paolini
This would be the 6th time that Jessica Pegula and Jasmine Paolini play each other. The head to head is 5-0 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay in major tournaments.
Anyhow, Jessica Pegula could compete against Elena Rybakina. Their H2H record is 3-1 for Jessica Pegula
.1/2 – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 7-2 for Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 63-12 | 35-6 | 17-3 | 4-1 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 39-22 | 28-12 | 5-5 | 4-1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 51-25 | 34-13 | 7-6 | 3-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
Aryna Sabalenka has a 26-5 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on clay. As for the last 10 years, Sabalenka has a 80-40 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). The Belarussian won 9 of her last 10 matches.
Her best achievement of the season was winning the title in Brisbane where she overcame Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2, and in Miami where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2.
Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Sabalenka was defeated by Iga Swiatek in the final 7-5 4-6 7-6(7).
H2H Jessica Pegula vs. Aryna Sabalenka
This would be the 10th time that Jessica Pegula and Aryna Sabalenka face off. The head to head is 7-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on clay in major tournaments.
Alternatively, Jessica Pegula may fight against Elise Mertens. Their head to head is 3-1 for Elise Mertens.
Final – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 6-4 for Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 64-17 | 40-10 | 11-4 | 3-2 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-5 | 6-4 | 7-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 34-17 | 17-8 | 10-3 | 4-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 43-6 | 8-1 | 34-5 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Iga Swiatek has a 24-7 record in 2025, 3-1 on clay. Regarding the previous 10 years, the Pole has a 140-19 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Swiatek won 7 of her last 10 matches.
Iga’s best achievement of the current season was reaching the final Australia.
Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Iga won the tournament after besting Aryna Sabalenka 7-5 4-6 7-6(7).
H2H Jessica Pegula vs. Iga Swiatek
This match would represent the 11th time that Jessica Pegula and Iga Swiatek fight against each other. The head to head is 6-4 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay in major tournaments.
Nevertheless, Jessica Pegula could fight against Cori Gauff. Their H2H is 4-2 for Jessica Pegula.