Sofia Kenin and Anastasia Potapova will play each other in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:30 pm on STADIUM 3. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Anastasia Potapova who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Anastasia Potapova is the pick to win this match.
Anastasia Potapova -> 1.82
Sofia Kenin -> 1.99
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Prediction and head to head Sofia Kenin vs. Anastasia Potapova
This will be the 2nd time that Sofia Kenin and Anastasia Potapova square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Kenin (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Kenin won 6-2 6-3 in the quarter in San Diego back in 2023.
Sofia Kenin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-10 | 12-8 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 16-26 | 10-17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-21 | 17-12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 10-17 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-10 | 7-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 32, the American got to the 3rd round after beating Unknown Player bye and Lulu Sun 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Kenin had a good straight sets win against Sun (6-3 6-2). During the match, Kenin scored 66 points vs Sun’s 40. The American was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kenin recorded 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Sofia Kenin was very efficient on serve to win 81% (29/36) of her 1st serve and 58% (7/12) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Kenin broke Sun 4 times after converting 40% of her break points (4/10).
Kenin has good record in the last 10 years having won 59% of her matches (268-186). 6-1 on clay in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kenin has a composed 62-45 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
The American’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Charleston.
The American has a compiled 18-9 win-loss record in 2025, 6-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Anastasia Potapova
15 - 6win/loss
34
21
LWWWWLLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-7 | 5-5 | 4-1 | 7-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-22 | 17-13 | 6-5 | 2-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-21 | 11-14 | 7-4 | 7-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-24 | 14-14 | 18-7 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-23 | 11-11 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 39, Anastasia reached the 3rd round after beating Ashlyn Krueger 6-7(7) 6-4 6-2 and Qinwen Zheng 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Potapova had a good straight sets win against Zheng (6-4 6-4). During the match Potapova scored 68 points vs Zheng’s 54. The Russian was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Potapova scored 2 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Anastasia Potapova lost the serve 3 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Potapova put 65% of her first serves in, winning 67% (26/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (10/21) on the 2nd serve. Anastasia broke Zheng 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Napoca where she overcame Lucia Bronzetti in the final 4-6 6-1 6-2.
The Russian has a composed 15-6 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kenin | Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 51 |
| Pts | 66-40 | 174-142 |
| Total Points | 106 | 316 |
| Winners | 29 | 64 |
| %Winners | 44% | 37% |
Kenin played 1 match while Potapova competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Anastasia Potapova conceded 1 set while Sofia Kenin hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Kenin has played 3 set(s) less than Potapova (2 vs 5). Therefore, Kenin played 34 games less than Potapova. Sofia scored 29 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian bagged 64 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kenin | Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 1 |
| 1st in | 36/48 | 97/164 |
| %1st in | 75% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 29/36 | 64/97 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 34/67 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 51% |
Kenin blasted 4 aces . Potapova recorded 2 aces (1 per match). Kenin won 81% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Potapova won 66% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kenin | Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 12 |
| Converted | 4/10 | 12/21 |
| % Converted | 40% | 57% |
| Conceded | 3 | 12 |
| Saved | 2 | 5 |
| % Saved | 67% | 42% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 7 |
Sofia broke her opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. Sofia surrendered her serve once and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Potapova broke her opponents 12 times with a 57% conversion rate. Potapova conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 42% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kenin | |||
| R2 Sun |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 66-40 | 66-40 | |
| Total points | 106 | 106 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 36/48 | 36/48 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 29/36 | 29/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 7/12 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/10 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Potapova | ||||
| R1 Krueger |
R2 Zheng |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-77 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 20 | 51 | |
| pts | 106-88 | 68-54 | 174-142 | |
| Total points | 194 | 122 | 316 | |
| Winners | 38 | 26 | 64 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 38% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 4 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 58/104 | 39/60 | 97/164 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 65% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 38/58 | 26/39 | 64/97 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 67% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/46 | 10/21 | 34/67 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 48% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 5 | 12 | |
| Converted | 7/12 | 5/9 | 12/21 | |
| Converted % | 58% | 56% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 4 | 12 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 1/4 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 25% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWWLW
LWWWWLLWLW Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Diana ShnaiderShnaider – Anastasija SevastovaSevastova (6-0 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Cori GauffGauff – Ann LiLi (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Madison KeysKeys – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (7-5 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Belinda BencicBencic – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (6-3 4-6 7-62) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yuliia StarodubtsevaStarodubtseva – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (2-6 7-62 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Magdalena FrechFrech (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elise MertensMertens (9-2) – H2H and prediction
- Rebeka MasarovaMasarova – Peyton StearnsStearns (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Marta KostyukKostyuk (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sofia KeninKenin – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Moyuka UchijimaUchijima (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Donna VekicVekic – Emma NavarroNavarro (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Belinda BencicBencic – Cori GauffGauff (2-2) – H2H and prediction
