[UPDATED R3]. Prediction, H2H of Iga Swiatek’s draw vs Noskova, Shnaider, Keys, Gauff, Sabalenka to win the Madrid

Madrid draw preview with H2H - Iga Swiatek may need to defeat Linda Noskova, Diana Shnaider, Madison Keys, Cori Gauff, Aryna Sabalenka to conquer the tournament in the Mutua Madrid Open.

Iga Swiatek Stats info

Iga Swiatek is 5 wins away to conquer the title in Madrid. Swiatek has defeated Alexandra Eala 4-6 6-4 6-2 to reach the 3rd round where she will face Linda Noskova.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Iga Swiatek’s projected draw andherprojected opposition in Mutua Madrid Open. The Pole has a positive record (28-10) against the projected opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Alexandra Eala (72) – 4-6 6-4 6-2
R3 – Linda Noskova (31) – H2H 5-1
R4 – Diana Shnaider (13) – H2H 0-0
1/4 – Madison Keys (5) – H2H 4-2
or Emma Navarro (10) – H2H 2-0
1/2 – Cori Gauff (4) – H2H 11-3
or Mirra Andreeva (7) – H2H 1-2
Fin – Aryna Sabalenka (1) – H2H 8-4
or Jessica Pegula (3) – H2H 6-4
Swiatek
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Draw

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R3 – Linda Noskova’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 5-1 for Iga Swiatek

12 - 11win/loss in 2025

Rank
30
High
25
LWLWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 12-11 9-8 2-2 1-1 0-0 0-0
2024 28-18 19-8 6-6 0-1 3-3 0-0
2023 34-20 22-10 6-5 5-2 1-3 0-0
2022 40-17 10-5 14-5 16-7 0-0 0-0
2021 38-11 13-7 10-4 15-0 0-0 0-0
2020 0-3 0-0 0-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 7-5 0-0 0-1 7-3 0-0 0-1

Linda Noskova has a 12-10 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on clay. In connection to the previous 7 years, the Czech has a 38-25 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). The Czech won 5 of her last 10 matches.

Linda’s best result of this current season was reaching the semifinal Abu Dhabi.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open the Czech lost to Mirra Andreeva in the 2nd round 4-6 6-3 6-3.

H2H Iga Swiatek vs. Linda Noskova

This contest would be 7th time that Iga Swiatek and Linda Noskova fight against each other. The head to head is 5-1 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay in major tournaments.

R4 – Diana Shnaider’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

11 - 11win/loss in 2025

Rank
11
High
11
LWWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 11-11 7-8 4-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 55-23 31-15 15-5 0-0 9-3 0-0
2023 25-22 14-13 10-8 0-0 1-1 0-0
2022 58-17 11-4 46-11 1-2 0-0 0-0
2021 9-3 0-0 8-2 1-1 0-0 0-0
2020 2-2 0-0 2-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Diana Shnaider has a 10-10 record in 2025, 3-2 on clay. Regarding the last 7 years, Diana has a 84-30 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Shnaider won 5 of her last 10 matches.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Shnaider lost to Anastasia Potapova in the 1st round 7-5 6-4.

H2H Iga Swiatek vs. Diana Shnaider

There is no head to head record between Iga Swiatek and Diana Shnaider since this would be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

1/4 – Madison Keys’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-2 for Iga Swiatek

23 - 5win/loss in 2025

Rank
6
High
5
LWWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 23-5 19-3 4-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 24-12 7-6 13-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2023 33-15 19-9 5-3 0-2 9-1 0-0
2022 30-20 25-12 4-4 0-3 1-1 0-0
2021 11-15 3-9 3-4 0-0 5-2 0-0
2020 8-5 8-4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 28-15 16-9 10-3 1-2 1-1 0-0
2018 29-14 16-9 11-4 0-0 2-1 0-0

Madison Keys has a 21-4 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on clay. As for the last 17 years, the American has a 91-51 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). The American won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant result of this current year was winning the tournament in Adelaide where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 4-6 6-1, and at the Australian Open where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-3 2-6 7-5.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Keys was defeated by Iga Swiatek in the semifinal 6-1 6-3.

H2H Iga Swiatek vs. Madison Keys

This match would represent the 7th time that Iga Swiatek and Madison Keys play each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on clay in major tournaments.

Anyhow, Iga Swiatek may square off with Emma Navarro. Their H2H is 2-0 for Iga Swiatek.

1/2 – Cori Gauff’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 11-3 for Iga Swiatek

19 - 7win/loss in 2025

Rank
3
High
2
LWWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 19-7 13-5 6-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 54-18 31-10 14-5 4-1 5-2 0-0
2023 51-16 40-9 7-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2022 38-23 23-16 10-4 0-1 5-2 0-0
2021 36-16 16-10 16-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2020 12-8 7-5 2-2 3-1 0-0 0-0
2019 29-15 9-6 7-5 7-3 6-1 0-0
2018 9-4 4-2 5-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Cori Gauff has a 15-6 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on clay. Talking about the previous 9 years, the American has a 63-27 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). The American won 6 of her last 10 matches.

Her best achievement of the season was winning the title in Australia where she beat Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 6-4.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Gauff was defeated by Madison Keys in the 4th round 7-6(4) 4-6 6-4.

H2H Iga Swiatek vs. Cori Gauff

This match would represent the 15th time that Iga Swiatek and Cori Gauff face off. The head to head is 11-3 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 5-0 on clay in major tournaments.

Nevertheless, Iga Swiatek may fight against Mirra Andreeva. Their H2H is 2-1 for Mirra Andreeva.

Final – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 8-4 for Iga Swiatek

31 - 5win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
WWWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 31-5 23-4 8-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0

Aryna Sabalenka has a 26-5 record in 2025, 3-1 on clay. In connection to the last 10 years, Aryna has a 80-40 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Sabalenka won 9 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant result of the year was winning the tournament in Brisbane where she defeated Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2, and in Miami where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Aryna surrendered to Iga Swiatek in the final 7-5 4-6 7-6(7).

H2H Iga Swiatek vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This would be the 13th time that Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka fight against each other. The head to head is 8-4 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 5-1 on clay in major tournaments.

Alternatively, Iga Swiatek may fight against Jessica Pegula. Their H2H record is 6-4 for Iga Swiatek.