Cori Gauff and Ann Li will square off in the 3^rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 3:30 pm on ARANTXA SANCHEZ STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cori Gauff who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Cori Gauff is the pick to win this match.
Cori Gauff -> 1.168
Ann Li -> 5.1

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Cori Gauff vs. Ann Li

This will be the 3^rd time that Cori Gauff and Ann Li clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Gauff (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Gauff won 6-2 7-6(2) in the 1^st round in Berlin back in 2022.

Cori Gauff

Ranked no. 4, Gauff reached the 3^rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Dayana Yastremska 0-6 6-2 7-5.

In the 2^nd round against Yastremska, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (0-6 6-2 7-5). During the match, Gauff scored 94 points vs Yastremska’s 86. Gauff was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Regarding the service games, Gauff fired 3 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Cori Gauff lost the serve 7 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Gauff put 48% of her first serves in, winning 67% (26/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 38% (16/42) on the 2nd serve. Gauff broke Yastremska 7 times after converting 50% of her break points (7/14).

Gauff has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 70% of her matches (244-106). 2-1 on clay in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Gauff has an aggregate63-27 match record in the last 9 years on clay.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Australia where she beat Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 6-4.

Cori has a composed 15-6 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Ann Li

Ranked no. 62, Ann got to the 3^rd round after beating Aliaksandra Sasnovich 6-3 6-2 and Leylah Annie Fernandez 6-4 3-6 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Ann defeated Annie Fernandez (6-4 3-6 6-4). During the match Li scored 93 points vs Annie Fernandez’s 91. Ann was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about serving, Li scored 8 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Ann Li lost the serve 4 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Li put 61% of her first serves in, winning 68% (36/53) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (15/34) on the 2nd serve. Ann broke Annie Fernandez 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ann has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

Li’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Singapore.

The American has a composed 11-8 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Ann has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Gauff	Li
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	3	5
Tot Games	26	46
Pts	94-86	166-144
Total Points	180	310
Winners	26	63
%Winners	28%	38%

Gauff played 1 match while Li competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Cori Gauff surrendered 1 set, while Ann Li dropped 1 set. Gauff has played 2 set(s) less than Li (3 vs 5). Therefore, Gauff played 20 games less than Li. The American scored 26 winners (28% of the total points). On the other side, The American managed to score 63 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Gauff	Li
Aces	3	17
Avg per match	3	8.5
1st in	39/81	94/154
%1st in	48%	61%
1st pts	26/39	63/94
%1st pts	67%	67%
2nd pts	16/42	28/60
%2nd pts	38%	47%

Gauff managed to score 3 aces . Li made 17 aces (8.5 per match). Gauff won 67% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 38% of the points. On the other side, Li won 67% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Gauff	Li
Won	7	10
Converted	7/14	10/18
% Converted	50%	56%
Conceded	14	21
Saved	7	15
% Saved	50%	71%
Times Broken	7	6

The American broke her opponent 7 times with a 50% conversion rate. Gauff dropped her serve 7 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Ann broke her opponents 10 times with a 56% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.

Gauff
	R2 Yastremska	Total
Score	0-6 6-2 7-5
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	26	26
pts	94-86	94-86
Total points	180	180
Winners	26	26
%Winners	28%	28%
SERVE
Aces	3	3
Double Faults	8	8
1st in	39/81	39/81
% 1st in	48%	48%
1st pts	26/39	26/39
% 1st pts	67%	67%
2nd pts	16/42	16/42
% 2nd pts	38%	38%
Breaks
Won	7	7
Converted	7/14	7/14
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	14	14
Saved	7/14	7
Saved %	50%	50%
Times Broken	7	7

Li
	R1 Sasnovich	R2 Annie	Total
Score	6-3 6-2	6-4 3-6 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	17	29	46
pts	73-53	93-91	166-144
Total points	126	184	310
Winners	27	36	63
%Winners	37%	39%	38%
SERVE
Aces	9	8	17
Double Faults	2	4	6
1st in	41/67	53/87	94/154
% 1st in	61%	61%	61%
1st pts	27/41	36/53	63/94
% 1st pts	66%	68%	67%
2nd pts	13/26	15/34	28/60
% 2nd pts	50%	44%	47%
Breaks
Won	5	5	10
Converted	5/9	5/9	10/18
Converted %	56%	56%	56%
Conceded	11	10	21
Saved	9/11	6/10	15
Saved %	82%	60%	142%
Times Broken	2	4	6

Tennis Scores in Madrid

• Maria SakkariSakkari – Magda LinetteLinette (7-6⁵ 6-3) – See score progression
• Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Sonay KartalKartal (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Sofia KeninKenin – Lulu SunSun (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Katie BoulterBoulter (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Moyuka UchijimaUchijima – Ons JabeurJabeur (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Cristina BucsaBucsa (4-6 7-6¹ 7-5) – See score progression
• Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Alycia ParksParks (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Olga DanilovicDanilovic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Elise MertensMertens – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Peyton StearnsStearns – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (6-2 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Alexandra EalaEala (4-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Linda NoskovaNoskova – Maria Lourdes CarleLourdes Carle (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Diana ShnaiderShnaider – Katie VolynetsVolynets (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Diane ParryParry (7-6⁴ 6-4) – See score progression
• Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Bernarda PeraPera (2-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Anastasija SevastovaSevastova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (7-6² 6-2) – See score progression
• Cori GauffGauff – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (0-6 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
• Ann LiLi – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-4 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Caroline DolehideDolehide (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Madison KeysKeys – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Emma NavarroNavarro – Maya JointJoint (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Magdalena FrechFrech – Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro (5-7 7-6² 6-4) – See score progression
• Donna VekicVekic – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Belinda BencicBencic – Clara TausonTauson (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Yuliia StarodubtsevaStarodubtseva – Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto (7-6⁵ 6-4) – See score progression
• Fajing SunSun – Tsung-Hao HuangHuang (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Yecong HeHe – Pak Long YeungLong Yeung (1-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Yan BaiBai – Qun GaoGao (6-2 2-1 ret.) – See score progression
• Zihao XiaXia – Yuanfeng LiLi (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Jie CuiCui – Ray HoHo (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Elise MertensMertens – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Peyton StearnsStearns – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (6-2 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Cristina BucsaBucsa (4-6 7-6(1) 7-5) – See score progression
• Sofia KeninKenin – Lulu SunSun (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Moyuka UchijimaUchijima – Ons JabeurJabeur (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Olga DanilovicDanilovic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Alycia ParksParks (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
• Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Sonay KartalKartal (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Maria SakkariSakkari – Magda LinetteLinette (7-6(5) 6-3) – See score progression
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Katie BoulterBoulter (6-1 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Rebeka MasarovaMasarova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Marta KostyukKostyuk (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jessica PegulaPegula – Eva LysLys (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elise MertensMertens (9-2) – H2H and prediction
• Sofia KeninKenin – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (2-3) – H2H and prediction
• Maria SakkariSakkari – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Yulia StarodubtsewaStarodubtsewa (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Belinda BencicBencic (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Ann LiLi – Cori GauffGauff (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Madison KeysKeys – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Donna VekicVekic – Emma NavarroNavarro (2-0) – H2H and prediction