Andrey Rublev and Alexander Bublik will face off in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 9th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:00 am on ARANTXA SANCHEZ STADIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.4
Alexander Bublik -> 2.95
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Alexander Bublik
This will be the 9th time that Andrey Rublev and Alexander Bublik square off. The head to head is 5-3 for Rublev (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Rublev won 6-3 6-4 in the 1st round in Doha back in February 2025.
Highlights Andrey Rublev vs Alexander Bublik – Doha 18-February-2025
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-11 | 5-5 | 3-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-26 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, the Russian reached the 3rd round after beating Unknown Player bye and Gael Monfils w/o.
In the 2nd round, Andrey defeated Monfils (w/o). During the match, Rublev and Monfils scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 8 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Rublev was not very aggressive to strike just winners.
Talking about the service games, Rublev couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Andrey Rublev conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (0) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (0) on the 2nd serve.
Rublev has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (416-231). 2-2 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rublev has a compiled 98-59 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Doha where he defeated Jack Draper in the final 7-5 5-7 6-1.
Andrey has an overall 11-9 win-loss record in 2025, 2-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Alexander Bublik
12 - 12win/loss
51
17
WWWWWLWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-14 | 5-7 | 11-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-25 | 10-11 | 5-6 | 6-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-30 | 3-12 | 7-9 | 9-7 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-27 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 14-12 | 4-6 | 10-8 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 75, Bublik reached the 3rd round after beating Alex Michelsen 7-6(2) 7-6(4) and Alexei Popyrin 6-4 7-6(4).
In the 2nd round, Alexander had a good straight sets win against Popyrin (6-4 7-64). During the match Bublik scored 83 points vs Popyrin’s 78. Alexander was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about serving, Bublik fired 10 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Alexander Bublik was very effective on serve to win 81% (34/42) of his 1st serve and 51% (18/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Bublik broke Popyrin twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Kazakhstani hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Alexander’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Phoenix Challenger.
The Kazakhstani has an overall 11-12 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2021. See his history.
Head 2 Head
WLLLWLWLLL
WWWWWLWLWW Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Luciano DarderiDarderi (7-5 3-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Tomas MachacMachac (1-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Nicolas JarryJarry (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-63 6-2) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (7-63 7-64) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Joao FonsecaFonseca (7-67 7-63) – See score progression
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (7-5 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Sebastian BaezBaez (1-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Marcos GironGiron (6-73 7-66 6-1) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexandre MullerMuller – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-2 6-73 7-65) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (2-6 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Kei NishikoriNishikori (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-3 7-63) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Ethan QuinnQuinn (7-64 6-1) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Laslo DjereDjere (w/o) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Mariano NavoneNavone (4-6 7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Francisco ComesanaComesana – Arthur FilsFils (7-64 6-4) – See score progression
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Holger RuneRune (6-2 ret.) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Harold MayotMayot (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Federico CinaCina (6-3 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Gael MonfilsMonfils (w/o) – See score progression
- Benjamin BonziBonzi – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-4 7-64) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (7-6(3) 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Joao FonsecaFonseca (7-6(7) 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Luciano DarderiDarderi (7-5 3-1 ret.) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Damir DzumhurDzumhur – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – Andrey RublevRublev (3-5) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Tommy PaulPaul (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Gabriel DialloDiallo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Benjamin BonziBonzi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alexandre MullerMuller (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (5-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Casper RuudRuud (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Francisco ComesanaComesana (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Flavio CobolliCobolli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (2-0) – H2H and prediction
