Tommy Paul and Joao Fonseca will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 10:30 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Joao Fonseca who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Joao Fonseca is the pick to win this match.
Joao Fonseca -> 1.51
Tommy Paul -> 2.56
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Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Joao Fonseca
There is no head to head record between Tommy Paul and Joao Fonseca since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Tommy Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-9 | 10-4 | 12-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-20 | 17-12 | 10-4 | 8-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, Paul will start his run in Madrid after he played his last match in Houston where he lost 7-6(5) 3-6 7-6(6) to Brooksby in the semifinal on the 5th of April.
Tommy has an aggregate 15-6 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Tommy’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Adelaide, Dallas and Houston.
Talking about his overall career, Tommy has an overall 410-231 record. He has a positive 112-60 record on clay.
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2024. See his history.
Joao Fonseca
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-9 | 17-3 | 8-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-23 | 8-3 | 14-11 | 13-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 11-6 | 1-1 | 10-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 65, Joao reached the 2nd round after defeating Elmer Moller 6-2 6-3.
In the 1st round, Fonseca had a good straight sets win against Moller (6-2 6-3). During the match Fonseca scored 65 points vs Moller’s 51. Fonseca was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Fonseca made 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Joao Fonseca conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 70% of his first serves in, win 73% (27/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (8/16) on the 2nd serve. Joao broke Moller 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).
His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Canberra Challenger where he overcame Ethan Quinn in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Buenos Aires where he defeated Francisco Cerundolo in the final 6-4 7-6(1) and the Phoenix Challenger where he defeated Alexander Bublik in the final 7-6(5) 7-6(0).
The Brazilian has an aggregate 23-5 win-loss record in 2025, 6-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See his history.
Head 2 Head
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LWWLLLWLWW Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Laslo DjereDjere (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Casper RuudRuud – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Harold MayotMayot (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Taylor FritzFritz – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Francisco ComesanaComesana – Arthur FilsFils (7-64 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (7-65 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jakub MensikMensik – Ethan QuinnQuinn (7-64 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander BublikBublik – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-4 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Benjamin BonziBonzi – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Federico CinaCina (6-3 3-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Gael MonfilsGael – Andrey RublevAndrey (w/o (Monfils ret.)) – See score progression
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