Liam Draxl and Nicolas Mejia will square off in the final of the Savannah Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 12:00 pm on LANDINGS COMPANY STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Liam Draxl who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Liam Draxl is the pick to win this match.
Liam Draxl -> 1.43
Nicolas Mejia -> 2.66
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Liam Draxl vs. Nicolas Mejia
This will be the 2nd time that Liam Draxl and Nicolas Mejia square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Draxl (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Draxl won 7-6(3) 7-5 in the quarter in the Oeiras 3 Challenger back in January 2025.
Liam Draxl
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-12 | 0-2 | 10-4 | 15-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-24 | 21-10 | 17-12 | 13-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-9 | 23-5 | 0-0 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-16 | 16-10 | 3-1 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-14 | 16-9 | 12-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 156 (career-high), Draxl got to the final after defeating Garrett Johns 7-5 6-1, Patrick Maloney 7-5 7-5, Oliver Crawford 6-3 6-7(7) 6-2 and Genaro Alberto Olivieri 7-5 6-4.
In the semifinal, Liam had a good straight sets win against Alberto Olivieri (7-5 6-4). During the match, Draxl scored 82 points vs Alberto Olivieri’s 73. Draxl was quite aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about the service games, Draxl struck 2 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Liam Draxl lost the serve 3 times and he saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Draxl put 71% of his first serves in, winning 66% (42/64) of the points behind his 1st serve and 35% (9/26) on the 2nd serve. Draxl broke Alberto Olivieri 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Canadian has surrendered 1 set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.
Draxl has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 67% of his matches (186-92). 10-3 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Draxl has an aggregate48-24 win-loss record in the last 8 years on clay.
Liam’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Oeiras 1 Challenger,the Oeiras 3 Challenger and the Sarasota Challenger.
The Canadian has a composed 25-11 win-loss record in 2025, 10-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Savannah Challenger
Draxl has never competed in this tournament before.
Nicolas Mejia
14 - 12win/loss
246
190
LWWWWWWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-13 | 5-7 | 9-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 44-33 | 18-21 | 23-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-33 | 6-13 | 18-18 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-35 | 13-12 | 15-13 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-28 | 16-10 | 5-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 301, the Colombian got to the final after beating Maxime Janvier 7-5 7-5, Joel Schwaerzler 6-4 6-0, Tung-Lin Wu 6-2 3-6 7-6(4) and Eliot Spizzirri 6-4 5-7 6-3.
In the semifinal, Nicolas defeated Spizzirri (6-4 5-7 6-3). During the match Mejia scored 98 points vs Spizzirri’s 94. Nicolas was pretty aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about serving, Mejia blasted 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Nicolas Mejia lost the serve 5 times and he saved 13 break points. Furthermore, Mejia put 57% of his first serves in, winning 69% (41/59) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (19/45) on the 2nd serve. Nicolas broke Spizzirri 7 times after converting 58% of his break points (7/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Colombian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Nicolas’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Savannah Challenger.
The Colombian has a compiled 13-12 win-loss record in 2025, 7-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Draxl | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 95 | 101 |
| Pts | 341-284 | 331-280 |
| Total Points | 625 | 611 |
| Winners | 160 | 123 |
| %Winners | 47% | 37% |
Both Draxl and Mejia played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Liam Draxl dropped 1 set, while Nicolas Mejia surrendered 2 sets. Draxl has played 1 set(s) less than Mejia (9 vs 10). Therefore, Draxl played 6 games less than Mejia. Liam scored 160 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Nicolas scored 123 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Draxl | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 4.3 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 219/322 | 172/303 |
| %1st in | 68% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 160/219 | 123/172 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 44/103 | 66/131 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 50% |
Draxl managed to score 17 aces (4.3 per match). Mejia scored 14 aces (3.5 per match). Draxl won 73% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Mejia won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Draxl | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 19 | 22 |
| Converted | 19/34 | 22/36 |
| % Converted | 56% | 61% |
| Conceded | 34 | 31 |
| Saved | 27 | 18 |
| % Saved | 79% | 58% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 13 |
The Canadian broke his opponents 19 times with a 56% conversion rate. Liam surrendered his serve 7 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded. Nicolas broke his opponents 22 times with a 61% conversion rate. Mejia conceded his serve 13 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded.
| Draxl | ||||||
| R1 Johns |
R2 Maloney |
1/4 Crawford |
1/2 Alberto |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-1 | 7-5 7-5 | 6-3 6-77 6-2 | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 24 | 30 | 22 | 95 | |
| pts | 63-43 | 85-73 | 111-95 | 82-73 | 341-284 | |
| Total points | 106 | 158 | 206 | 155 | 625 | |
| Winners | 29 | 42 | 47 | 42 | 160 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 49% | 42% | 51% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 23 | |
| 1st in | 35/51 | 58/85 | 62/96 | 64/90 | 219/322 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 68% | 65% | 71% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 29/35 | 42/58 | 47/62 | 42/64 | 160/219 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 72% | 76% | 66% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/16 | 13/27 | 14/34 | 9/26 | 44/103 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 48% | 41% | 35% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 19 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/8 | 6/10 | 5/11 | 19/34 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 50% | 60% | 45% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 34 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 9/11 | 6/8 | 11/14 | 27 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 82% | 75% | 79% | 84% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Mejia | ||||||
| R1 Janvier |
R2 Schwaerzler |
1/4 Wu |
1/2 Spizzirri |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-5 | 6-4 6-0 | 6-2 3-6 7-64 | 6-4 5-7 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 16 | 30 | 31 | 101 | |
| pts | 78-65 | 58-31 | 97-90 | 98-94 | 331-280 | |
| Total points | 143 | 89 | 187 | 192 | 611 | |
| Winners | 26 | 21 | 35 | 41 | 123 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 36% | 36% | 42% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 38/68 | 27/49 | 48/82 | 59/104 | 172/303 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 55% | 59% | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 26/38 | 21/27 | 35/48 | 41/59 | 123/172 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 78% | 73% | 69% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/30 | 10/22 | 21/34 | 19/45 | 66/131 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 45% | 62% | 42% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 6/6 | 4/12 | 7/12 | 22/36 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 100% | 33% | 58% | 61% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 31 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 1/3 | 3/6 | 13/18 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 33% | 50% | 72% | 45% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLWLWW
LWWWWWWLWL 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Nicolas MejiaMejia – Liam DraxlDraxl (0-1) – H2H and prediction
