Alibek Kachmazov and Jason Murray Kubler will fight against each other in the final of the Gwangju Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:00 am on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jason Murray Kubler who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jason Murray Kubler is the pick to win this match.
Jason Murray Kubler -> 1.43
Alibek Kachmazov -> 2.66
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Prediction and head to head Alibek Kachmazov vs. Jason Murray Kubler
This will be the 2nd time that Alibek Kachmazov and Jason Murray Kubler fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Kachmazov (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Kachmazov won 4-6 7-6(2) 6-1 in the qualifications in the Bergamo Challenger back in 2022.
Alibek Kachmazov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-10 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-28 | 17-13 | 6-6 | 14-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-31 | 24-14 | 9-6 | 14-10 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2022 | 49-21 | 18-11 | 9-5 | 22-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-20 | 6-8 | 3-6 | 27-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 185, Kachmazov got to the final after defeating Terence Atmane 7-6(1) ret., Rio Noguchi 7-6(3) 6-4, Omar Jasika 6-4 6-2 and Yosuke Watanuki 6-4 6-3.
In the semifinal, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Watanuki (6-4 6-3). During the match, Kachmazov scored 69 points vs Watanuki’s 60. The Russian was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kachmazov managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Alibek Kachmazov lost the serve twice and he saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Kachmazov put 52% of his first serves in, winning 76% (29/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (16/35) on the 2nd serve. Alibek broke Watanuki 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Kachmazov has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 61% of his matches (201-130). 5-3 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kachmazov has a compiled86-62 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
Kachmazov’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Thionville Challenger and the Gwangju Challenger.
Alibek has a composed 11-10 win-loss record in 2025, 5-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Gwangju Challenger
Jason Murray Kubler
25 - 7win/loss
307
63
WWWWLWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-7 | 22-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 8-4 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-19 | 10-9 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-22 | 17-10 | 20-5 | 4-5 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-15 | 23-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 307, Murray Kubler reached the final after beating Soon-Woo Kwon 6-3 6-4, Adam Walton 6-4 6-1, Hugo Grenier 6-2 6-1 and Tristan Schoolkate 7-5 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Schoolkate (7-5 6-4). During the match Murray Kubler scored 79 points vs Schoolkate’s 65. Jason was pretty aggressive to blast 36 winners.
About the serving games, Murray Kubler scored 5 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Jason Murray Kubler was quite efficient on serve to win 75% (36/48) of his 1st serve and 52% (17/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Murray Kubler broke Schoolkate 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Murray Kubler hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
The Australian’s best result of the year was reaching the final in the Brisbane 2 Challenger,M25 Burnie and M25 Launceston.
Murray Kubler has an overall 25-7 win-loss record in 2025, 22-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Gwangju Challenger
Jason has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kachmazov | Murray Kubler |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 73 | 73 |
| Pts | 263-227 | 260-187 |
| Total Points | 490 | 447 |
| Winners | 100 | 110 |
| %Winners | 38% | 42% |
Both Kachmazov and Murray Kubler played 4 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Kachmazov and Murray Kubler have played the same amount of sets 8. They also played the same amount of games (73). Kachmazov scored 100 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Murray Kubler fired 110 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kachmazov | Murray Kubler |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 20 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 4.8 |
| 1st in | 147/263 | 139/225 |
| %1st in | 56% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 100/147 | 110/139 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 66/116 | 46/86 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 53% |
Kachmazov blasted 20 aces (5 per match). Murray Kubler made 19 aces (4.8 per match). Kachmazov won 68% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Murray Kubler won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kachmazov | Murray Kubler |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 15 |
| Converted | 12/19 | 15/29 |
| % Converted | 63% | 52% |
| Conceded | 23 | 12 |
| Saved | 17 | 9 |
| % Saved | 74% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 3 |
Kachmazov broke his opponents 12 times with a 63% conversion rate. Kachmazov conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded. Jason broke his opponents 15 times with a 52% conversion rate. Murray Kubler conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kachmazov | ||||||
| R1 Atmane |
R2 Noguchi |
1/4 Jasika |
1/2 Watanuki |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-61 ret. | 7-63 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 23 | 18 | 19 | 73 | |
| pts | 56-52 | 74-63 | 64-52 | 69-60 | 263-227 | |
| Total points | 108 | 137 | 116 | 129 | 490 | |
| Winners | 22 | 31 | 18 | 29 | 100 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 42% | 28% | 42% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 35/56 | 41/68 | 33/66 | 38/73 | 147/263 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 60% | 50% | 52% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 22/35 | 31/41 | 18/33 | 29/38 | 100/147 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 76% | 55% | 76% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/21 | 18/27 | 22/33 | 16/35 | 66/116 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 67% | 67% | 46% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/3 | 4/5 | 4/6 | 12/19 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 67% | 80% | 67% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 23 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2/3 | 2/3 | 11/13 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 67% | 67% | 85% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | |
| Murray Kubler | ||||||
| R1 Kwon |
R2 Walton |
1/4 Grenier |
1/2 Schoolkate |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-1 | 6-2 6-1 | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 17 | 15 | 22 | 73 | |
| pts | 62-45 | 54-38 | 65-39 | 79-65 | 260-187 | |
| Total points | 107 | 92 | 104 | 144 | 447 | |
| Winners | 30 | 23 | 21 | 36 | 110 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 43% | 32% | 46% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 8 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 35/51 | 28/51 | 28/42 | 48/81 | 139/225 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 55% | 67% | 59% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 30/35 | 23/28 | 21/28 | 36/48 | 110/139 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 82% | 75% | 75% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/16 | 10/23 | 8/14 | 17/33 | 46/86 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 43% | 57% | 52% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 4/4 | 6/11 | 3/6 | 15/29 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 100% | 55% | 50% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/1 | 3/4 | 6/7 | 9 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | 75% | 86% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
