Elena Rybakina and Elina Svitolina will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 8:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 3 sets.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.51
Elina Svitolina -> 2.56
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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Elina Svitolina
This will be the 6th time that Elena Rybakina and Elina Svitolina fight against each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.
The last time that they played, Rybakina won 6-3 6-2 in the quarter in at the Wimbledon back in 2024.
Highlights Elena Rybakina vs Elina Svitolina – Wimbledon 10-July-2024
Elena Rybakina
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 18-8 | 15-7 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 43-11 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11, Rybakina reached the 3rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Bianca Vanessa Andreescu 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Rybakina had a good straight sets win against Andreescu (6-3 6-2). During the match, Rybakina scored 66 points vs Andreescu’s 52. Elena was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rybakina scored 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Elena Rybakina conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 58% of her first serves in, winning 81% (29/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (13/26) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Andreescu 3 times after converting 33% of her break points (3/9).
Rybakina has a superlative match record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (343-148). 1-0 on clay in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Rybakina has an aggregate 82-35 record in the last years on clay.
Rybakina’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Australia, Abu Dhabi and Dubai.
Elena has a composed 18-7 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Elina Svitolina
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 22-7 | 11-5 | 11-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 30-18 | 16-9 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 21-12 | 4-3 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2021 | 41-20 | 31-13 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 17, Elina reached the 3rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Sonay Kartal 6-3 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Svitolina had a good straight sets win against Kartal (6-3 6-1). During the match Svitolina scored 53 points vs Kartal’s 31. The Ukrainian was quite aggressive to blast 18 winners.
About the serving games, Svitolina couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Elina Svitolina lost the serve once. Furthermore, Svitolina put 64% of her first serves in, winning 67% (18/27) of the points behind her 1st serve and 73% (11/15) on the 2nd serve. The Ukrainian broke Kartal 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Rouen where she overcame Olga Danilovic in the final 6-4 7-6(8).
Svitolina has an aggregate 19-6 win-loss record in 2025, 8-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2015, 2016, 2018 and 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Rybakina | Svitolina |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 1 |
Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
Tot Games | 17 | 16 |
Pts | 66-52 | 53-31 |
Total Points | 118 | 84 |
Winners | 29 | 18 |
%Winners | 44% | 34% |
Both Rybakina and Svitolina played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Rybakina and Svitolina have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Rybakina played 1 game more than Svitolina. The Kazakhstani scored 29 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Svitolina managed to score 18 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Rybakina | Svitolina |
---|---|---|
Aces | 3 | 0 |
Avg per match | 3 | 0 |
1st in | 36/62 | 27/42 |
%1st in | 58% | 64% |
1st pts | 29/36 | 18/27 |
%1st pts | 81% | 67% |
2nd pts | 13/26 | 11/15 |
%2nd pts | 50% | 73% |
Rybakina made 3 aces . Svitolina didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Rybakina won 81% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Svitolina won 67% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 73% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Rybakina | Svitolina |
---|---|---|
Won | 3 | 5 |
Converted | 3/9 | 5/6 |
% Converted | 33% | 83% |
Conceded | 3 | 1 |
Saved | 3 | 0 |
% Saved | 100% | 0% |
Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Rybakina broke her opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. Rybakina very solid her serve as she has never dropped a single service game after saving 3 break points. Svitolina broke her opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. Svitolina conceded her serve once and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded.
Rybakina | |||
R2 Andreescu | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
pts | 66-52 | 66-52 | |
Total points | 118 | 118 | |
Winners | 29 | 29 | |
%Winners | 44% | 44% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 3 | 3 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
1st in | 36/62 | 36/62 | |
% 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
1st pts | 29/36 | 29/36 | |
% 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
2nd pts | 13/26 | 13/26 | |
% 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 3 | 3 | |
Converted | 3/9 | 3/9 | |
Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Svitolina | |||
R2 Kartal | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-3 6-1 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
pts | 53-31 | 53-31 | |
Total points | 84 | 84 | |
Winners | 18 | 18 | |
%Winners | 34% | 34% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 0 | 0 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
1st in | 27/42 | 27/42 | |
% 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
1st pts | 18/27 | 18/27 | |
% 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
2nd pts | 11/15 | 11/15 | |
% 2nd pts | 73% | 73% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 5 | 5 | |
Converted | 5/6 | 5/6 | |
Converted % | 83% | 83% | |
Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Madison KeysKeys – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (7-5 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Belinda BencicBencic – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (6-3 4-6 7-62) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yuliia StarodubtsevaStarodubtseva – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (2-6 7-62 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Magdalena FrechFrech (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Diana ShnaiderShnaider – Anastasija SevastovaSevastova (6-0 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Cori GauffGauff – Ann LiLi (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elise MertensMertens (9-2) – H2H and prediction
- Rebeka MasarovaMasarova – Peyton StearnsStearns (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Marta KostyukKostyuk (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sofia KeninKenin – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Moyuka UchijimaUchijima (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Donna VekicVekic – Emma NavarroNavarro (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Belinda BencicBencic – Cori GauffGauff (2-2) – H2H and prediction