Matteo Berrettini and Marcos Giron will face off in the 2nd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 4:00 pm on COURT 4. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Berrettini is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.26
Marcos Giron -> 3.85
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Berrettini vs. Marcos Giron
This will be the 3rd time that Matteo Berrettini and Marcos Giron play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Giron (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Giron won 3-6 6-4 6-3 in the 2nd round in Halle back in 2024.
Highlights Marcos Giron vs Matteo Berrettini – Halle 20-June-2024
Matteo Berrettini
11 - 8win/loss
30
6
LWLWWLWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-9 | 9-6 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-13 | 7-6 | 15-1 | 8-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-12 | 9-10 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-12 | 15-9 | 4-2 | 4-1 | 9-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-12 | 14-5 | 13-4 | 3-2 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 31, Berrettini will start his run in Madrid after he played his last match in Monte Carlo where he lost 6-3 6-3 to Musetti in the 3rd round on the 10th of April.
Berrettini has an aggregate 11-8 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Talking about his overall career, Berrettini has an overall 341-169 record. He has a positive 100-42 record on clay.
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2021. See his history.
Marcos Giron
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-10 | 9-6 | 2-4 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-27 | 6-11 | 3-8 | 11-4 | 9-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-30 | 17-15 | 7-6 | 5-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-31 | 11-13 | 3-9 | 6-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-24 | 12-10 | 5-5 | 11-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 45, Giron reached the 2nd round after defeating Learner Tien 6-1 1-6 7-6(4).
In the 1st round, Giron defeated Tien (6-1 1-6 7-64).During the match Giron scored less points (2) than Tien. In fact, the world no. 31 won 99 points vs Tien’s. That means that Giron was more focused during the important points. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 43 winners.
About the serving games, Giron fired 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Marcos Giron lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Giron put 59% of his first serves in, winning 70% (43/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (20/43) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Tien 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Marcos has a compiled 12-8 win-loss record in 2025, 2-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021 and 2023. See his history.
Head 2 Head
LWLWWLWWWL
LLWLLWLLWW Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Federico CinaCina (6-3 3-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Laslo DjereDjere (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Casper RuudRuud – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Harold MayotMayot (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Taylor FritzFritz – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Francisco ComesanaComesana – Arthur FilsFils (7-64 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (7-65 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jakub MensikMensik – Ethan QuinnQuinn (7-64 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander BublikBublik – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-4 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Benjamin BonziBonzi – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Gael MonfilsGael – Andrey RublevAndrey (w/o (Monfils ret.)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Andrey RublevRublev (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Nicolas JarryJarry (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marcos GironGiron – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexandre MullerMuller – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Benjamin BonziBonzi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-4) – H2H and prediction
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Casper RuudRuud (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Francisco ComesanaComesana (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Sebastian OfnerOfner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Cameron NorrieNorrie (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Tomas MachacMachac (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (0-0) – H2H and prediction
