Liudmila Samsonova and Yuliia Starodubtseva will play each other in the 3^rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:30 pm on STADIUM 3. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Liudmila Samsonova who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Liudmila Samsonova is the pick to win this match.
Liudmila Samsonova -> 1.44
Yuliia Starodubtseva -> 2.79

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Liudmila Samsonova vs. Yuliia Starodubtseva

There is no head to head record between Liudmila Samsonova and Yuliia Starodubtseva since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Liudmila Samsonova

Ranked no. 20, the Russian got to the 3^rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Caroline Dolehide 6-4 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Dolehide (6-4 6-4). During the match, Samsonova scored 60 points vs Dolehide’s 50. Samsonova was exceptionally aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Regarding the service games, Samsonova wasn’t able to score even 1 ace during the encounter and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Liudmila Samsonova was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 76% (25/33) of her 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Ludmilla broke Dolehide 3 times after converting 75% of her break points (3/4).

Samsonova has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of her matches (304-184). 1-1 on clay in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Samsonova has an aggregate 107-70 record in the last years on clay.

Samsonova’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide.

The Russian has a compiled 10-9 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Yuliia Starodubtseva

Ranked no. 99, the Ukrainian reached the 3^rd round after beating Chloe Paquet 2-6 6-3 6-0, Elsa Jacquemot 7-6(5) 2-6 7-5, Linda Fruhvirtova 6-2 6-2 and Elisabetta Cocciaretto 7-6(5) 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Yuliia had a good straight sets win against Cocciaretto (7-6⁵ 6-4). During the match Starodubtseva scored 76 points vs Cocciaretto’s 65. Yuliia was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.

About the serving games, Starodubtseva wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Yuliia Starodubtseva lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Starodubtseva put 68% of her first serves in, winning 69% (29/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 65% (13/20) on the 2nd serve. Starodubtseva broke Cocciaretto 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Ukrainian started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.

Yuliia has a compiled 7-12 win-loss record in 2025, 4-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Starodubtseva has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Samsonova	Starodubtseva
Match played	1	4
Tot Set	2	10
Tot Games	20	95
Pts	60-50	337-313
Total Points	110	650
Winners	25	127
%Winners	42%	38%

Samsonova played 1 match while Starodubtseva competed in 4 matches. Starodubtseva started her run from the qualifications while Samsonova had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Yuliia Starodubtseva lost 2 sets while Liudmila Samsonova hasn’t lost a set so far. Samsonova has played 8 set(s) less than Starodubtseva (2 vs 10). Therefore, Samsonova played 75 games less than Starodubtseva. Ludmilla scored 25 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Ukrainian blasted 127 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Samsonova	Starodubtseva
Aces	0	1
Avg per match	0	0.3
1st in	33/56	220/320
%1st in	59%	69%
1st pts	25/33	127/220
%1st pts	76%	58%
2nd pts	14/23	58/100
%2nd pts	61%	58%

Samsonova didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Starodubtseva managed to score 1 ace (0.3 per match). Samsonova won 76% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Starodubtseva won 58% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Samsonova	Starodubtseva
Won	3	20
Converted	3/4	20/49
% Converted	75%	41%
Conceded	2	33
Saved	1	19
% Saved	50%	58%
Times Broken	1	14

Samsonova broke her opponent 3 times with a 75% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve once and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. The Ukrainian broke her opponents 20 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Ukrainian conceded her serve 14 times and she saved 58% of the break points that she conceded.

