Cori Gauff and Ann Li will square off in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 3:30 pm on ARANTXA SANCHEZ STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cori Gauff who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Cori Gauff is the pick to win this match.
Cori Gauff -> 1.168
Ann Li -> 5.1
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Prediction and head to head Cori Gauff vs. Ann Li
This will be the 3rd time that Cori Gauff and Ann Li clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Gauff (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Gauff won 6-2 7-6(2) in the 1st round in Berlin back in 2022.
Cori Gauff
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-7 | 13-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-18 | 31-10 | 14-5 | 4-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-16 | 40-9 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 23-16 | 10-4 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-16 | 16-10 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, Gauff reached the 3rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Dayana Yastremska 0-6 6-2 7-5.
In the 2nd round against Yastremska, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (0-6 6-2 7-5). During the match, Gauff scored 94 points vs Yastremska’s 86. Gauff was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Gauff fired 3 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Cori Gauff lost the serve 7 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Gauff put 48% of her first serves in, winning 67% (26/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 38% (16/42) on the 2nd serve. Gauff broke Yastremska 7 times after converting 50% of her break points (7/14).
Gauff has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 70% of her matches (244-106). 2-1 on clay in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Gauff has an aggregate63-27 match record in the last 9 years on clay.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Australia where she beat Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 6-4.
Cori has a composed 15-6 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Ann Li
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-9 | 4-6 | 3-2 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-27 | 16-14 | 22-9 | 4-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-28 | 16-13 | 15-9 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 16-20 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 4-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-14 | 19-8 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 62, Ann got to the 3rd round after beating Aliaksandra Sasnovich 6-3 6-2 and Leylah Annie Fernandez 6-4 3-6 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Ann defeated Annie Fernandez (6-4 3-6 6-4). During the match Li scored 93 points vs Annie Fernandez’s 91. Ann was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Li scored 8 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Ann Li lost the serve 4 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Li put 61% of her first serves in, winning 68% (36/53) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (15/34) on the 2nd serve. Ann broke Annie Fernandez 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ann has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Li’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Singapore.
The American has a composed 11-8 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Ann has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gauff | Li |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 46 |
| Pts | 94-86 | 166-144 |
| Total Points | 180 | 310 |
| Winners | 26 | 63 |
| %Winners | 28% | 38% |
Gauff played 1 match while Li competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Cori Gauff surrendered 1 set, while Ann Li dropped 1 set. Gauff has played 2 set(s) less than Li (3 vs 5). Therefore, Gauff played 20 games less than Li. The American scored 26 winners (28% of the total points). On the other side, The American managed to score 63 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gauff | Li |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 8.5 |
| 1st in | 39/81 | 94/154 |
| %1st in | 48% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 26/39 | 63/94 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 16/42 | 28/60 |
| %2nd pts | 38% | 47% |
Gauff managed to score 3 aces . Li made 17 aces (8.5 per match). Gauff won 67% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 38% of the points. On the other side, Li won 67% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gauff | Li |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 10 |
| Converted | 7/14 | 10/18 |
| % Converted | 50% | 56% |
| Conceded | 14 | 21 |
| Saved | 7 | 15 |
| % Saved | 50% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 6 |
The American broke her opponent 7 times with a 50% conversion rate. Gauff dropped her serve 7 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Ann broke her opponents 10 times with a 56% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.
| Gauff | |||
| R2 Yastremska |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 0-6 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 94-86 | 94-86 | |
| Total points | 180 | 180 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 28% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 39/81 | 39/81 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 48% | |
| 1st pts | 26/39 | 26/39 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/42 | 16/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 38% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/14 | 7/14 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 14 | |
| Saved | 7/14 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 7 | 7 | |
| Li | ||||
| R1 Sasnovich |
R2 Annie |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 3-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 29 | 46 | |
| pts | 73-53 | 93-91 | 166-144 | |
| Total points | 126 | 184 | 310 | |
| Winners | 27 | 36 | 63 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 39% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 8 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 41/67 | 53/87 | 94/154 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 27/41 | 36/53 | 63/94 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 68% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/26 | 15/34 | 28/60 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 44% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | 10/18 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 10 | 21 | |
| Saved | 9/11 | 6/10 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 82% | 60% | 142% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWLWLW
LWWLWLLLLW Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Magda LinetteLinette (7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Sonay KartalKartal (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Sofia KeninKenin – Lulu SunSun (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Katie BoulterBoulter (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Moyuka UchijimaUchijima – Ons JabeurJabeur (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Cristina BucsaBucsa (4-6 7-61 7-5) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Alycia ParksParks (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Olga DanilovicDanilovic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Peyton StearnsStearns – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (6-2 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Alexandra EalaEala (4-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Linda NoskovaNoskova – Maria Lourdes CarleLourdes Carle (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Diana ShnaiderShnaider – Katie VolynetsVolynets (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Diane ParryParry (7-64 6-4) – See score progression
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Bernarda PeraPera (2-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Anastasija SevastovaSevastova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (7-62 6-2) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (0-6 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Ann LiLi – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-4 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Caroline DolehideDolehide (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Maya JointJoint (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Magdalena FrechFrech – Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro (5-7 7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- Donna VekicVekic – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Belinda BencicBencic – Clara TausonTauson (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Yuliia StarodubtsevaStarodubtseva – Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto (7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Fajing SunSun – Tsung-Hao HuangHuang (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Yecong HeHe – Pak Long YeungLong Yeung (1-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Yan BaiBai – Qun GaoGao (6-2 2-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Zihao XiaXia – Yuanfeng LiLi (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jie CuiCui – Ray HoHo (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Peyton StearnsStearns – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (6-2 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Cristina BucsaBucsa (4-6 7-6(1) 7-5) – See score progression
- Sofia KeninKenin – Lulu SunSun (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Moyuka UchijimaUchijima – Ons JabeurJabeur (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Olga DanilovicDanilovic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Alycia ParksParks (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Sonay KartalKartal (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Magda LinetteLinette (7-6(5) 6-3) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Katie BoulterBoulter (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Rebeka MasarovaMasarova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Marta KostyukKostyuk (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Eva LysLys (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elise MertensMertens (9-2) – H2H and prediction
- Sofia KeninKenin – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Yulia StarodubtsewaStarodubtsewa (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Belinda BencicBencic (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Ann LiLi – Cori GauffGauff (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Donna VekicVekic – Emma NavarroNavarro (2-0) – H2H and prediction
