Iga Swiatek and Linda Noskova will play each other in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 8:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.25
Linda Noskova -> 3.94

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Linda Noskova

This will be the 7th time that Iga Swiatek and Linda Noskova play each other. The head to head is 5-1 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Swiatek won 6-7(1) 6-4 6-4 in the 3rd round in Doha back in February 2025.

Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Linda Noskova – Doha 12-February-2025

Iga Swiatek

Iga Swiatek

23 - 7win/loss

Hard
21-6
I Hard
0-0
Clay
2-1
Rank
2
High
1
LWWWWLWLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 26-8 21-6 5-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 2, Iga reached the 3rd round after beating Unknown Player bye and Alexandra Eala 4-6 6-4 6-2.

In the 2nd round against Eala, Iga recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-2). During the match, Swiatek scored 100 points vs Eala’s 80. Iga was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about the service games, Swiatek bagged 6 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Iga Swiatek lost the serve 5 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Swiatek put 59% of her first serves in, winning 64% (30/47) of the points behind her 1st serve and 55% (18/33) on the 2nd serve. Iga broke Eala 7 times after converting 44% of her break points (7/16).

Swiatek has a tremendous match record in the last 10 years having won 82% of her matches (372-83). 2-1 on clay in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Swiatek has an aggregate 139-19 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

The Pole’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Australia.

Iga has a compiled 23-7 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Madrid
Swiatek's Record

Linda Noskova

Linda Noskova

12 - 10win/loss

Hard
9-8
I Hard
1-1
Clay
2-1
Rank
30
High
25
LWLWLWLLLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 12-11 9-8 2-2 1-1 0-0 0-0
2024 28-18 19-8 6-6 0-1 3-3 0-0
2023 34-20 22-10 6-5 5-2 1-3 0-0
2022 40-17 10-5 14-5 16-7 0-0 0-0
2021 38-11 13-7 10-4 15-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 31, Linda reached the 3rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Maria Lourdes Carle 7-5 6-1.

In the 2nd round, Linda had a good straight sets win against Lourdes Carle (7-5 6-1). During the match Noskova scored 82 points vs Lourdes Carle’s 59. The Czech was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Talking about serving, Noskova managed to score 5 aces and she committed only 9 double faults. Linda Noskova lost the serve twice and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Noskova put 62% of her first serves in, winning 70% (37/53) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (16/33) on the 2nd serve. Noskova was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Lourdes Carle 5 times.

Noskova’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Abu Dhabi.

Linda has a composed 12-10 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See her history.

Madrid
Noskova's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

I.Swiatek
L.Noskova
2h:15
2h:15
Time on court​
1h:37
1h:37
!
2h:15
2h:15
Last match​
1h:37
1h:37
1
1
Match played
1
1
28
28
Games Played​
19
19
3
3
Set played​​
2
2
100
100
Total points​
82
82
100
100
Avg point​
82
82
30
30
Winners
37
37
30
30
Avg Winners​
37
37
30%
30%
Ratio winners
45%
45%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
5
5
6
6
Avg Aces
5
5
4
4
Double Faults
9
9
4
4
Avg Double Faults
!
9
9
30/47
30/47
1st won total​
37/53
37/53
64%
64%
1st won %
70%
70%
18/33
18/33
2nd won total​
16/33
16/33
55%
55%
2nd won %
48%
48%
-- Break Points --
7/16
7/16
BP won
5/5
5/5
7/16
7/16
Avg BP won
5/5
5/5
44%
44%
Won
!
100%
100%
10
10
Conceded
10
10
10
10
Avg Conceded
10
10
5
5
Broken
2
2
!
5
5
Avg Broken
2
2
5
5
Saved
8
8
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Swiatek Noskova
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 2
Tot Games 28 19
Pts 100-80 82-59
Total Points 180 141
Winners 30 37
%Winners 30% 45%

Both Swiatek and Noskova played 1 match. At the moment, Iga Swiatek lost 1 set while Linda Noskova hasn’t dropped a set so far. Swiatek has played 1 set more than Noskova (3 vs 2). Therefore, Swiatek played 9 games more than Noskova. Iga scored 30 winners (30% of the total points). On the other side, Noskova made 37 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve Swiatek Noskova
Aces 6 5
Avg per match 6 5
1st in 47/80 53/86
%1st in 59% 62%
1st pts 30/47 37/53
%1st pts 64% 70%
2nd pts 18/33 16/33
%2nd pts 55% 48%

Swiatek managed to score 6 aces . Noskova fired 5 aces . Swiatek won 64% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Noskova won 70% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Swiatek Noskova
Won 7 5
Converted 7/16 5/5
% Converted 44% 100%
Conceded 10 10
Saved 5 8
% Saved 50% 80%
Times Broken 5 2

The Pole broke her opponent 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. Iga surrendered her serve 5 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Noskova broke her opponent 5 times with a 100% conversion rate. Linda conceded her serve twice and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded.

Swiatek
R2
Eala		 Total
Score 4-6 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 28 28
pts 100-80 100-80
Total points 180 180
Winners 30 30
%Winners 30% 30%
SERVE
Aces 6 6
Double Faults 4 4
1st in 47/80 47/80
% 1st in 59% 59%
1st pts 30/47 30/47
% 1st pts 64% 64%
2nd pts 18/33 18/33
% 2nd pts 55% 55%
Breaks
Won 7 7
Converted 7/16 7/16
Converted % 44% 44%
Conceded 10 10
Saved 5/10 5
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 5 5
Noskova
R2
Lourdes		 Total
Score 7-5 6-1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 19 19
pts 82-59 82-59
Total points 141 141
Winners 37 37
%Winners 45% 45%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 9 9
1st in 53/86 53/86
% 1st in 62% 62%
1st pts 37/53 37/53
% 1st pts 70% 70%
2nd pts 16/33 16/33
% 2nd pts 48% 48%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/5 5/5
Converted % 100% 100%
Conceded 10 10
Saved 8/10 8
Saved % 80% 80%
Times Broken 2 2

Tennis Scores in Madrid

Upcoming matches in the draw

Swiatek
More Stats
Click here
Noskova

Click for FULL STATS