Alex De Minaur and Lorenzo Sonego will square off in the 2^nd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:30 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.35
Lorenzo Sonego -> 3.2

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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Lorenzo Sonego

This will be the 4^th time that Alex De Minaur and Lorenzo Sonego clash against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for De Minaur (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.

The last time that they fought against each other, De Minaur won 7-6(3) 6-2 in the 2^nd round in Eastbourne back in 2022.

Alex De Minaur

Ranked no. 7, De Minaur will start his run in Madrid after he played his last match in Barcelona where he lost 7-5 6-3 to Alcaraz in the quarter on the 18^th of April.

Alex has a composed 22-8 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

De Minaur’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Rotterdam.

Talking about his overall career, The Australian has an overall 387-216 record. He has a positive 70-53 record on clay.

Previously in Madrid

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2021 and 2023. See his history.

Lorenzo Sonego

Ranked no. 43, the Italian got to the 2^nd round after defeating Miomir Kecmanovic 6-4 7-6(5).

In the 1^st round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Kecmanovic (6-4 7-6⁵). During the match Sonego scored 85 points vs Kecmanovic’s 81. Sonego was exceptionally aggressive to blast 43 winners.

About the serving games, Sonego scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 4 double faults. Lorenzo Sonego conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 6 break points. Furthermore, Sonego put 66% of his first serves in, winning 74% (43/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (15/30) on the 2nd serve. Lorenzo broke Kecmanovic once after converting 11% of his break points (1/9).

Lorenzo has an overall 9-10 win-loss record in 2025, 1-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2024. See his history.

Tennis Scores in Madrid

• Alexander BublikBublik – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-4 7-6⁴) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Federico CinaCina (6-3 3-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jakub MensikMensik – Ethan QuinnQuinn (7-6⁴ 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Laslo DjereDjere (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Casper RuudRuud – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Harold MayotMayot (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Arthur FilsFils (7-6⁴ 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (7-6⁵ 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Taylor FritzFritz – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Gael MonfilsGael – Andrey RublevAndrey (w/o (Monfils ret.)) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Andrey RublevRublev (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Kei NishikoriNishikori – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Nicolas JarryJarry (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Marcos GironGiron – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexandre MullerMuller – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Benjamin BonziBonzi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-4) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Casper RuudRuud (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Francisco ComesanaComesana (3-1) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian BaezBaez – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Sebastian OfnerOfner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Cameron NorrieNorrie (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Jack DraperDraper – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Tomas MachacMachac (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (0-0) – H2H and prediction