Sebastian Baez and Damir Dzumhur will fight against each other in the 2^nd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 11:00 am on COURT 5. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Baez who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Sebastian Baez is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Baez -> 1.25
Damir Dzumhur -> 3.94

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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Baez vs. Damir Dzumhur

This will be the 4^th time that Sebastian Baez and Damir Dzumhur square off. The head to head is 3-0 for Baez (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Baez won 6-1 7-5 in the 1^st round in Barcelona back in April 2025.

Highlights Sebastian Baez vs Damir Dzumhur – Barcelona 15-April-2025

Sebastian Baez

Ranked no. 33, Sebastian will start his run in Madrid after he played his last match in Barcelona where he lost 4-6 6-1 6-2 to Rune in the 2^nd round on the 16^th of April.

Baez has an aggregate 16-10 win-loss record in 2025, 16-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Rio de Janeiro where he overcame Alexandre Muller in the final 6-2 6-3.

Talking about his overall career, Sebastian has an overall 267-159 record. He has a positive 228-95 record on clay.

Previously in Madrid

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2023 and 2024. See his history.

Damir Dzumhur

Ranked no. 63, Damir reached the 2^nd round after beating Mattia Bellucci 4-6 6-4 6-2.

In the 1^st round against Bellucci, Damir recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-2). During the match Dzumhur scored 99 points vs Bellucci’s 88. Damir was pretty aggressive to blast 42 winners.

About the serving games, Dzumhur wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Damir Dzumhur lost the serve twice and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Dzumhur put 73% of his first serves in, winning 63% (42/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 64% (16/25) on the 2nd serve. The Bosnian broke Bellucci 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).

Dzumhur’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Cap Cana Challenger.

The Bosnian has a composed 22-13 win-loss record in 2025, 12-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2018. See his history.

Tennis Scores in Madrid

• Taylor FritzFritz – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Arthur FilsFils (7-6⁴ 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (7-6⁵ 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jakub MensikMensik – Ethan QuinnQuinn (7-6⁴ 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alexander BublikBublik – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-4 7-6⁴) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Federico CinaCina (6-3 3-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Laslo DjereDjere (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Casper RuudRuud – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Harold MayotMayot (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Gael MonfilsGael – Andrey RublevAndrey (w/o (Monfils ret.)) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Andrey RublevRublev (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Kei NishikoriNishikori – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Nicolas JarryJarry (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Marcos GironGiron – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexandre MullerMuller – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Benjamin BonziBonzi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-4) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Casper RuudRuud (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Francisco ComesanaComesana (3-1) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian BaezBaez – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Sebastian OfnerOfner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Cameron NorrieNorrie (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Jack DraperDraper – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Tomas MachacMachac (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (0-0) – H2H and prediction