Alexander Zverev and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will square off in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Zverev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alexander Zverev is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Zverev -> 1.45
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -> 2.75
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Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
This will be the 6th time that Alexander Zverev and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina fight against each other. The head to head is 4-1 for Zverev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Zverev won 6-7(4) 6-2 6-1 in the 2nd round in Beijing back in 2023.
Highlights Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Beijing 30-September-2023
Alexander Zverev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21-8 | 11-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 69-21 | 29-10 | 23-6 | 11-3 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-27 | 22-13 | 20-7 | 8-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-10 | 9-4 | 17-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 59-15 | 28-6 | 14-4 | 13-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Zverev reached the 3rd round after beating Unknown Player bye and Roberto Bautista Agut 6-2 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Zverev had a good straight sets win against Bautista-Agut (6-2 6-2). During the match, Zverev scored 57 points vs Bautista-Agut’s 36. The German was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Regarding the service games, Zverev managed to score 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Alexander Zverev was quite efficient on serve to win 81% (21/26) of his 1st serve and 69% (11/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The German broke Bautista-Agut 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Zverev has a superlative record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (465-181). 9-3 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Zverev has an aggregate 152-49 match record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Munich where he beat Ben Shelton in the final 6-2 6-4.
Alexander has a composed 20-7 win-loss record in 2025, 9-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
21 - 10win/loss
26
21
LWLWWLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21-11 | 13-7 | 7-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 20-22 | 13-12 | 2-5 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-28 | 18-11 | 9-8 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-26 | 7-9 | 11-8 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-25 | 4-6 | 16-7 | 9-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 29, the Spaniard reached the 3rd round after beating Unknown Player bye and Nuno Borges 6-2 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Davidovich Fokina had a good straight sets win against Borges (6-2 6-3). During the match Davidovich Fokina scored 65 points vs Borges’s 44. Alejandro was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about serving, Davidovich Fokina fired 2 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Davidovich Fokina put 71% of his first serves in, winning 69% (25/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (10/15) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Borges 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Alejandro’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Delray Beach and Acapulco.
The Spaniard has a composed 21-10 win-loss record in 2025, 7-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Zverev | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 17 |
| Pts | 57-36 | 65-44 |
| Total Points | 93 | 109 |
| Winners | 21 | 25 |
| %Winners | 37% | 38% |
Both Zverev and Davidovich Fokina played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Zverev and Davidovich Fokina have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Zverev played 1 game less than Davidovich Fokina. Alexander scored 21 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Davidovich Fokina fired 25 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Zverev | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 10 | 2 |
| 1st in | 26/42 | 36/51 |
| %1st in | 62% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 21/26 | 25/36 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 11/16 | 10/15 |
| %2nd pts | 69% | 67% |
Zverev recorded 10 aces . Davidovich Fokina fired 2 aces . Zverev won 81% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Davidovich Fokina won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Zverev | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 |
| % Converted | 44% | 44% |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 |
| Saved | 0 | 2 |
| % Saved | 0% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Zverev broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Zverev quite strong on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. Alejandro broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Zverev | |||
| R2 Bautista-Agut |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 57-36 | 57-36 | |
| Total points | 93 | 93 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 10 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 26/42 | 26/42 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 21/26 | 21/26 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/16 | 11/16 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 69% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Davidovich Fokina | |||
| R2 Borges |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 65-44 | 65-44 | |
| Total points | 109 | 109 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 36/51 | 36/51 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 25/36 | 25/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/15 | 10/15 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWWLL
LWLWWLWWWW Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Kei NishikoriNishikori (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-63 6-2) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (2-6 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Tomas MachacMachac (1-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Sebastian BaezBaez (1-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (7-5 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Benjamin BonziBonzi – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Federico CinaCina (6-3 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Holger RuneRune (6-2 ret.) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Ethan QuinnQuinn (7-64 6-1) – See score progression
- Francisco ComesanaComesana – Arthur FilsFils (7-64 6-4) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Mariano NavoneNavone (4-6 7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Gael MonfilsMonfils (w/o) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Harold MayotMayot (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Laslo DjereDjere (w/o) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-4 7-64) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-3 7-63) – See score progression
- Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Sebastian BaezBaez (1-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Kei NishikoriNishikori (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-6(3) 6-2) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Nicolas JarryJarry (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Tomas MachacMachac (1-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (2-6 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (7-5 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jack DraperDraper – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marcos GironGiron – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexandre MullerMuller – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Francisco ComesanaComesana (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – Andrey RublevRublev (3-5) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Benjamin BonziBonzi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Casper RuudRuud (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Flavio CobolliCobolli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Damir DzumhurDzumhur – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (5-1) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Gabriel DialloDiallo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
