Jasmine Paolini and Katie Boulter will clash against each other in the 2^nd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 5^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 11:00 am on STADIUM 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jasmine Paolini who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jasmine Paolini is the pick to win this match.
Jasmine Paolini -> 1.25
Katie Boulter -> 3.94

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Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Katie Boulter

This will be the 5^th time that Jasmine Paolini and Katie Boulter square off. The head to head is 2-2 for Paolini and Boulter (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Paolini won 6-1 7-6(0) in the quarter in Eastbourne back in 2024.

Highlights Jasmine Paolini vs Katie Boulter – Eastbourne 27-June-2024

Jasmine Paolini

Ranked no. 6, Paolini will start her run in Madrid after she played her last match in Stuttgart where she lost 7-5 6-4 to Sabalenka in the semifinal on the 20^th of April.

Jasmine has an overall 15-7 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

The Italian’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Miami and Stuttgart.

Talking about her overall career, Paolini has an overall 403-275 record. She has a positive 206-115 record on clay.

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the 4^th round in 2024. See her history.

Katie Boulter

Ranked no. 40, Katie reached the 2^nd round after beating Katerina Siniakova 4-6 6-2 6-1.

In the 1^st round against Siniakova, Boulter recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-1). During the match Boulter scored 96 points vs Siniakova’s 78. Boulter was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about serving, Boulter fired 4 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Katie Boulter lost the serve 3 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Boulter put 52% of her first serves in, winning 72% (33/46) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (19/42) on the 2nd serve. The Brit broke Siniakova 7 times after converting 54% of her break points (7/13).

https://wtafiles.wtatennis.com/pdf/draws/2025/1038/MDS.pdf

Boulter has an aggregate 6-5 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2024. See her history.

Tennis Scores in Madrid

• Anastasija SevastovaSevastova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (7-6² 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Caroline DolehideDolehide (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Diana ShnaiderShnaider – Katie VolynetsVolynets (6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Magdalena FrechFrech – Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro (5-7 7-6² 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Linda NoskovaNoskova – Maria Lourdes CarleLourdes Carle (7-5 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Bernarda PeraPera (2-6 6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Emma NavarroNavarro – Maya JointJoint (7-5 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Donna VekicVekic – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Diane ParryParry (7-6⁴ 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Belinda BencicBencic – Clara TausonTauson (7-5 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Alexandra EalaEala (4-6 6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Yecong HeHe – Pak Long YeungLong Yeung (1-6 6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Yan BaiBai – Qun GaoGao (6-2 2-1 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Zihao XiaXia – Yuanfeng LiLi (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jie CuiCui – Ray HoHo (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Fajing SunSun – Tsung-Hao HuangHuang (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano – Elise MertensMertens (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Rebeka MasarovaMasarova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Peyton StearnsStearns – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (2-4) – H2H and prediction
• Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Marta KostyukKostyuk (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Sofia KeninKenin – Lulu SunSun (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Qinwen ZhengZheng (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Jessica PegulaPegula – Eva LysLys (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Moyuka UchijimaUchijima – Ons JabeurJabeur (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Olga DanilovicDanilovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alycia ParksParks – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Magda LinetteLinette – Maria SakkariSakkari (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Katie BoulterBoulter – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Yulia StarodubtsewaStarodubtsewa – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Ann LiLi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Cori GauffGauff (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Madison KeysKeys – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Belinda BencicBencic (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Donna VekicVekic – Emma NavarroNavarro (2-0) – H2H and prediction