Elise Mertens is 5 wins away to conquer the title in Madrid. The Belgian has defeated Maria Camila Osorio Serrano 6-3 6-3 to reach the 3rd round where she will face Aryna Sabalenka.
Draw prediction with head to head records
This is Elise Mertens’s projected draw andherplausible opponents in Mutua Madrid Open. Elise has a negative record (8-14) with the presumable opposition.
R3 – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 9-2 for Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 31-5 | 23-4 | 8-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 39-22 | 28-12 | 5-5 | 4-1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 51-25 | 34-13 | 7-6 | 3-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
Aryna Sabalenka has a 26-5 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on clay. In the previous 10 years, Sabalenka has a 80-40 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Sabalenka won 9 of her last 10 matches.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Brisbane where she overcame Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2, and in Miami where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2.
Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Aryna capitulated to Iga Swiatek in the final 7-5 4-6 7-6(7).
H2H Elise Mertens vs. Aryna Sabalenka
This contest would be 12th time that Elise Mertens and Aryna Sabalenka clash against each other. The head to head is 9-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on clay in major tournaments.
R4 – Peyton Stearns’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 2-0 for Elise Mertens
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-11 | 7-8 | 3-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-23 | 13-15 | 11-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-23 | 19-13 | 19-7 | 6-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-15 | 29-12 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 8-9 | 8-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 6-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 24-17 | 12-7 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 14-11 | 6-7 | 5-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Peyton Stearns has a 10-10 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on clay. In connection to the last 8 years, Peyton has a 50-30 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Peyton won 5 of her last 10 matches.
Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Stearns lost to Tatjana Maria in the 1st round 6-7(4) 6-2 7-6(5).
H2H Elise Mertens vs. Peyton Stearns
This contest would be 3rd time that Elise Mertens and Peyton Stearns fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Mertens (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay in major tournaments.
On the other hand, Elise Mertens may square off with Rebeka Masarova. Their head to head is 0-0.
1/4 – Sofia Kenin’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 2-1 for Sofia Kenin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-10 | 12-8 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 16-26 | 10-17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-21 | 17-12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 10-17 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-10 | 7-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 24-9 | 12-6 | 6-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 49-23 | 37-14 | 5-5 | 1-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 37-26 | 25-14 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
Sofia Kenin has a 18-9 win-loss record in 2025, 6-1 on clay. As for the last 3 years, Kenin has a 14-11 record on clay. The American won 7 of her last 10 matches.
Sofia’s most significant achievement of this current season was reaching the final Charleston.
Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Sofia was defeated by Anna Schmiedlova in the 1st round 6-3 6-4.
H2H Elise Mertens vs. Sofia Kenin
This would be the 4th time that Elise Mertens and Sofia Kenin play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Kenin (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay in major tournaments.
Yet, Elise Mertens could face Marta Kostyuk. Their head to head record is 2-1 for Marta Kostyuk.
1/2 – Jessica Pegula’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 3-1 for Elise Mertens
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27-8 | 20-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 25-19 | 14-10 | 4-5 | 4-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 50-22 | 21-9 | 22-10 | 7-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Jessica Pegula has a 27-7 win-loss record in 2025, 7-1 on clay. As for the previous 17 years, the American has a 124-75 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). The American won 8 of her last 10 matches.
Her most significant result of the season was winning the competition in Austin where she defeated Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2, and in Charleston where she defeated Sofia Kenin in the final 6-3 7-5.
Last year in Mutua Madrid Open the American didn’t play in this event.
H2H Elise Mertens vs. Jessica Pegula
This contest would be 5th time that Elise Mertens and Jessica Pegula face off. The head to head is 3-1 for Mertens (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay in major tournaments.
Anyhow, Elise Mertens could play Jasmine Paolini. Their H2H is 4-2 for Elise Mertens.
Final – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 2-0 for Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-8 | 21-6 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-5 | 6-4 | 7-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 34-17 | 17-8 | 10-3 | 4-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 43-6 | 8-1 | 34-5 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Iga Swiatek has a 24-7 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on clay. In connection to the previous 10 years, the Pole has a 140-19 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Swiatek won 7 of her last 10 matches.
Iga’s best result of the current season was getting to the final Australia.
Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Swiatek won the title after beating Aryna Sabalenka 7-5 4-6 7-6(7).
H2H Elise Mertens vs. Iga Swiatek
This contest would be 3rd time that Elise Mertens and Iga Swiatek square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay in major tournaments.
Nevertheless, Elise Mertens could square off with Cori Gauff. Their head to head is 4-1 for Cori Gauff.
