Denis Shapovalov and Kei Nishikori will square off in the 2nd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 11:00 am on COURT 4. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Denis Shapovalov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Denis Shapovalov is the pick to win this match.
Denis Shapovalov -> 1.66
Kei Nishikori -> 2.22
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Prediction and head to head Denis Shapovalov vs. Kei Nishikori
This will be the 4th time that Denis Shapovalov and Kei Nishikori face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Nishikori (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Nishikori won 6-2 6-3 in the 1st round in Hong kong back in 2024.
Highlights Kei Nishikori vs Denis Shapovalov – Hong kong 31-December-2024
Denis Shapovalov
12 - 8win/loss
30
10
LWLLLWLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-9 | 7-6 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-25 | 9-10 | 5-6 | 16-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 13-13 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-26 | 22-12 | 4-4 | 7-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-23 | 11-11 | 7-6 | 4-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 30, the Canadian will start his run in Madrid after he played his last match in Munich where he lost 7-6(2) 3-0 ret. to Dedura-Palomero in the 1st round on the 15th of April.
Shapovalov has a composed 12-8 win-loss record in 2025, 0-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
His best result of the year was conquering the title in Dallas where he defeated Casper Ruud in the final 7-6(5) 6-3.
Talking about his overall career, Denis has an overall 321-215 record. He has a positive 75-47 record on clay.
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2018. See his history.
Kei Nishikori
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-9 | 9-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 20-11 | 7-5 | 5-3 | 8-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 10-3 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-17 | 15-9 | 7-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 64, Nishikori got to the 2nd round after defeating Aleksandar Vukic 6-4 3-6 6-3.
In the 1st round, Nishikori defeated Vukic (6-4 3-6 6-3). During the match Nishikori scored 94 points vs Vukic’s 88. Kei was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Nishikori blasted 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Kei Nishikori was exceptionally effective on serve to win 74% (37/50) of his 1st serve and 58% (18/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Kei broke Vukic 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).
Nishikori’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Hong Kong.
Kei has a compiled 12-8 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2014. See his history.
Head 2 Head
LWLLLWLWLW
LWLWLWWWLW Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Jakub MensikMensik – Ethan QuinnQuinn (7-64 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Laslo DjereDjere (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Casper RuudRuud – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Harold MayotMayot (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Francisco ComesanaComesana – Arthur FilsFils (7-64 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (7-65 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Taylor FritzFritz – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander BublikBublik – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-4 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Benjamin BonziBonzi – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Federico CinaCina (6-3 3-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Gael MonfilsGael – Andrey RublevAndrey (w/o (Monfils ret.)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Andrey RublevRublev (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Nicolas JarryJarry (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marcos GironGiron – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexandre MullerMuller – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Benjamin BonziBonzi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-4) – H2H and prediction
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Casper RuudRuud (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Francisco ComesanaComesana (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Sebastian OfnerOfner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Cameron NorrieNorrie (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Tomas MachacMachac (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (0-0) – H2H and prediction