Samsonova
	R2 Dolehide	Total
Score	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	20	20
pts	60-50	60-50
Total points	110	110
Winners	25	25
%Winners	42%	42%
SERVE
Aces	0	0
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	33/56	33/56
% 1st in	59%	59%
1st pts	25/33	25/33
% 1st pts	76%	76%
2nd pts	14/23	14/23
% 2nd pts	61%	61%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/4	3/4
Converted %	75%	75%
Conceded	2	2
Saved	1/2	1
Saved %	50%	50%
Times Broken	1	1

Starodubtseva
	Q1 Paquet	Q3 Jacquemot	R1 Fruhvirtova	R2 Cocciaretto	Total
Score	2-6 6-3 6-0	7-65 2-6 7-5	6-2 6-2	7-65 6-4
Tot Set	3	3	2	2	10
Tot Games	23	33	16	23	95
pts	80-74	118-128	63-46	76-65	337-313
Total points	154	246	109	141	650
Winners	31	47	20	29	127
%Winners	39%	40%	32%	38%	38%
SERVE
Aces	0	1	0	0	1
Double Faults	2	2	2	1	7
1st in	51/81	91/127	36/50	42/62	220/320
% 1st in	63%	72%	72%	68%	69%
1st pts	31/51	47/91	20/36	29/42	127/220
% 1st pts	61%	52%	56%	69%	58%
2nd pts	16/30	22/36	7/14	13/20	58/100
% 2nd pts	53%	61%	50%	65%	58%
Breaks
Won	5	5	7	3	20
Converted	5/12	5/17	7/12	3/8	20/49
Converted %	42%	29%	58%	38%	41%
Conceded	8	15	7	3	33
Saved	5/8	9/15	4/7	1/3	19
Saved %	63%	60%	57%	33%	213%
Times Broken	3	6	3	2	14

Tennis Scores in Madrid

• Moyuka UchijimaUchijima – Ons JabeurJabeur (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Cristina BucsaBucsa (4-6 7-6¹ 7-5) – See score progression
• Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Alycia ParksParks (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Olga DanilovicDanilovic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Elise MertensMertens – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Peyton StearnsStearns – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (6-2 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Maria SakkariSakkari – Magda LinetteLinette (7-6⁵ 6-3) – See score progression
• Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Sonay KartalKartal (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Sofia KeninKenin – Lulu SunSun (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Katie BoulterBoulter (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Bernarda PeraPera (2-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Anastasija SevastovaSevastova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (7-6² 6-2) – See score progression
• Cori GauffGauff – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (0-6 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
• Ann LiLi – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-4 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Caroline DolehideDolehide (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Madison KeysKeys – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Emma NavarroNavarro – Maya JointJoint (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Magdalena FrechFrech – Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro (5-7 7-6² 6-4) – See score progression
• Donna VekicVekic – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Belinda BencicBencic – Clara TausonTauson (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Yuliia StarodubtsevaStarodubtseva – Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto (7-6⁵ 6-4) – See score progression
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Alexandra EalaEala (4-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Linda NoskovaNoskova – Maria Lourdes CarleLourdes Carle (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Diana ShnaiderShnaider – Katie VolynetsVolynets (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Diane ParryParry (7-6⁴ 6-4) – See score progression
• Yecong HeHe – Pak Long YeungLong Yeung (1-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Yan BaiBai – Qun GaoGao (6-2 2-1 ret.) – See score progression
• Zihao XiaXia – Yuanfeng LiLi (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Jie CuiCui – Ray HoHo (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Fajing SunSun – Tsung-Hao HuangHuang (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Elise MertensMertens – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Peyton StearnsStearns – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (6-2 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Cristina BucsaBucsa (4-6 7-6(1) 7-5) – See score progression
• Sofia KeninKenin – Lulu SunSun (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Moyuka UchijimaUchijima – Ons JabeurJabeur (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Olga DanilovicDanilovic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Alycia ParksParks (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
• Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Sonay KartalKartal (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Maria SakkariSakkari – Magda LinetteLinette (7-6(5) 6-3) – See score progression
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Katie BoulterBoulter (6-1 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Rebeka MasarovaMasarova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Marta KostyukKostyuk (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jessica PegulaPegula – Eva LysLys (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elise MertensMertens (9-2) – H2H and prediction
• Sofia KeninKenin – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (2-3) – H2H and prediction
• Maria SakkariSakkari – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Yulia StarodubtsewaStarodubtsewa (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Belinda BencicBencic (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Ann LiLi – Cori GauffGauff (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Madison KeysKeys – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Donna VekicVekic – Emma NavarroNavarro (2-0) – H2H and prediction