Casper Ruud and Sebastian Korda will fight against each other in the 3^rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 10:30 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.5
Sebastian Korda -> 2.59

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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Sebastian Korda

There is no head to head record between Casper Ruud and Sebastian Korda since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Casper Ruud

Ranked no. 15, Ruud got to the 3^rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Arthur Rinderknech 6-3 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, The Norwegian had a good straight sets win against Rinderknech (6-3 6-4). During the match, Ruud scored 56 points vs Rinderknech’s 46. Ruud was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about the service games, Ruud made 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Casper Ruud was pretty effective on serve to win 76% (28/37) of his 1st serve and 65% (11/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Norwegian was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Rinderknech 3 times.

Ruud has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (407-217). 4-2 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Ruud has an aggregate 234-102 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Ruud’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Dallas.

Ruud has an overall 16-6 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Sebastian Korda

Ranked no. 24, Sebastian reached the 3^rd round after beating Unknown Player bye and Federico Cina 6-3 3-6 6-1.

In the 2^nd round, The American defeated Cina (6-3 3-6 6-1). During the match Korda scored 86 points vs Cina’s 71. Sebastian was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.

About the serving games, Korda made 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Sebastian Korda was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 82% (36/44) of his 1st serve and 53% (18/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The American broke Cina 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Korda’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Adelaide.

Korda has a composed 8-7 win-loss record in 2025, 2-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Ruud	Korda
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	3
Tot Games	19	25
Pts	56-46	86-71
Total Points	102	157
Winners	28	36
%Winners	50%	42%

Both Ruud and Korda played 1 match. At the moment, Sebastian Korda dropped 1 set while Casper Ruud hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Ruud has played 1 set(s) less than Korda (2 vs 3). Therefore, Ruud played 6 games less than Korda. The Norwegian scored 28 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Korda struck 36 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Ruud	Korda
Aces	2	7
Avg per match	2	7
1st in	37/54	44/78
%1st in	69%	56%
1st pts	28/37	36/44
%1st pts	76%	82%
2nd pts	11/17	18/34
%2nd pts	65%	53%

Ruud blasted 2 aces . Korda bagged 7 aces . Ruud won 76% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Korda won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Ruud	Korda
Won	3	3
Converted	3/3	3/6
% Converted	100%	50%
Conceded	2	4
Saved	1	3
% Saved	50%	75%
Times Broken	1	1

Ruud broke his opponent 3 times with a 100% conversion rate. The Norwegian dropped his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Korda broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Sebastian conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Ruud
	R2 Rinderknech	Total
Score	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	19	19
pts	56-46	56-46
Total points	102	102
Winners	28	28
%Winners	50%	50%
SERVE
Aces	2	2
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	37/54	37/54
% 1st in	69%	69%
1st pts	28/37	28/37
% 1st pts	76%	76%
2nd pts	11/17	11/17
% 2nd pts	65%	65%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/3	3/3
Converted %	100%	100%
Conceded	2	2
Saved	1/2	1
Saved %	50%	50%
Times Broken	1	1

Korda
	R2 Cina	Total
Score	6-3 3-6 6-1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	25	25
pts	86-71	86-71
Total points	157	157
Winners	36	36
%Winners	42%	42%
SERVE
Aces	7	7
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	44/78	44/78
% 1st in	56%	56%
1st pts	36/44	36/44
% 1st pts	82%	82%
2nd pts	18/34	18/34
% 2nd pts	53%	53%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/6	3/6
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	4	4
Saved	3/4	3
Saved %	75%	75%
Times Broken	1	1

Tennis Scores in Madrid

• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Sebastian BaezBaez (1-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (7-5 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Kei NishikoriNishikori (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-6³ 6-2) – See score progression
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (2-6 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Tomas MachacMachac (1-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Jakub MensikMensik – Ethan QuinnQuinn (7-6⁴ 6-1) – See score progression
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Arthur FilsFils (7-6⁴ 6-4) – See score progression
• Ben SheltonShelton – Mariano NavoneNavone (4-6 7-6⁵ 6-3) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Gael MonfilsMonfils (w/o) – See score progression
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Harold MayotMayot (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Laslo DjereDjere (w/o) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Alexander BublikBublik – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-4 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-3 7-6³) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (7-6⁵ 6-4) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Federico CinaCina (6-3 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Holger RuneRune (6-2 ret.) – See score progression
• Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Sebastian BaezBaez (1-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Kei NishikoriNishikori (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-6(3) 6-2) – See score progression
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Nicolas JarryJarry (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Tomas MachacMachac (1-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (2-6 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (7-5 4-6 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Jack DraperDraper – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Marcos GironGiron – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexandre MullerMuller – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (4-1) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Francisco ComesanaComesana (3-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander BublikBublik – Andrey RublevRublev (3-5) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Benjamin BonziBonzi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Casper RuudRuud (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Flavio CobolliCobolli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Damir DzumhurDzumhur – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (4-1) – H2H and prediction
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (5-1) – H2H and prediction
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Gabriel DialloDiallo (0-0) – H2H and prediction