Marta Kostyuk

and Veronika Kudermetova will play each other in the 3^rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 11:00 am on COURT 4. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marta Kostyuk who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Marta Kostyuk is the pick to win this match.
Marta Kostyuk -> 1.83
Veronika Kudermetova -> 1.98

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Prediction and head to head Marta Kostyuk vs. Veronika Kudermetova

This will be the 3^rd time that Marta Kostyuk and Veronika Kudermetova fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Kudermetova (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Kudermetova won 6-2 7-6(5) in the 1^st round in at the Australian Open back in 2021.

Highlights Veronika Kudermetova vs Marta Kostyuk – Australian Open 08-February-2021

Marta Kostyuk

Ranked no. 36, Kostyuk reached the 3^rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Emma Raducanu 6-4 2-6 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Kostyuk defeated Raducanu (6-4 2-6 6-2).During the match, Kostyuk scored less points (1) than Raducanu. In fact, the world no. 36 won 84 points vs Raducanu’s. That means that Kostyuk was more focused during the important points. Marta was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Regarding the service games, Kostyuk scored just 1 ace during the match and she committed only 9 double faults. Marta Kostyuk lost the serve 5 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kostyuk put 51% of her first serves in, winning 62% (24/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (17/38) on the 2nd serve. Marta broke Raducanu 6 times after converting 38% of her break points (6/16).

Kostyuk has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of her matches (230-139). 2-1 on clay in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Kostyuk has an overall 74-38 record in the last years on clay.

Marta has an overall 12-9 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Veronika Kudermetova

Ranked no. 52, Kudermetova reached the 3^rd round after defeating Polina Kudermetova 6-2 6-2 and Cristina Bucsa 4-6 7-6(1) 7-5.

In the 2^nd round against Bucsa, Veronika recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-6¹ 7-5). During the match Kudermetova scored 121 points vs Bucsa’s 114. The Russian was pretty aggressive to blast 53 winners.

About the serving games, Kudermetova fired 6 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Veronika Kudermetova lost the serve 3 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Kudermetova put 68% of her first serves in, winning 73% (53/73) of the points behind her 1st serve and 49% (17/35) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Bucsa 3 times after converting 25% of her break points (3/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Kudermetova has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

Veronika has an overall 18-11 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Kostyuk	Kudermetova
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	3	5
Tot Games	26	51
Pts	84-85	184-153
Total Points	169	337
Winners	24	73
%Winners	29%	40%

Kostyuk played 1 match while Kudermetova competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Marta Kostyuk conceded 1 set, while Veronika Kudermetova lost 1 set. Kostyuk has played 2 set(s) less than Kudermetova (3 vs 5). Therefore, Kostyuk played 25 games less than Kudermetova. The Ukrainian scored 24 winners (29% of the total points). On the other side, Kudermetova recorded 73 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Kostyuk	Kudermetova
Aces	1	9
Avg per match	1	4.5
1st in	39/77	99/156
%1st in	51%	63%
1st pts	24/39	73/99
%1st pts	62%	74%
2nd pts	17/38	27/57
%2nd pts	45%	47%

Kostyuk recorded 1 ace . Kudermetova also struck 9 aces (4.5 per match). Kostyuk won 62% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Kudermetova won 74% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Kostyuk	Kudermetova
Won	6	9
Converted	6/16	9/23
% Converted	38%	39%
Conceded	7	9
Saved	2	4
% Saved	29%	44%
Times Broken	5	5

Marta broke her opponent 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. Kostyuk surrendered her serve 5 times and she saved 29% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponents 9 times with a 39% conversion rate. Kudermetova conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 44% of the break points that she conceded.

Kostyuk
	R2 Raducanu	Total
Score	6-4 2-6 6-2
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	26	26
pts	84-85	84-85
Total points	169	169
Winners	24	24
%Winners	29%	29%
SERVE
Aces	1	1
Double Faults	9	9
1st in	39/77	39/77
% 1st in	51%	51%
1st pts	24/39	24/39
% 1st pts	62%	62%
2nd pts	17/38	17/38
% 2nd pts	45%	45%
Breaks
Won	6	6
Converted	6/16	6/16
Converted %	38%	38%
Conceded	7	7
Saved	2/7	2
Saved %	29%	29%
Times Broken	5	5

Kudermetova
	R1 Kudermetova	R2 Bucsa	Total
Score	6-2 6-2	4-6 7-61 7-5
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	16	35	51
pts	63-39	121-114	184-153
Total points	102	235	337
Winners	20	53	73
%Winners	32%	44%	40%
SERVE
Aces	3	6	9
Double Faults	4	6	10
1st in	26/48	73/108	99/156
% 1st in	54%	68%	63%
1st pts	20/26	53/73	73/99
% 1st pts	77%	73%	74%
2nd pts	10/22	17/35	27/57
% 2nd pts	45%	49%	47%
Breaks
Won	6	3	9
Converted	6/11	3/12	9/23
Converted %	55%	25%	39%
Conceded	5	4	9
Saved	3/5	1/4	4
Saved %	60%	25%	85%
Times Broken	2	3	5

Tennis Scores in Madrid

• Yuliia StarodubtsevaStarodubtseva – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (2-6 7-6² 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Magdalena FrechFrech (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Diana ShnaiderShnaider – Anastasija SevastovaSevastova (6-0 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Cori GauffGauff – Ann LiLi (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Madison KeysKeys – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (7-5 7-6³) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Belinda BencicBencic – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (6-3 4-6 7-6²) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elise MertensMertens (9-2) – H2H and prediction
• Rebeka MasarovaMasarova – Peyton StearnsStearns (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Marta KostyukKostyuk (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sofia KeninKenin – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jessica PegulaPegula – Moyuka UchijimaUchijima (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (2-3) – H2H and prediction
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (3-2) – H2H and prediction
• Maria SakkariSakkari – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Donna VekicVekic – Emma NavarroNavarro (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Belinda BencicBencic – Cori GauffGauff (2-2) – H2H and prediction