Mariano Kestelboim and Alex Barrena will fight against each other in the quarter of the San Miguel de Tucuman Challenger for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 10:00 am on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mariano Kestelboim who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mariano Kestelboim is the pick to win this match.
Mariano Kestelboim -> 1.56
Alex Barrena -> 2.3
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Prediction and head to head Mariano Kestelboim vs. Alex Barrena
This will be the 5th time that Mariano Kestelboim and Alex Barrena clash against each other. The head to head is 2-2 for Kestelboim and Barrena (see full H2H stats),but they are 2-2 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Kestelboim won 6-1 7-6(6) in the qualifications in the Buenos Aires Challenger back in January 2025.
Mariano Kestelboim
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20-11 | 0-0 | 20-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-20 | 2-1 | 30-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 20-11 | 2-1 | 18-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 15-14 | 0-0 | 15-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-23 | 1-4 | 21-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 429, Mariano reached the quarter after beating Alvaro Guillen Meza 6-1 3-6 6-2 and Fermin Tenti 7-5 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Mariano had a good straight sets win against Tenti (7-5 6-3). During the match, Kestelboim scored 77 points vs Tenti’s 61. Mariano was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kestelboim bagged 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Mariano Kestelboim lost the serve 4 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Kestelboim put 70% of his first serves in, winning 55% (27/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the 2nd serve. Mariano broke Tenti 7 times after converting 64% of his break points (7/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mariano has surrendered 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.
Kestelboim has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (301-190). 20-10 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Kestelboim has an overall 271-169 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Kestelboim’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M25 Punta del Este and M25 Lujan.
Kestelboim has a composed 20-10 win-loss record in 2025, 20-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the San Miguel de Tucuman Challenger
Alex Barrena
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-20 | 0-0 | 29-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-30 | 0-0 | 51-30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-19 | 2-1 | 26-18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-24 | 1-5 | 10-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 568, Alex got to the quarter after beating Nicolas Kicker 6-4 6-2 and Franco Roncadelli 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Alex had a good straight sets win against Roncadelli (6-4 6-3). During the match Barrena scored 68 points vs Roncadelli’s 52. Alex was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.
About the serving games, Barrena managed to score 6 aces and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Alex Barrena lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Barrena put 61% of his first serves in, winning 68% (23/34) of the points behind his 1st serve and 68% (15/22) on the 2nd serve. Alex broke Roncadelli 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Barrena hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
The Argentine has an aggregate 6-9 win-loss record in 2025, 6-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the San Miguel de Tucuman Challenger
Alex has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kestelboim | Barrena |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 45 | 37 |
| Pts | 180-148 | 137-106 |
| Total Points | 328 | 243 |
| Winners | 65 | 43 |
| %Winners | 36% | 31% |
Both Kestelboim and Barrena played 2 matches. At the moment, Mariano Kestelboim conceded 1 set while Alex Barrena hasn’t lost a set so far. Kestelboim has played 1 set more than Barrena (5 vs 4). Therefore, Kestelboim played 8 games more than Barrena. Mariano scored 65 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Barrena struck 43 winners (31%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kestelboim | Barrena |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 5 |
| 1st in | 110/166 | 61/109 |
| %1st in | 66% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 65/110 | 43/61 |
| %1st pts | 59% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 31/56 | 30/48 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 63% |
Kestelboim made 5 aces (2.5 per match). Barrena blasted 10 aces (5 per match). Kestelboim won 59% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Barrena won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kestelboim | Barrena |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 8 |
| Converted | 12/21 | 8/18 |
| % Converted | 57% | 44% |
| Conceded | 26 | 6 |
| Saved | 20 | 4 |
| % Saved | 77% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 2 |
Kestelboim broke his opponents 12 times with a 57% conversion rate. Mariano lost his serve 6 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded. Barrena broke his opponents 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. Barrena conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kestelboim | ||||
| R1 Guillen |
R2 Tenti |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 3-6 6-2 | 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 21 | 45 | |
| pts | 103-87 | 77-61 | 180-148 | |
| Total points | 190 | 138 | 328 | |
| Winners | 38 | 27 | 65 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 35% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 61/96 | 49/70 | 110/166 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 70% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 38/61 | 27/49 | 65/110 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 55% | 59% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/35 | 11/21 | 31/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 52% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 7/11 | 12/21 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 64% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 13 | 26 | |
| Saved | 11/13 | 9/13 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 85% | 69% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Barrena | ||||
| R1 Kicker |
R2 Roncadelli |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 19 | 37 | |
| pts | 69-54 | 68-52 | 137-106 | |
| Total points | 123 | 120 | 243 | |
| Winners | 20 | 23 | 43 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 34% | 31% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 27/53 | 34/56 | 61/109 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 61% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 20/27 | 23/34 | 43/61 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 68% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/26 | 15/22 | 30/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 68% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/6 | 8/18 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 67% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2/3 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWLWWWW
LWWWWWWWWL 
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