Emma Navarro and Donna Vekic will face off in the 3^rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 9:30 pm on ARANTXA SANCHEZ STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Emma Navarro who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Emma Navarro is the pick to win this match.
Emma Navarro -> 1.43
Donna Vekic -> 2.83

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Prediction and head to head Emma Navarro vs. Donna Vekic

This will be the 3^rd time that Emma Navarro and Donna Vekic fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Vekic (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Vekic won 7-6(5) 6-1 in the 3^rd round in Indian Wells back in March 2025.

Highlights Donna Vekic vs Emma Navarro – Indian Wells 10-March-2025

Emma Navarro

Ranked no. 10, the American reached the 3^rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Maya Joint 7-5 7-5.

In the 2^nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Joint (7-5 7-5). During the match, Navarro scored 85 points vs Joint’s 80. Navarro was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Regarding the service games, Navarro couldn’t to score even 1 ace in the course of the match and she committed only 7 double faults. Emma Navarro lost the serve 4 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Navarro put 49% of her first serves in, winning 66% (23/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (16/37) on the 2nd serve. Emma broke Joint 6 times after converting 46% of her break points (6/13).

Navarro has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 64% of her matches (218-120). 4-2 on clay in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Navarro has an aggregate114-54 record in the last 9 years on clay.

Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Merida where she defeated Emiliana Arango in the final 6-0 6-0.

Navarro has an overall 15-9 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Donna Vekic

Ranked no. 21, Donna got to the 3^rd round after beating Unknown Player bye and Hailey Baptiste 6-4 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Vekic had a good straight sets win against Baptiste (6-4 6-3). During the match Vekic scored 68 points vs Baptiste’s 59. Vekic was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.

About the serving games, Vekic scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 7 double faults. Donna Vekic was pretty effective on serve to win 73% (24/33) of her 1st serve and 63% (24/38) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Donna broke Baptiste twice after converting 40% of her break points (2/5).

The Croatian has a composed 6-10 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2019. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Navarro	Vekic
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	24	19
Pts	85-80	68-59
Total Points	165	127
Winners	23	24
%Winners	27%	35%

Both Navarro and Vekic played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Navarro and Vekic have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Navarro played 5 games more than Vekic. Navarro scored 23 winners (27% of the total points). On the other side, Vekic managed to score 24 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Navarro	Vekic
Aces	0	1
Avg per match	0	1
1st in	35/72	33/71
%1st in	49%	46%
1st pts	23/35	24/33
%1st pts	66%	73%
2nd pts	16/37	24/38
%2nd pts	43%	63%

Navarro didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Vekic struck 1 ace . Navarro won 66% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Vekic won 73% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 63% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Navarro	Vekic
Won	6	2
Converted	6/13	2/5
% Converted	46%	40%
Conceded	10	6
Saved	6	6
% Saved	60%	100%
Times Broken	4	0

Emma broke her opponent 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. Navarro surrendered her serve 4 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded. Donna broke her opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. The Croatian was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 6 break points.

Navarro
	R2 Joint	Total
Score	7-5 7-5
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	24	24
pts	85-80	85-80
Total points	165	165
Winners	23	23
%Winners	27%	27%
SERVE
Aces	0	0
Double Faults	7	7
1st in	35/72	35/72
% 1st in	49%	49%
1st pts	23/35	23/35
% 1st pts	66%	66%
2nd pts	16/37	16/37
% 2nd pts	43%	43%
Breaks
Won	6	6
Converted	6/13	6/13
Converted %	46%	46%
Conceded	10	10
Saved	6/10	6
Saved %	60%	60%
Times Broken	4	4

Vekic
	R2 Baptiste	Total
Score	6-4 6-3
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	19	19
pts	68-59	68-59
Total points	127	127
Winners	24	24
%Winners	35%	35%
SERVE
Aces	1	1
Double Faults	7	7
1st in	33/71	33/71
% 1st in	46%	46%
1st pts	24/33	24/33
% 1st pts	73%	73%
2nd pts	24/38	24/38
% 2nd pts	63%	63%
Breaks
Won	2	2
Converted	2/5	2/5
Converted %	40%	40%
Conceded	6	6
Saved	6/6	6
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Tennis Scores in Madrid

• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Olga DanilovicDanilovic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Elise MertensMertens – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Peyton StearnsStearns – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (6-2 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Maria SakkariSakkari – Magda LinetteLinette (7-6⁵ 6-3) – See score progression
• Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Sonay KartalKartal (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Sofia KeninKenin – Lulu SunSun (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Katie BoulterBoulter (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Moyuka UchijimaUchijima – Ons JabeurJabeur (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Anastasia Potapova
  Potapova – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Cristina BucsaBucsa (4-6 7-6¹ 7-5) – See score progression
• Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Alycia ParksParks (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
• Emma NavarroNavarro – Maya JointJoint (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Magdalena FrechFrech – Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro (5-7 7-6² 6-4) – See score progression
• Donna VekicVekic – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Belinda BencicBencic – Clara TausonTauson (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Yuliia StarodubtsevaStarodubtseva – Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto (7-6⁵ 6-4) – See score progression
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Alexandra EalaEala (4-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Linda NoskovaNoskova – Maria Lourdes CarleLourdes Carle (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Diana ShnaiderShnaider – Katie VolynetsVolynets (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Diane ParryParry (7-6⁴ 6-4) – See score progression
• Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Bernarda PeraPera (2-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Anastasija SevastovaSevastova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (7-6² 6-2) – See score progression
• Cori GauffGauff – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (0-6 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
• Ann LiLi – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-4 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Caroline DolehideDolehide (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Madison KeysKeys – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Zihao XiaXia – Yuanfeng LiLi (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Jie CuiCui – Ray HoHo (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Fajing SunSun – Tsung-Hao HuangHuang (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Yecong HeHe – Pak Long YeungLong Yeung (1-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Yan BaiBai – Qun GaoGao (6-2 2-1 ret.) – See score progression
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Elise MertensMertens – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Peyton StearnsStearns – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (6-2 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Cristina BucsaBucsa (4-6 7-6(1) 7-5) – See score progression
• Sofia KeninKenin – Lulu SunSun (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Moyuka UchijimaUchijima – Ons JabeurJabeur (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Olga DanilovicDanilovic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Alycia ParksParks (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
• Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Sonay KartalKartal (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Maria SakkariSakkari – Magda LinetteLinette (7-6(5) 6-3) – See score progression
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Katie BoulterBoulter (6-1 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Rebeka MasarovaMasarova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Marta KostyukKostyuk (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jessica PegulaPegula – Eva LysLys (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elise MertensMertens (9-2) – H2H and prediction
• Sofia KeninKenin – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (2-3) – H2H and prediction
• Maria SakkariSakkari – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Yulia StarodubtsewaStarodubtsewa (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Belinda BencicBencic (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Ann LiLi – Cori GauffGauff (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Madison KeysKeys – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Donna VekicVekic – Emma NavarroNavarro (2-0) – H2H and prediction