Grigor Dimitrov and Nicolas Jarry will play each other in the 2nd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 6:30 pm on STADIUM 3. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Grigor Dimitrov who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Grigor Dimitrov is the pick to win this match.
Grigor Dimitrov -> 1.4
Nicolas Jarry -> 2.95
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Grigor Dimitrov vs. Nicolas Jarry
This will be the 5th time that Grigor Dimitrov and Nicolas Jarry square off. The head to head is 2-2 (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Dimitrov won 6-3 6-4 in the 1st round in Monte carlo back in April 2025.
Highlights Grigor Dimitrov vs Nicolas Jarry – Monte carlo 08-April-2025
Grigor Dimitrov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-7 | 9-6 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-18 | 21-7 | 8-4 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 16-10 | 10-5 | 10-4 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-22 | 10-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16, the Bulgarian will start his run in Madrid after he played his last match in Monte Carlo where he lost 6-0 6-0 to De Minaur in the quarter on the 11th of April.
Grigor has a composed 12-7 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
The Bulgarian’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Brisbane and Miami.
Talking about his overall career, The Bulgarian has an overall 620-367 record. He has a positive 163-99 record on clay.
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2015. See his history.
Nicolas Jarry
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 19-24 | 8-11 | 9-9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 14-7 | 21-8 | 4-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 8-5 | 30-16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-22 | 13-4 | 32-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 57, Jarry got to the 2nd round after beating Daniel Altmaier 6-3 6-2.
In the 1st round, Jarry had a good straight sets win against Altmaier (6-3 6-2). During the match Jarry scored 59 points vs Altmaier’s 40. Nicolas was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.
About the serving games, Jarry blasted 4 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Nicolas Jarry was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 95% (21/22) of his 1st serve and 60% (15/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Chilean broke Altmaier 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
The Chilean has an overall 4-8 win-loss record in 2025, 2-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See his history.
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWWWWL
WLLLLLWLLL Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Alexander BublikBublik – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-4 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Benjamin BonziBonzi – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Federico CinaCina (6-3 3-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jakub MensikMensik – Ethan QuinnQuinn (7-64 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Laslo DjereDjere (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Casper RuudRuud – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Harold MayotMayot (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Francisco ComesanaComesana – Arthur FilsFils (7-64 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (7-65 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Taylor FritzFritz – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Gael MonfilsGael – Andrey RublevAndrey (w/o (Monfils ret.)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Andrey RublevRublev (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Nicolas JarryJarry (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marcos GironGiron – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexandre MullerMuller – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Benjamin BonziBonzi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-4) – H2H and prediction
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Casper RuudRuud (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Francisco ComesanaComesana (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Sebastian OfnerOfner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Cameron NorrieNorrie (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Tomas MachacMachac (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (0-0) – H2H and prediction
