Elena Rybakina and Elina Svitolina will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 8:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.51
Elina Svitolina -> 2.56

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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Elina Svitolina

This will be the 6th time that Elena Rybakina and Elina Svitolina fight against each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.

The last time that they played, Rybakina won 6-3 6-2 in the quarter in at the Wimbledon back in 2024.

Highlights Elena Rybakina vs Elina Svitolina – Wimbledon 10-July-2024

Elena Rybakina

Elena Rybakina

18 - 7win/loss

Hard
15-7
I Hard
2-0
Clay
1-0
Rank
12
High
3
LWWWLLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 18-8 15-7 1-1 2-0 0-0 0-0
2024 43-11 23-5 12-2 2-2 6-2 0-0
2023 47-15 31-11 11-2 0-0 5-2 0-0
2022 40-21 18-12 9-5 5-2 8-2 0-0
2021 33-23 18-14 6-4 2-2 7-3 0-0

Ranked no. 11, Rybakina reached the 3rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Bianca Vanessa Andreescu 6-3 6-2.

In the 2nd round, Rybakina had a good straight sets win against Andreescu (6-3 6-2). During the match, Rybakina scored 66 points vs Andreescu’s 52. Elena was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rybakina scored 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Elena Rybakina conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 58% of her first serves in, winning 81% (29/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (13/26) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Andreescu 3 times after converting 33% of her break points (3/9).

Rybakina has a superlative match record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (343-148). 1-0 on clay in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Rybakina has an aggregate 82-35 record in the last years on clay.

Rybakina’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Australia, Abu Dhabi and Dubai.

Elena has a composed 18-7 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Madrid
Rybakina's Record

Elina Svitolina

Elina Svitolina

19 - 6win/loss

Hard
11-5
I Hard
0-1
Clay
8-0
Rank
14
High
3
LWWWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 22-7 11-5 11-1 0-1 0-0 0-0
2024 30-18 16-9 10-7 0-0 4-2 0-0
2023 21-12 4-3 12-7 0-0 5-2 0-0
2022 5-8 5-8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 41-20 31-13 8-4 0-0 2-3 0-0

Ranked no. 17, Elina reached the 3rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Sonay Kartal 6-3 6-1.

In the 2nd round, Svitolina had a good straight sets win against Kartal (6-3 6-1). During the match Svitolina scored 53 points vs Kartal’s 31. The Ukrainian was quite aggressive to blast 18 winners.

About the serving games, Svitolina couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Elina Svitolina lost the serve once. Furthermore, Svitolina put 64% of her first serves in, winning 67% (18/27) of the points behind her 1st serve and 73% (11/15) on the 2nd serve. The Ukrainian broke Kartal 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Rouen where she overcame Olga Danilovic in the final 6-4 7-6(8).

Svitolina has an aggregate 19-6 win-loss record in 2025, 8-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2015, 2016, 2018 and 2024. See her history.

Madrid
Svitolina's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

E.Rybakina
E.Svitolina
1h:17
1h:17
Time on court​
0h:53
0h:53
1h:17
1h:17
Last match​
!
0h:53
0h:53
1
1
Match played
1
1
17
17
Games Played​
16
16
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
66
66
Total points​
53
53
66
66
Avg point​
53
53
29
29
Winners
18
18
29
29
Avg Winners​
18
18
44%
44%
Ratio winners
34%
34%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
0
0
3
3
Avg Aces
0
0
1
1
Double Faults
1
1
1
1
Avg Double Faults
1
1
29/36
29/36
1st won total​
18/27
18/27
!
81%
81%
1st won %
67%
67%
13/26
13/26
2nd won total​
11/15
11/15
50%
50%
2nd won %
!
73%
73%
-- Break Points --
3/9
3/9
BP won
5/6
5/6
3/9
3/9
Avg BP won
5/6
5/6
33%
33%
Won
!
83%
83%
3
3
Conceded
1
1
3
3
Avg Conceded
1
1
0
0
Broken
1
1
!
0
0
Avg Broken
1
1
3
3
Saved
0
0

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Rybakina Svitolina
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 16
Pts 66-52 53-31
Total Points 118 84
Winners 29 18
%Winners 44% 34%

Both Rybakina and Svitolina played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Rybakina and Svitolina have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Rybakina played 1 game more than Svitolina. The Kazakhstani scored 29 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Svitolina managed to score 18 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve Rybakina Svitolina
Aces 3 0
Avg per match 3 0
1st in 36/62 27/42
%1st in 58% 64%
1st pts 29/36 18/27
%1st pts 81% 67%
2nd pts 13/26 11/15
%2nd pts 50% 73%

Rybakina made 3 aces . Svitolina didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Rybakina won 81% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Svitolina won 67% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 73% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Rybakina Svitolina
Won 3 5
Converted 3/9 5/6
% Converted 33% 83%
Conceded 3 1
Saved 3 0
% Saved 100% 0%
Times Broken 0 1

Rybakina broke her opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. Rybakina very solid her serve as she has never dropped a single service game after saving 3 break points. Svitolina broke her opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. Svitolina conceded her serve once and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded.

Rybakina
R2
Andreescu
Total
Score 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 17
pts 66-52 66-52
Total points 118 118
Winners 29 29
%Winners 44% 44%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 36/62 36/62
% 1st in 58% 58%
1st pts 29/36 29/36
% 1st pts 81% 81%
2nd pts 13/26 13/26
% 2nd pts 50% 50%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/9 3/9
Converted % 33% 33%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 3/3 3
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Svitolina
R2
Kartal
Total
Score 6-3 6-1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 16 16
pts 53-31 53-31
Total points 84 84
Winners 18 18
%Winners 34% 34%
SERVE
Aces 0 0
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 27/42 27/42
% 1st in 64% 64%
1st pts 18/27 18/27
% 1st pts 67% 67%
2nd pts 11/15 11/15
% 2nd pts 73% 73%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/6 5/6
Converted % 83% 83%
Conceded 1 1
Saved 0/1 0
Saved % 0% 0%
Times Broken 1 1

Tennis Scores in Madrid

Upcoming matches in the draw