Tomas Machac and Jacob Fearnley will square off in the 2nd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 4:00 pm on COURT 5. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tomas Machac who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tomas Machac is the pick to win this match.
Tomas Machac -> 1.31
Jacob Fearnley -> 3.45
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Prediction and head to head Tomas Machac vs. Jacob Fearnley
There is no head to head record between Tomas Machac and Jacob Fearnley since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Tomas Machac
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-7 | 11-4 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-24 | 22-11 | 9-5 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-27 | 15-10 | 16-11 | 18-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-19 | 24-6 | 5-2 | 18-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 28-19 | 5-4 | 5-4 | 12-6 | 2-3 | 4-2 |
Ranked no. 20 (career-high), Machac will start his run in Madrid after he played his last match in Monte Carlo where he lost 3-6 6-0 6-3 to De Minaur in the 2nd round on the 9th of April.
Machac has a compiled 15-6 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Acapulco where he beat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 7-6(6) 6-2.
Talking about his overall career, Machac has an overall 272-137 record. He has a positive 78-44 record on clay.
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See his history.
Jacob Fearnley
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-10 | 9-5 | 6-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-9 | 10-2 | 0-0 | 26-4 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 17-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 68 (career-high), Jacob reached the 2nd round after beating Pavel Kotov 4-6 6-4 6-1, Hugo Dellien 7-5 6-1 and Bu Yunchaokete 6-3 7-6(2).
In the 1st round, Fearnley had a good straight sets win against Yunchaokete (6-3 7-62). During the match Fearnley scored 76 points vs Yunchaokete’s 59. Jacob was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Fearnley recorded 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Jacob Fearnley was extremely effective on serve to win 83% (29/35) of his 1st serve and 60% (15/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Fearnley broke Yunchaokete 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
The Brit’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Canberra Challenger.
The Brit has an aggregate 17-9 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Jacob has never competed in this tournament before.
Head 2 Head
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LWWWWLWLWL Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Jakub MensikMensik – Ethan QuinnQuinn (7-64 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Laslo DjereDjere (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Casper RuudRuud – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Harold MayotMayot (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Francisco ComesanaComesana – Arthur FilsFils (7-64 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (7-65 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Taylor FritzFritz – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander BublikBublik – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-4 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Benjamin BonziBonzi – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Federico CinaCina (6-3 3-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Gael MonfilsGael – Andrey RublevAndrey (w/o (Monfils ret.)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Andrey RublevRublev (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Nicolas JarryJarry (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marcos GironGiron – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexandre MullerMuller – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Benjamin BonziBonzi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-4) – H2H and prediction
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Casper RuudRuud (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Francisco ComesanaComesana (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Sebastian OfnerOfner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Cameron NorrieNorrie (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Tomas MachacMachac (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (0-0) – H2H and prediction
