Frances Tiafoe and Luciano Darderi will fight against each other in the 2^nd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 9:00 pm on STADIUM 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luciano Darderi who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Luciano Darderi is the pick to win this match.
Luciano Darderi -> 1.57
Frances Tiafoe -> 2.4

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Prediction and head to head Frances Tiafoe vs. Luciano Darderi

This will be the 2^nd time that Frances Tiafoe and Luciano Darderi fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Tiafoe (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they played, Tiafoe won 6-2 7-6(2) in the semifinal in Houston back in 2024.

Highlights Frances Tiafoe vs Luciano Darderi – Houston 06-April-2024

Frances Tiafoe

Ranked no. 17, the American will start his run in Madrid after he played his last match in Barcelona where he lost 2-6 7-5 6-1 to Munar Clar in the 1^st round on the 15^th of April.

Francis has an overall 10-9 win-loss record in 2025, 4-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Tiafoe’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Houston.

Talking about his overall career, The American has an overall 384-269 record. He has a positive 113-68 record on clay.

Previously in Madrid

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2019 and 2023. See his history.

Luciano Darderi

Ranked no. 46, the Italian reached the 2^nd round after beating Quentin Halys 6-4 6-4.

In the 1^st round, Darderi had a good straight sets win against Halys (6-4 6-4). During the match Darderi scored 60 points vs Halys’s 47. Luciano was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.

About the serving games, Darderi made 5 aces and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Luciano Darderi was pretty effective on serve to win 79% (23/29) of his 1st serve and 79% (15/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Luciano broke Halys 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Marrakech where he beat Tallon Griekspoor in the final 7-6(3) 7-6(4).

Darderi has a compiled 14-10 win-loss record in 2025, 13-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2024. See his history

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Tennis Scores in Madrid

• Alexander ZverevZverev – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Laslo DjereDjere (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Casper RuudRuud – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Harold MayotMayot (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Taylor FritzFritz – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Arthur FilsFils (7-6⁴ 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (7-6⁵ 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jakub MensikMensik – Ethan QuinnQuinn (7-6⁴ 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alexander BublikBublik – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-4 7-6⁴) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Federico CinaCina (6-3 3-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Gael MonfilsGael – Andrey RublevAndrey (w/o (Monfils ret.)) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Andrey RublevRublev (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Kei NishikoriNishikori – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Nicolas JarryJarry (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Marcos GironGiron – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexandre MullerMuller – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Benjamin BonziBonzi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-4) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Casper RuudRuud (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Francisco ComesanaComesana (3-1) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian BaezBaez – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Sebastian OfnerOfner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Cameron NorrieNorrie (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Jack DraperDraper – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Tomas MachacMachac (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (0-0) – H2H and prediction