Jessica Pegula and Eva Lys will square off in the 2^nd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 7:00 pm on ARANTXA SANCHEZ STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.22
Eva Lys -> 4.3

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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Eva Lys

There is no head to head record between Jessica Pegula and Eva Lys since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Jessica Pegula

Ranked no. 3 (career-high), Pegula will start her run in Madrid after she played her last match in Stuttgart where she lost 6-0 6-4 to Alexandrova in the quarter on the 19^th of April.

The American has a composed 26-7 win-loss record in 2025, 6-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Austin where she beat Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2 and in Charleston where she overcame Sofia Kenin in the final 6-3 7-5.

Talking about her overall career, The American has an overall 459-253 record. She has a positive 123-75 record on clay.

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2022. See her history.

Eva Lys

Ranked no. 68 (career-high), Lys reached the 2^nd round after beating Teodora Kostovic 6-2 6-2.

In the 1^st round, Lys had a good straight sets win against Kostovic (6-2 6-2). During the match Lys scored 67 points vs Kostovic’s 39. The German was quite aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Talking about serving, Lys recorded 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Eva Lys was very effective on serve to win 71% (20/28) of her 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Eva broke Kostovic 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).

Lys has a compiled 13-10 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See her history.

Tennis Scores in Madrid

• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Alexandra EalaEala (4-6 6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Anastasija SevastovaSevastova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (7-6² 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Caroline DolehideDolehide (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Diana ShnaiderShnaider – Katie VolynetsVolynets (6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Magdalena FrechFrech – Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro (5-7 7-6² 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Linda NoskovaNoskova – Maria Lourdes CarleLourdes Carle (7-5 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Bernarda PeraPera (2-6 6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Emma NavarroNavarro – Maya JointJoint (7-5 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Donna VekicVekic – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Diane ParryParry (7-6⁴ 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Belinda BencicBencic – Clara TausonTauson (7-5 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Yecong HeHe – Pak Long YeungLong Yeung (1-6 6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Yan BaiBai – Qun GaoGao (6-2 2-1 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Zihao XiaXia – Yuanfeng LiLi (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jie CuiCui – Ray HoHo (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Fajing SunSun – Tsung-Hao HuangHuang (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano – Elise MertensMertens (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Rebeka MasarovaMasarova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Peyton StearnsStearns – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (2-4) – H2H and prediction
• Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Marta KostyukKostyuk (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Sofia KeninKenin – Lulu SunSun (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Qinwen ZhengZheng (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Jessica PegulaPegula – Eva LysLys (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Moyuka UchijimaUchijima – Ons JabeurJabeur (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Olga DanilovicDanilovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alycia ParksParks – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Magda LinetteLinette – Maria SakkariSakkari (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Katie BoulterBoulter – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Yulia StarodubtsewaStarodubtsewa – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Ann LiLi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Cori GauffGauff (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Madison KeysKeys – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Belinda BencicBencic (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Donna VekicVekic – Emma NavarroNavarro (2-0) – H2H and prediction