Diana Shnaider and Anastasija Sevastova will face off in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 11:00 am on STADIUM 3. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Diana Shnaider who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Diana Shnaider is the pick to win this match.
Diana Shnaider -> 1.444
Anastasija Sevastova -> 2.77
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Prediction and head to head Diana Shnaider vs. Anastasija Sevastova
There is no head to head record between Diana Shnaider and Anastasija Sevastova since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Diana Shnaider
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-11 | 7-8 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 55-23 | 31-15 | 15-5 | 0-0 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-22 | 14-13 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 58-17 | 11-4 | 46-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 8-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, the Russian reached the 3rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Katie Volynets 6-1 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Diana had a good straight sets win against Volynets (6-1 6-2). During the match, Shnaider scored 62 points vs Volynets’s 36. Diana was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Shnaider couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault. Diana Shnaider was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 74% (28/38) of her 1st serve and 69% (9/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Shnaider broke Volynets 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).
Shnaider has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 67% of her matches (159-77). 3-2 on clay in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Shnaider has an aggregate84-30 match record in the last 7 years on clay.
Diana has an aggregate 10-10 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Anastasija Sevastova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 4-2 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-20 | 8-13 | 6-4 | 2-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 666, Anastasija got to the 3rd round after defeating Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6-4 7-5 and Jelena Ostapenko 7-6(2) 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Anastasija had a good straight sets win against Ostapenko (7-62 6-2). During the match Sevastova scored 76 points vs Ostapenko’s 59. The Latvian was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Sevastova recorded 4 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Anastasija Sevastova lost the serve 5 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Sevastova put 71% of her first serves in, winning 63% (26/41) of the points behind her 1st serve and 29% (5/17) on the 2nd serve. Sevastova broke Ostapenko 7 times after converting 54% of her break points (7/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Anastasija hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
The Latvian has an aggregate 3-1 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2017. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shnaider | Sevastova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 43 |
| Pts | 62-36 | 177-149 |
| Total Points | 98 | 326 |
| Winners | 28 | 64 |
| %Winners | 45% | 36% |
Shnaider played 1 match while Sevastova competed in 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Shnaider has played 2 set(s) less than Sevastova (2 vs 4). Therefore, Shnaider played 28 games less than Sevastova. Shnaider scored 28 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Sevastova made 64 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shnaider | Sevastova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 3 |
| 1st in | 38/51 | 95/140 |
| %1st in | 75% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 28/38 | 64/95 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 9/13 | 17/45 |
| %2nd pts | 69% | 38% |
Shnaider didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Sevastova bagged 6 aces (3 per match). Shnaider won 74% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Sevastova won 67% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 38% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shnaider | Sevastova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 11 |
| Converted | 4/5 | 11/29 |
| % Converted | 80% | 38% |
| Conceded | 4 | 14 |
| Saved | 4 | 7 |
| % Saved | 100% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 7 |
The Russian broke her opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Shnaider had a solid display on her serve as she has never surrendered a single service game after saving 4 break points. The Latvian broke her opponents 11 times with a 38% conversion rate. Anastasija conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Shnaider | |||
| R2 Volynets |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 62-36 | 62-36 | |
| Total points | 98 | 98 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 38/51 | 38/51 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 28/38 | 28/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/13 | 9/13 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 69% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/5 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Sevastova | ||||
| R1 Pavlyuchenkova |
R2 Ostapenko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | 7-62 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 21 | 43 | |
| pts | 101-90 | 76-59 | 177-149 | |
| Total points | 191 | 135 | 326 | |
| Winners | 38 | 26 | 64 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 34% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 54/82 | 41/58 | 95/140 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 71% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 38/54 | 26/41 | 64/95 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 63% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/28 | 5/17 | 17/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 29% | 38% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 7 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/16 | 7/13 | 11/29 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 54% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | 14 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 2/7 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 29% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWLWLLW
LWWLW Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Sofia KeninKenin – Lulu SunSun (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Katie BoulterBoulter (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Moyuka UchijimaUchijima – Ons JabeurJabeur (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Cristina BucsaBucsa (4-6 7-61 7-5) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Alycia ParksParks (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Olga DanilovicDanilovic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Peyton StearnsStearns – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (6-2 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Magda LinetteLinette (7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Sonay KartalKartal (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Bernarda PeraPera (2-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Anastasija SevastovaSevastova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (7-62 6-2) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (0-6 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Ann LiLi – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-4 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Caroline DolehideDolehide (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Maya JointJoint (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Magdalena FrechFrech – Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro (5-7 7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- Donna VekicVekic – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Belinda BencicBencic – Clara TausonTauson (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Yuliia StarodubtsevaStarodubtseva – Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto (7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Alexandra EalaEala (4-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Linda NoskovaNoskova – Maria Lourdes CarleLourdes Carle (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Diana ShnaiderShnaider – Katie VolynetsVolynets (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Diane ParryParry (7-64 6-4) – See score progression
- Yecong HeHe – Pak Long YeungLong Yeung (1-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Yan BaiBai – Qun GaoGao (6-2 2-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Zihao XiaXia – Yuanfeng LiLi (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jie CuiCui – Ray HoHo (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Fajing SunSun – Tsung-Hao HuangHuang (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Peyton StearnsStearns – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (6-2 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Cristina BucsaBucsa (4-6 7-6(1) 7-5) – See score progression
- Sofia KeninKenin – Lulu SunSun (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Moyuka UchijimaUchijima – Ons JabeurJabeur (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Olga DanilovicDanilovic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Alycia ParksParks (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Sonay KartalKartal (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Magda LinetteLinette (7-6(5) 6-3) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Katie BoulterBoulter (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Rebeka MasarovaMasarova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Marta KostyukKostyuk (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Eva LysLys (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elise MertensMertens (9-2) – H2H and prediction
- Sofia KeninKenin – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Yulia StarodubtsewaStarodubtsewa (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Belinda BencicBencic (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Ann LiLi – Cori GauffGauff (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Donna VekicVekic – Emma NavarroNavarro (2-0) – H2H and prediction
